Weekend Estimates (8/3-5/12): TDKR @ #1 w/ $10.4m Fri/35.5 wknd, TR: $9.2m/24.5 (Boxoffice.com est.)

[CJohn]

Really? You think it will make more than Bourne next weekend?

TDKR will be number 4 next weekend, IMO.

[The Futurist]

Neck and neck.For sho'.

[Moviedweeb]

Really? You think it will make more than Bourne next weekend?

I think it definitely has an outside shot. If TDKR holds very well and Bourne disappoints. I also don't think The Campaign is guaranteed to do well although it very well might. Also men will have to choose between the projects and there might be a little action overkill with Expendables due the week after. I could see Bourne and The Campaign staying under $22m but it could very well go the other way. So yes, I think TDKR staying #1 is far from impossible but It's chances are not great either. But still in the cards..

[#ED]

Really? You think it will make more than Bourne next weekend?

He said in the cards.

[baumer]

He said in the cards.

If Bourne opens to north of 25 mill, which it should, then TDKR has no shot at finishing number 1.

[#ED]

TDKR is going to average a 4-5M for Mon-Thurs.Am I correct?

[baumer]

TDKR will be number 4 next weekend, IMO.

That will be hard. Hope Springs opens on a Wednesday.

[baumer]

TDKR is going to average a 4-5M for Mon-Thurs.Am I correct?

Let's say Sunday is 11 millMon: 4.8Tue: 5.2Wed: 4.0Thur: 3.8

[Olive]

Moviegoers give Sony's "Total Recall" remake a problematic C+ CinemaScore; Fox's family entry "Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days" earns an A-.

WOM is not good.

[Jack Nevada]

Moviegoers give Sony's "Total Recall" remake a problematic C+ CinemaScore;

Thats horrible

[CJohn]

C+? Shit

[baumer]

That's too bad.

[redfirebird2008]

C+ is pretty disastrous. CinemaScore polling is usually pretty lenient isn't it?

[Magic]

Moviegoers give Sony's "Total Recall" remake a problematic C+ CinemaScore; Fox's family entry "Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days" earns an A-.

WOM is not good.

[#ED]

Let's say Sunday is 11 millMon: 4.8Tue: 5.2Wed: 4.0Thur: 3.8

Which will probably lead into aFriday: 5MSaturday: 8.5MSunday: 6MWe're looking at a 19.5 weekend next week?

[MrPink]

C+ is pretty disastrous. CinemaScore polling is usually pretty lenient isn't it?

Yeah, usually you want a B+ or higher, maybe you scrape by with a B, but anything less is bad

[bballman24]

No way in hell TDKR is winning next wkend.

[redfirebird2008]

Which will probably lead into aFriday: 5MSaturday: 8.5MSunday: 6MWe're looking at a 19.5 weekend next week?

Your Friday increase is too small and your Saturday increase is way too large. Below is a more likely scenario based on TDK's performance 4 years ago:Friday: $6m (+60%)Saturday: $8.3m (+38%)Sunday: $6.2m (-25%)$20.5m for its 4th weekend. Edited August 4, 2012 by redfirebird2008

[Gopher]

That's really freaking bad. With Bourne and Expendables coming up it might crawl to 60m domestic.

[Gopher]

No way in hell TDKR is winning next wkend.

Bourne and Campaign are safe for 25m+. TDKR isn't safe for 20.