pepsa Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 2 hours ago, PKMLover said: Monday drop 80% from sunday?? Panic mode Don't worry if drops 80% on tuesday you can panic 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 (edited) From the first 4 days plus Mon PS I think it’s safe to say an 11-14 mil finish. Personally thinking toward the higher end, bon’t go narrower until more data. Of course that’s the difference between HW #5 and HW #1, so either way — spectacular. Sat-Sun in particular are the most impressive Sat-Sun I know of, and being 2.5x OD+Fri is a clear indication that this is a weekend heavy film and data from at least next Sat will be needed before we know how it’s holding. Edited November 24, 2019 by Thanos Legion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: From the first 4 days plus Mon PS I think it’s safe to say an 11-14 mil finish. Personally thinking toward the higher end, bon’t go narrower until more data. Of course that’s the difference between HW #5 and HW #1, so either way — spectacular. Sat-Sun in particular are the most impressive Sat-Sun I know of, and being 2.5x OD+Fri is a clear indication that this is a weekend heavy film and data from at least next Sat will be needed before we know how it’s holding. Yep weekends will be so important for this movie. If it can get good holds in it's 3 and 4th weekend it could go 14m. Second weekend should be good (almost all large movies have a good second weekend), the third weekend is where you can see the real legs I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
imbruglia Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 CGV Want To See 2019.11.27 Bring Me Home - 3,359 (+1,560) *local Crawl - 1,060 (+474) Hustlers - 2,370 (+1,113) 2019.12.04 A Little Princess - 943 (+408) *local KNIVES OUT - 2,919 (+1.411) Ford v. Ferrari - 3,229 (+1,479) 2019.12.05 Last Christmas - 2,645 (+1,632) 2019.12.11 Jumanji- The Next Level - 2,195 (+836) *December 2019.12.24 Cats - 3,375 (+431) December Baek Doo San - 1,290 (+751) *local Si Dong - 988(+582) *local Forbidden Dream - 616(+324) *local 2020 Dolittle -1,422 (+268) *Jan Star Wars- The Rise of Skywalker - 1.224 (+268) *Jan Top Gun- Maverick - 1,666 (+132) *June THE KING’S MAN - 3,153 (+373) *September 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
imbruglia Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 btw, this week's Wednesday is culture day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feanor Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 15 minutes ago, imbruglia said: CGV Want To See 2019.11.27 Bring Me Home - 3,359 (+1,560) *local Crawl - 1,060 (+474) Hustlers - 2,370 (+1,113) 2019.12.04 A Little Princess - 943 (+408) *local KNIVES OUT - 2,919 (+1.411) Ford v. Ferrari - 3,229 (+1,479) 2019.12.05 Last Christmas - 2,645 (+1,632) 2019.12.11 Jumanji- The Next Level - 2,195 (+836) *December 2019.12.24 Cats - 3,375 (+431) December Baek Doo San - 1,290 (+751) *local Si Dong - 988(+582) *local Forbidden Dream - 616(+324) *local 2020 Dolittle -1,422 (+268) *Jan Star Wars- The Rise of Skywalker - 1.224 (+268) *Jan Top Gun- Maverick - 1,666 (+132) *June THE KING’S MAN - 3,153 (+373) *September Maybe Cats will break out here lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 (edited) 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $2,426,044 ($34,747,514) 348,784 (4,786,667) 2,187 75.63% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $395,055 ($13,607,723) 58,039 (1,875,454) 836 12.31% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $111,049 ($15,342,599) 16,538 (2,101,732) 618 3.46% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $69,771 ($25,437,871) 10,526 (3,629,902) 460 2.17% 5 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $34,079 ($16,988,114) 5,022 (2,388,160) 214 1.06% So maybe 355 or so in the end, a nice -77%. PSm slightly more than doubled and CGV ratio was also a bit better than my morning projection. Tuesday the PSm normally drops slightly, maybe 3.3. Tues CGV PS are 50k, so that would give 165k or so final CGV for a nearly flat 340k or so final day. Good sign for legs if it hits that. That also leaves about 200 of the 315 overall presales unaccounted for. Thinking a lot are on Culture Day and the Wed CGV PS might come in 120+ Incidentally I notice that this means F2’s 5-day just slightly edges out IW’s 5-day open. Will fall behind soon as IW’s first week has Labor Dah, but may regain the lead by Sun if things drop nicely. Edited November 25, 2019 by Thanos Legion 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $2,426,044 ($34,747,514) 348,784 (4,786,667) 2,187 75.63% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $395,055 ($13,607,723) 58,039 (1,875,454) 836 12.31% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $111,049 ($15,342,599) 16,538 (2,101,732) 618 3.46% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $69,771 ($25,437,871) 10,526 (3,629,902) 460 2.17% 5 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $34,079 ($16,988,114) 5,022 (2,388,160) 214 1.06% So maybe 355 or so in the end, a nice -77%. PSm slightly more than doubled and CGV ratio was also a bit better than my morning projection. Tuesday the PSm normally drops slightly, maybe 3.3. Tues CGV PS are 50k, so that would give 165k or so final CGV for a nearly