China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Issac Newton]

32 minutes ago, ando said:

Some stabilization in China, this looks great. $200M still possible or no?

Looks doable unless scenario worsening due to floods of infection.

[GipJo]

I'm back from covid! Been coughing my lungs off these past few days.

 

Anyway, TWE2 won't move. Zhang Yimou's new movie ''Full River Red'' just announced the New Year release date, it's a major contender. Even if A2 gets extension, it can't compete against local blockbusters. A2 still has two weeks to earn money.

[Nero]

52 minutes ago, GipJo said:

I'm back from covid! Been coughing my lungs off these past few days.

 

Anyway, TWE2 won't move. Zhang Yimou's new movie ''Full River Red'' just announced the New Year release date, it's a major contender. Even if A2 gets extension, it can't compete against local blockbusters. A2 still has two weeks to earn money.

Welcome back. Hope you are doing well.

[The GOAT]

It's okay. They're going to re-release it several times during periods of dead space and make $200 mil more. 

[Immortal]

2 hours ago, The GOAT said:

It's okay. They're going to re-release it several times during periods of dead space and make $200 mil more. 

It all depends on Government because Hollywood studios have no say there

[Gkalaitza]

Cameron did say that the proposal for teh Chinese avatar rerelease came from the Chinese side. Maybe thats bs but also makes it realistic for it to happen again in a later month where Chinese Box Office doesnt have a money maker playing and both sides belive A2 can make some 100m-200m in a rerelease outside of Covid chaos

[JustLurking]

56 minutes ago, Gkalaitza said:

Cameron did say that the proposal for teh Chinese avatar rerelease came from the Chinese side. Maybe thats bs but also makes it realistic for it to happen again in a later month where Chinese Box Office doesnt have a money maker playing and both sides belive A2 can make some 100m-200m in a rerelease outside of Covid chaos

Problem is that was covid times, where they needed to put something on screen without jeopardising a local release and there was nothing new from hollywood they could sacrifice. I really don't get the expectation for the film to re-release AFTER China recovers. They'll just push local releases once that's over.

Edited December 27, 2022 by JustLurking

[GipJo]

A re-release could only happen under the same scenario like Avatar's 2nd re-release, that is week before the next movie is coming out as a limited re-release. Outside of that, I don't see it getting any re-release there, there is simply no need for it. Once things become normal, the long list of native movies that haven't been released from 2021/2022 are ready to hit theaters, 2023/2024 will have an very busy schedule.

Edited December 27, 2022 by GipJo

[xieh tie]

 

 

full river red trailer

[titanic2187]

5 hours ago, GipJo said:

A re-release could only happen under the same scenario like Avatar's 2nd re-release, that is week before the next movie is coming out as a limited re-release. Outside of that, I don't see it getting any re-release there, there is simply no need for it. Once things become normal, the long list of native movies that haven't been released from 2021/2022 are ready to hit theaters, 2023/2024 will have an very busy schedule.

At this point I want a extended run for Avatar 2 more than a re-release, even if that mean little number over CNY period, 

[GOGODanca]

3.76m tuesday (-18.7% LW) for a total of 112.14m

[Sheldon Cr]

49 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

At this point I want a extended run for Avatar 2 more than a re-release, even if that mean little number over CNY period, 

Agreed brother Titanic

🦝👍. I think it would get another 400-500m or more if done right and released in better conditions 

[LPLC]

Is $150M locked for A2 ? 

[GipJo]

6 hours ago, LPLC said:

Is $150M locked for A2 ? 

Yes. It could land somewhere between 150 to 200.

[cooldude97]

https://english.news.cn/20221227/e339cf1df0d240708075d2f1f57eb2c1/c.html

 

Maoyan currently forecasts "Avatar: The Way of Water" to complete its box office run in China with about 1.15 billion yuan (around $165 million)

[Sheldon Cr]

41 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

https://english.news.cn/20221227/e339cf1df0d240708075d2f1f57eb2c1/c.html

 

Maoyan currently forecasts "Avatar: The Way of Water" to complete its box office run in China with about 1.15 billion yuan (around $165 million)

Hopefully we can do a bit better than that🦝😉

[xieh tie]

 

full river red box office prediction

[charlie Jatinder]

