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Monday Numbers TDKR 4.7 2. TOTAL RECALL - $3M ($28.5M), 3. WIMPY KID 3 - $2M ($16.6M)

By baumer, in Numbers and Data

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#ED Global Phenomenon

#ED

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Comingsoon.net 's prediction for the weekend.

This Week's Predictions -

1. The Bourne Legacy (Universal) - $43.7 million N/A

2. The Campaign (Warner Bros.) - $24.5 million N/A

3. The Dark Knight Rises (Warner Bros.) - $19.6 million -45%

4. Hope Springs (Sony) - $13.9 million N/A

5. Total Recall (Sony) - $11.0 million -57%

6. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days (20th Century Fox) - $8.3 million -43%

7. Ice Age: Continental Drift (20th Century Fox) - $5.6 million -35%

8. Ted (Universal Pictures) - $3.8 million -33%

9. The Watch (20th Century Fox) - $3.1 million -52%

10. Nitro Circus: The Movie 3D (ARC Entertainment) – $2.5 million N/A

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#ED Global Phenomenon

#ED

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That would be a huge opening for Bourne. I'm a little confused as to why they think it will open that high.

"More importantly, they got Jeremy Renner in the role of Aaron Cross, and the timing couldn't be better. Having been nominated for two Oscars in The Hurt Locker and Ben Affleck's The Town, Renner has really broken it big since then. He was great in last year's hit Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol and then his character Hawkeye was a major part of this year's global blockbuster Marvel's The Avengers, which has become the third-highest grossing movie of all time. Joining Renner is Rachel Weisz, who could be an A-list actress in her own right after starring in the first two "Mummy" movies, except that she's decided to do smaller and more personal indie movies in recent years.

Universal made one of the second smartest moves of the summer by pushing the movie back a week, givingThe Dark Knight Rises more space, which might make all the difference in the world on whether it explodes or has a similar fate as last week's Total Recall. Either way, there's no denying the popularity of the "Bourne" franchise and there will be a lot of guys and women over 20 who will be curious to see what they do with this reinvention and reviews should generally be positive enough for them to give it a look. We think this one should be good for $40 million or more opening weekend and should be able to gross close to $150 million, not quite as much as the last two installments but enough to warrant more movies."

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filmnerdjamie Box Office Gold

filmnerdjamie

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Posted (edited)

Comingsoon.net 's prediction for the weekend.

This Week's Predictions -

1. The Bourne Legacy (Universal) - $43.7 million N/A

2. The Campaign (Warner Bros.) - $24.5 million N/A

3. The Dark Knight Rises (Warner Bros.) - $19.6 million -45%

4. Hope Springs (Sony) - $13.9 million N/A

5. Total Recall (Sony) - $11.0 million -57%

6. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days (20th Century Fox) - $8.3 million -43%

7. Ice Age: Continental Drift (20th Century Fox) - $5.6 million -35%

8. Ted (Universal Pictures) - $3.8 million -33%

9. The Watch (20th Century Fox) - $3.1 million -52%

10. Nitro Circus: The Movie 3D (ARC Entertainment) – $2.5 million N/A

Feels too high for Bourne 4, Campaign and especially Total Recall (Its CinemaScore was a C+ and they expect an under 60% drop?!). Dead on for Dark Knight Rises and Hope Springs. Edited by filmnerdjamie
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baumer Cinematic Universe

baumer

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Renners stardom may be at its zenith right now but you are replacing a very popular star in Damon and as other similar attempts can attest rto its not a good recipe for success. I think 30 is more likely.

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Master Scottb Box Office Gold

Master Scottb

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Pure speculation:Tues: 5.0Wed: 4.0Thurs: 3.85Fri: 5.6Sat: 7.5Sun: 5.718.8 mill weekend.

That would put it at around $390m after this weekend and would put it on pace for hitting $400m some time late next week (Thursday or Friday).
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filmnerdjamie Box Office Gold

filmnerdjamie

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Renners stardom may be at its zenith right now but you are replacing a very popular star in Damon and as other similar attempts can attest rto its not a good recipe for success. I think 30 is more likely.

Its a fatal mistake putting Bourne's name in the Goddamn title but he's not in the movie. Would you do that with Batman, Spider-Man or Harry Potter? OF COURSE YOU WOULDN'T!
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Gopher Summer Tentpole

Gopher

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TDKR gained another 400k on DMC. It's now over 5.6m ahead of its 450m target. But DMC made 20.6m in its fourth weekend so TDKR will probably lose a few hundred thousand on its lead this weekend. Still, 450 seems pretty solid right now. Maybe with IMAX it'll have better late legs than DMC as well.

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Master Scottb Box Office Gold

Master Scottb

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TDKR gained another 400k on DMC. It's now over 5.6m ahead of its 450m target. But DMC made 20.6m in its fourth weekend so TDKR will probably lose a few hundred thousand on its lead this weekend.Still, 450 seems pretty solid right now. Maybe with IMAX it'll have better late legs than DMC as well.

$450m is a good bet now.
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