redfirebird2008 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I`d love to see that because that would make my TH Under BD2 prediction come true. I`d love Twihards to beat Ringers because arrogant Ringers were always fighting with Star wars fans and HP fans and didn`t think Twi would ever threaten Th`s BO. Now that twist would be amazing!Couldn't care less about all that stuff. I do think it's amusing that TDKR's run was considered a big disappointment by people on here even though it made $448m despite a national tragedy happening during one of its midnight shows. If 448 is disappointing, what is 280 for Hobbit when a bunch of people on here were predicting it to be a lock for 400-450? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 No, I think 50% is about right, unless it ends up being more of a weekend movie. We don't really know that yet.True, but this weekend, based off the 2007 weekend, is a little different than other weekends. Films seem to have decent to smaller Friday and Saturday increases and smaller Sunday decreases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 If it follows IAL's multiplier, it will make $280m. If that happens, the meltdown on here will be crazy.I mean IAL could be a good reference for first week. Better reference than LOTR. We still do not know how it will hold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Couldn't care less about all that stuff. I do think it's amusing that TDKR's run was considered a big disappointment by people on here even though it made $448m despite a national tragedy happening during one of its midnight shows. If 448 is disappointing, what is 280 for Hobbit when a bunch of people on here were predicting it to be a lock for 400-450? What is 280M? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 (edited) But ya know... kids are still in school. Or else it would have been bigger.Same as with Avengers. (and any other movie in the world) Edited December 18, 2012 by Elessar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 (edited) What is 280M?The amount Hobbit will end up with if it follows I Am Legend's multiplier. Peludo mentioned that they opened on the same day of the year and their Monday drops were similar (59% for IAL vs. 61% for TH1). Edited December 18, 2012 by redfirebird2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 A sub 300 total for Hobbit seems like a real possibility now. It's following I Am Legend pretty closely so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 This upcoming weekend in general will be slow. Lots of traveling and Christmas shopping. I don't expect any of the openers to break high teens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Couldn't care less about all that stuff. I do think it's amusing that TDKR's run was considered a big disappointment by people on here even though it made $448m despite a national tragedy happening during one of its midnight shows. If 448 is disappointing, what is 280 for Hobbit when a bunch of people on here were predicting it to be a lock for 400-450?If it misses 300, the reasons are very simple, or will be once it does. A) the weather has been unseasonably warm in the southern part of Eastern Canada and North Eastern USB) Football is very interesting this year...too many people staying home to watch football.C) Video game sales are through the roof, people would rather play video games than go see HobbitD) The Bourne Legacy and IA4 came out on DVD on Tuesday, muting the opening of HobbitE) Walmart is having a massive sale all of DecemberF) McDonalds has two can dine for $9.99G) Everyone is waiting for it to just come out on BRH) The Economy is badI) Lots of good Christmas specials on TVJ) Lots of people have to wash their hairAll valid excuses. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Sparrow Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 A sub-300m total was a real possibility since after the OD numbers were out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Sparrow Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 If it misses 300, the reasons are very simple, or will be once it does. A) the weather has been unseasonably warm in the southern part of Eastern Canada and North Eastern US Football is very interesting this year...too many people staying home to watch football.C) Video game sales are through the roof, people would rather play video games than go see HobbitD) The Bourne Legacy and IA4 came out on DVD on Tuesday, muting the opening of HobbitE) Walmart is having a massive sale all of DecemberF) McDonalds has two can dine for $9.99G) Everyone is waiting for it to just come out on BRH) The Economy is badI) Lots of good Christmas specials on TVJ) Lots of people have to wash their hairAll valid excuses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 J) Lots of people have to wash their hair All valid excuses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 A sub-300m total was a real possibility since after the OD numbers were out.Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Maybe people would rather eat the Hobbit Second Breakfast at Denny's. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 7.7MPretty decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 A sub 300 total for Hobbit seems like a real possibility now. It's following I Am Legend pretty closely so far.Nah, I think $300M still happens. Then again, some lost souls still think $400M is happening. Sad, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I think it will squeeze past 300M but wont beat fellowship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 I think it will squeeze past 300M but wont beat fellowship. If it doesn't beat Fellowship, then all this spin can't be justified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bumblebee Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Those numbers are ok for TH but hardly exciting. I still think it will probably go over $300m but it doesn't seem like it's a lock anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 The film's going to be a disappointment, at this point it's just a question of how much that disappointment is assuaged in the next few weeks. Only a couple of weeks ago it was quite reasonable to assume it would fly past a billion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
