lab276 Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Fooled again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Now that fans have stayed, I think there's no reason to think they won't for the final film. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 If the opening day ends up being ~70m and the weekend ~140m and the total ~290-300m then this has to be the most consistent franchise ever.I still think Potter is the poster boy for consistency. With the exception of the first one being an outlier, 6 of the films fell between somewhere around 40-45m admissions domestically. DH1 fell a little below that. Potter went strong for 10 years. Twilight will have knocked out 5 films in 4 years. It has the clear advantage with time and holding peoples attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 Now that fans have stayed, I think there's no reason to think they won't for the final film.The same that happened with Potter will happen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kells Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Variety is now saying $135 million weekend.Variety_JLD Josh Dickey BREAKING DAWN tracking for $135m; could fall a shade below NEW MOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 I agree with Linus, I'm really curious about HF2 numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 (a) seems pretty early for any estimate( if true, this would set new records for front loaded-ness by a major opener, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Man it's 4 pm here in California and we have weekend estimates for BD1. Haha just pure guesstimating at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trixie99 Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Now that fans have stayed, I think there's no reason to think they won't for the final film.I agree. If Twilight were to lose fans, it would have been with this movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trixie99 Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 (a) seems pretty early for any estimate( if true, this would set new records for front loaded-ness by a major opener, right?I think it's more likely to top New Moon by a couple million. That prediction/estimate seems quite low to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 The same that happened with Potter will happen here.Nodding.I agree. If Twilight were to lose fans, it would have been with this movie.Nodding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wormhole Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 $135M is around expected. But we all knew that it would do at least somewhere around that. Happy Feet 2 is a little bit less certain. I'd love to know how it's doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Variety reports $13.5m for HF2 and Hollywood Report says $13.8m.https://twitter.com/#%21/Variety_JLD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 That is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 So around a third of Twilight then...solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 So, let's take that Friday number: $42mNew Moon's IM:30.3 Midnights42.0 Friday38.2 Saturday25.2 Sunday135.7 OWDH1 IM:30.3 Midnights42.0 Friday42.6 Saturday27.9 Sunday142.8 OW Variety is now saying $135 million weekend.Variety_JLD Josh DickeyBREAKING DAWN tracking for $135m; could fall a shade below NEW MOON.If it follows New Moon's trajectory, then it will fall below its OW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 $135m would be okay for Breaking Dawn, IMHO. $15m decrease from New Moon when adjusted for inflation, and would in no way exceed $280m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 So what number should we expect for HF ll? 42 M - 45 M? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 NoVA/DC Friday Sellout Update: 34 sellouts as of 7:40PM EST in the Northern VA and DC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 This has got to be the shortest thread ever for a $50+ OD estimate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
