The Official TASM Weekly Thread (6 Day EST-140m) (Warning: Whiten Out Spoilers/Spoiler Tags)

[vc2002]

Hmmm why is TASM getting a weekly thread?

[cremino]

from earlier est 23-24.5, looks like it'll fall 22.5-23

What happened today??

[Rthmessiah]

TASM, TED, MM down on tues, rest will be up, might post something later

[Magic]

Hmmm why is TASM getting a weekly thread?

Might as well, it's a six day opening.

[Olive]

TASM, TED, MM down on tues, rest will be up, might post something later

Thanks！

[A Marvel Fanboy]

So Tuesday is down too ?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Thanks！

Your new avatar doesnt look good ... buddy.

[RTX]

So Tuesday is down too ?

Down from Tuesday. lol

[baumer]

A few things:The Spidey Wed number has nothing to do with bad wom or anything bad. It just means that there was an initial rush to see it, like Twilight or MM. This is the second day we're talking about, so nothing spreads positively or negatively that fast. The Under 200 thread is buried and it is not coming back to life. With 57-58 mill in two days, 200 is locked. The burial was closure for me yesterday, don't make me relive open wounds.Heat never keeps people away from the theater in North America. I don't know how it works in Italy or France, but here, it's a great way to beat the heat.If Spidey falls somewhere in between Transformers and License to Wed ( the two films that opened on Tuesday July 3rd in 2007) then it would fall by about 30% today which would give it 16 mill. Extrapolating using Transformers 3 day numbers, you have a 60 mill 3 day. Add that to the 74 it would get from T-Th, you have 135 mill 6 day. 200 is locked, 250 is not.I should have made my thread under Pirates 4.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

So my worry that Baumer's club climbing out from its grave and becomes a walking dead is not a joke after all ?

[theultimatebiu]

I should have made my thread under Pirates 4.

SHOULDA! COULDA! WOULDA!Too late now...we kept telling you beforehand lol

[baumer]

SHOULDA! COULDA! WOULDA!Too late now...we kept telling you beforehand lol

Yep, you all did. I know. But I'm too stubborn.

[baumer]

If it comes in on the low end like RTH suggests, that's a 37% drop from Tues, and a 20% drop even without midnights. That's kinda funny.

[lab276]

TASM, TED, MM down on tues, rest will be up, might post something later

Does that mean Ted and MM dropped on Wednesday too? That's unusual given the way the 4th works when it's a Wednesday. Could someone explain? Edited July 5, 2012 by lab276

[Eraserhead]

Okay, time to bring that ijacksparrow fellow back out. Things just got interesting.

[Olive]

Anyway, 200M is locked

[Magic]

from earlier est 23-24.5, looks like it'll fall 22.5-23

This is the latest update.

[baumer]

Does Ted and MM dropped on Wednesday too? That's unusual given the way the 4th works when it's a Wednesday. Could someone explain?

Not much to explain. There really is only one other time period we can compare this to, and that had every movie increasing on Wednesday, even the ones that are 6 days old like MM and Ted, so I don't have an answer for you. Was there big sales yesterday in the US that perhaps were not on in 2007? Kinda like a Black Friday scenario?

[baumer]

In 2002, although the 4th fell on a Thursday, almost every film fell.http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2002-07-04&track=scoobydoo.htmAnd in 2001, even though I can't get every film, July 4th fell on Wednesday, and The Fast and the Furious fell by 15%, but Doctor Doolittle stayed flat. Meanwhile A.I. went up on both Tuesday and Wednesday by 17% and then crashed on Thursday by 44%. So I really have no idea what to think.Use this as a small reference:http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=fastandfurious.htmhttp://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=ai.htmhttp://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2001&wknd=26&p=.htm

[Fake]

Yeah... this weekend can be uncertain sometimes.....Friday number will tell the tale... 19M+ should be considered good with a probable 260M+ finish; 17-19M would be considered average with a probable 240-260M finish while anything less will be just bad.