On the low end, IA5 is gonna bring in half the amount of people in theatres to watch this movie here compared to its predecessor. Let the major drop-off begin, everywhere!!!
I just looked up some numbers on insidekino, and the Independence Day numbers are crazy, over 9mio admissions for this movie, I didn't remember that movie being so popular. What are the expectations for the sequel?
The question is whether Rogue One will come close or fall short of the 3.77 multiplier TFA showed last year. I don't think it can hold so well, especially with the holiday constellation this year. Something like 150/ 3.3 multi/ 500
In generell the Pixar movies are better, but yes, some Disney hits were more preferable than Cars 2 or Brave, like Zootopia or Tangled, but the best Pixar movies are definately surpassing the best Disney film, CGI of course.
I think Avatar 2 will suffer the same fate as that of Alice 2, a big decrease in ticket sales from a lot of major markets. Some may increase (mainly China) but that won't help.
Maybe not the first weekend, but I can imagine that piracy hurts the repeat viewing business. That's why the multipliers are getting worse, of course the "give it to me now" mentality plays a big role, too.
http://www.bluray-disc.de/blu-ray-news/allgemein/98072-star-wars-das-erwachen-der-macht-knackt-in-nur-einer-woche-die-halbe-million-blu-ray-marktanteil-be
500k sales first week for TFA in Germany with a 60% bluray share. So we got around 5,3M disks sold in the US, UK and Germany together in the first week, without VoD.
Show me a better album released in 2010, or even this decade. This record is a masterpiece and will go down in history as one of its greatest achievements.