John Marston Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Yes, pretty much. In Russia it's certainly going to earn more than DH1(26) did, maybe even beat DH2(37m). HP territory is actually more close to ~800m today, so 600m is not ballsy at all. that is one country. What about countries like France, Germany, UK, Italy, Spain, Sweden, Denmark, Poland, Norway, Netherlands, South Korea, and Japan? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 (edited) I'll change to 500mil actually In Russia it's certainly going to earn more than DH1(26) did, maybe even beat DH2(37m) i wouldnt be too sure esp about 37 I see 30 max & that only with luck u should consider its not in 3D Edited November 19, 2013 by Leyla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 that is one country. What about countries like France, Germany, UK, Italy, Spain, Sweden, Denmark, Poland, Norway, Netherlands, South Korea, and Japan? You want me to write each country? There is no point and i won't do that. You can expect increase in every country and overall 2-2.2 times better OS. u should consider its not in 3D It's not a real game changer, especially since it has IMAX/4DX etc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Predictions for major markets: Market - THG - CF Australia - 31 - 40 Brazil - 10 - 18 China - 27 - 50 France - 15 - 25 Germany - 20 - 30 Japan - 5 - 5 Mexico - 14 - 20 Russia - 13 - 30 Spain - 11 - 10 UK - 37 - 48 Rest - 100 - 150 Total - 283 - 425 So bumping my OS prediction from 400m to 425m after a little more thought. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 A lot of those are low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Yes. I think UK will be quite higher than 48 million. And even a dead market like Spain should do better than THG. For the rest I could agree. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 (edited) It's not a real game changer, especially since it has IMAX/4DX etc. idk not everyone wants to spend money to see such film in IMAX. Its not Gravity or Pacific Rim or other special effects driven film btw how many IMAX screens do we have? i doubt that many Anyway hopefully u're right about the total Edited November 19, 2013 by Leyla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 idk not everyone wants to spend money to see such film in IMAX. Its not Gravity or Pacific Rim or other special effects driven film It is, and it was shot in IMAX(partly). btw how many IMAX screens do we have? i doubt that many Every single one of them. For 4 weeks until Hobbit. Or... you meant how many "IMAX"-branded theaters in Russia? 32 theaters in Russia, 60 concluded contracts(on having-building) in CIS. Overall, it'll have much more showings than Thor on his formal OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 19, 2013 Author Share Posted November 19, 2013 Predicts: The Joker: 390m Ent: 390m JCS: 400m+ Jam90: 420m Halba: 420m Fake: 425m Marlon Brando: 450m Godzilla: 450m Tower: 450m lordmandeep: 450m Goffe: 455m Juby 460m The Stingray: 465m Robertron: 468m Peludo: 475m Neo: 475m Dexter of Suburbia: 475m dashrendar44: 485m podo: 490m The Futurist: 500m Leyla: 500mFiredeep: 520m Olive: 525m Heretic: 530m Baelfire11: 545m Sonic: 550m Iceroll: 550m k1stpierre: 550m Dan355: 550m mtX: 550m Adje: 560m Sims: 580m Wally: 600m Wormy: 600m Cosmonaut: 600m keysersoze123: 600m Noctis: 610m Alisson23: 620m fmpro: 1.2b (lol) Any last minute changes/additions? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 @ 1.2b Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Brazil - 10 - 18 This is already wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Brazil - 10 - 18 This is already wrong. I was hoping more in Brazil. I can't believe New moon had that big jump and CF no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 19, 2013 Author Share Posted November 19, 2013 I was hoping more in Brazil. I can't believe New moon had that big jump and CF no. The falling currency definitely had a lot to do with it. It would have opened 2.5x higher instead of 2x higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 19, 2013 Author Share Posted November 19, 2013 What competition will CF face in Brazil? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Brazil - 10 - 18 This is already wrong. THG had a 3.25 mutliplier. If CF has been more frontloaded, it should have lower legs, so from a 6.2 opening, 18 is not so crazy. If it follows the same pattern than THG, it should reach 20, but no more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 What competition will CF face in Brazil? No one in theory. Most near direct compection is The Hobbit 12/13 The falling currency definitely had a lot to do with it. It would have opened 2.5x higher instead of 2x higher. Yes, CF opened in my calculation with 5.8M no 6.3M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 19, 2013 Author Share Posted November 19, 2013 No one in theory. Most near direct compection is The Hobbit 12/13 Yes, CF opened in my calculation with 5.8M no 6.3M Oh did it drop from estimates? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 What competition will CF face in Brazil? Basically, none. The only competition is Thor 2, because Hobbit 2 is too far away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 (edited) Oh did it drop from estimates? Yes. It did R$13.282.500,00 to dollars= 5 875 128,68 US$ Edited November 19, 2013 by alisson23 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 19, 2013 Author Share Posted November 19, 2013 Yes. It did R$13.282.500,00 to dollars= 5 875 128,68 US$ Oh :/ well the only thing we can do now is hope for good legs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