flat 340k or so final day. Good sign for legs if it hits that. That also leaves about 200 of the 315 overall presales unaccounted for. Thinking a lot are on Culture Day and the Wed CGV PS might come in 120+ Can we know this film has good or bad legs yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Just now, PKMLover said: Can we know this film has good or bad legs yet? No Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Frozen 2 has the 4th highest OW for a Foreign movie and 6th highest overall (I think) Endgame - 6.308m (5 days) Infinity War - 4.764m (5 days) Spider-man FFH - 4.520m (6 days) Frozen - 4.437m (4 days) Note that Frozen 2 had a 4 day OW whereas others had 5-6 days OW. If Frozen 2 had a 5 day OW it woud have easily overtaken Infinity War, Spiderman FFH and Roaring Current for top 3-4 OW of all time. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Monday number is excellent. Question is where it is on thursday. Can it stay sub 50%? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 (edited) 7 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $2,426,044 ($34,747,514) 348,784 (4,786,667) 2,187 75.63% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $395,055 ($13,607,723) 58,039 (1,875,454) 836 12.31% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $111,049 ($15,342,599) 16,538 (2,101,732) 618 3.46% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $69,771 ($25,437,871) 10,526 (3,629,902) 460 2.17% 5 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $34,079 ($16,988,114) 5,022 (2,388,160) 214 1.06% So maybe 355 or so in the end, a nice -77%. PSm slightly more than doubled and CGV ratio was also a bit better than my morning projection. Tuesday the PSm normally drops slightly, maybe 3.3. Tues CGV PS are 50k, so that would give 165k or so final CGV for a nearly flat 340k or so final day. Good sign for legs if it hits that. That also leaves about 200 of the 315 overall presales unaccounted for. Thinking a lot are on Culture Day and the Wed CGV PS might come in 120+ Incidentally I notice that this means F2’s 5-day just slightly edges out IW’s 5-day open. Will fall behind soon as IW’s first week has Labor Dah, but may regain the lead by Sun if things drop nicely. Culture day should do over 500k admission easily. Also we should see big ps gain in the next few days. Before the weekend it should try to hit 600k in ps's. It's could also be that it isn't as ps driven as TS4 was, daily walk ups have been good so far. Edited November 25, 2019 by pepsa 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 3 hours ago, pepsa said: Culture day should do over 500k admission easily. Also we should see big ps gain in the next few days. Before the weekend it should try to hit 600k in ps's. It's could also be that it isn't as ps driven as TS4 was, daily walk ups have been good so far. It also helps that Into the Unknown is ranking high in digital charts. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) It’s after 1, so this will be closer to final: Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $2,202,509 ($36,955,893) 319,368 (5,110,944) 2,226 71.37% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $385,088 ($13,991,834) 56,983 (1,933,909) 856 12.48% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $109,483 ($15,443,705) 16,391 (2,118,763) 647 3.54% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $78,314 ($25,495,097) 11,897 (3,641,869) 490 2.53% 5 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $53,130 ($164,485) 10,465 (29,663) 62 1.72% 6 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $35,146 ($17,009,567) 5,480 (2,393,734) 220 1.13% CGV PSm dropped to about 3.1, so around a 9% drop. Totally fine. CGV PS for culture day are a massive 152k. At minimum it should do 2x and 50% ratio for low 600s, but I think 700 or even 700+ are pretty possible. I wonder what the current non-OD culture day record is. Edited November 26, 2019 by Thanos Legion 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Only if Frozen 2 have at least one public holiday in its first 2 week run.......... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Frozen 2 598,796 (5,709,798) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, druv10 said: Frozen 2 598,796 (5,709,798) Final number yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 27 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said: Final number yet? Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it. CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume just U/O 6M. Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, Arendelle Legion said: Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it. CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume just U/O 6M. Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat? And we hope that this will double in the final for the total of 12M ad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 hour ago, Arendelle Legion said: Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it. CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume just U/O 6M. Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat? Before Sat so it's going to fly past That said F2 will need not just good but great weekends if it want's to push 12m + 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...