Day	Date	Daily	% +/- YD / LW*		To Date	Daily in $	To Date in $	Day #
Fri	16 Dec 2022	¥162,296,000			¥162,296,000	$23,284,900	$23,284,900	1
Sat	17 Dec 2022	¥141,793,000	-12.63%		¥304,089,000	$20,343,300	$43,628,200	2
Sun	18 Dec 2022	¥94,020,000	-33.69%		¥398,109,000	$13,489,200	$57,117,400	3
Mon	19 Dec 2022	¥37,381,000	-60.24%		¥435,490,000	$5,363,100	$62,480,500	4
Tue	20 Dec 2022	¥31,181,000	-16.59%		¥466,671,000	$4,473,600	$66,954,100	5
Wed	21 Dec 2022	¥28,506,000	-8.58%		¥495,177,000	$4,089,800	$71,043,900	6
Thu	22 Dec 2022	¥26,734,000	-6.22%		¥521,911,000	$3,835,600	$74,879,500	7
Fri	23 Dec 2022	¥35,374,000	32.32%	-78.20%	¥557,285,000	$5,075,200	$79,954,700	8
Sat	24 Dec 2022	¥74,271,000	109.96%	-47.62%	¥631,556,000	$10,655,800	$90,610,500	9
Sun	25 Dec 2022	¥71,593,000	-3.61%	-23.85%	¥703,149,000	$10,271,600	$100,882,100	10
Mon	26 Dec 2022	¥27,853,000	-61.10%	-25.49%	¥731,002,000	$3,996,100	$104,878,200	11
Tue	27 Dec 2022	¥25,844,000	-7.21%	-17.12%	¥756,846,000	$3,707,900	$108,586,100	12
Wed	28 Dec 2022	¥25,006,000	-3.24%	-12.28%	¥781,852,000	$3,587,700	$112,173,800	13
Thu	29 Dec 2022	¥26,000,000	3.98%	-2.75%	¥807,852,000	$3,730,300	$115,904,100	14

 

¥286M 2nd week. Weekdays held well. Expecting ¥200M (+10%) 3rd weekend. Expect it to reach ¥1.35-1.4B ($190-200M) till CNY, if CNY releases don't move, run will mostly end, if they move and cinemas remain open, it will get a whole new life and can go on to post even bigger number.

[Andreas]

42 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Day	Date	Daily	% +/- YD / LW*		To Date	Daily in $	To Date in $	Day #
Fri	16 Dec 2022	¥162,296,000			¥162,296,000	$23,284,900	$23,284,900	1
Sat	17 Dec 2022	¥141,793,000	-12.63%		¥304,089,000	$20,343,300	$43,628,200	2
Sun	18 Dec 2022	¥94,020,000	-33.69%		¥398,109,000	$13,489,200	$57,117,400	3
Mon	19 Dec 2022	¥37,381,000	-60.24%		¥435,490,000	$5,363,100	$62,480,500	4
Tue	20 Dec 2022	¥31,181,000	-16.59%		¥466,671,000	$4,473,600	$66,954,100	5
Wed	21 Dec 2022	¥28,506,000	-8.58%		¥495,177,000	$4,089,800	$71,043,900	6
Thu	22 Dec 2022	¥26,734,000	-6.22%		¥521,911,000	$3,835,600	$74,879,500	7
Fri	23 Dec 2022	¥35,374,000	32.32%	-78.20%	¥557,285,000	$5,075,200	$79,954,700	8
Sat	24 Dec 2022	¥74,271,000	109.96%	-47.62%	¥631,556,000	$10,655,800	$90,610,500	9
Sun	25 Dec 2022	¥71,593,000	-3.61%	-23.85%	¥703,149,000	$10,271,600	$100,882,100	10
Mon	26 Dec 2022	¥27,853,000	-61.10%	-25.49%	¥731,002,000	$3,996,100	$104,878,200	11
Tue	27 Dec 2022	¥25,844,000	-7.21%	-17.12%	¥756,846,000	$3,707,900	$108,586,100	12
Wed	28 Dec 2022	¥25,006,000	-3.24%	-12.28%	¥781,852,000	$3,587,700	$112,173,800	13
Thu	29 Dec 2022	¥26,000,000	3.98%	-2.75%	¥807,852,000	$3,730,300	$115,904,100	14

 

¥286M 2nd week. Weekdays held well. Expecting ¥200M (+10%) 3rd weekend. Expect it to reach ¥1.35-1.4B ($190-200M) till CNY, if CNY releases don't move, run will mostly end, if they move and cinemas remain open, it will get a whole new life and can go on to post even bigger number.

Do you know why the numbers are different on http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/daily/?

For exemple, as per this site, ATWOW has made $3.71M and has reached $115.97M as of yesterday, December 28th.

 

Nevermind, just realised that their ER is wrong.

Edited December 29, 2022 by Andreas

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, Andreas said:

Do you know why the numbers are different on http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/daily/?

For exemple, as per this site, ATWOW has made $3.71M and has reached $115.97M as of yesterday, December 28th.

Exchange rate diffs. ENT is using some weird 6.75 ER. Actual ER is $1=¥6.97