Transformers: The Last Knight | 6/21/2017 | Big Budget, Weak OW?

[noknobs]

13 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The trailer is barely registering on YouTube. None of the videos have over 1M views.

 

?

I'm not good at math but pretty sure this is over a million...

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AntcyqJ6brc

 

[elcaballero]

1 minute ago, Jake Gittes said:

I would laugh so hard if the audiences actually IDR'd this come June. 

It might happen to some degree domestically, but this might also come close to equaling IDR's WW total in China alone.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, noknobs said:

 

?

I'm not good at math but pretty sure this is over a million...

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AntcyqJ6brc

 

Must have updated. Anyways, I really wouldn't consider that number strong considering how well WW, The Mummy, and Cars 3's trailers performed. Even Pirates was performing much better.

Edited December 6, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[John Marston]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Must have updated. Anyways, I really wouldn't consider that number strong considering how well WW, The Mummy, and Cars 3's trailers performed. Even Pirates was performing much better.

 Trailer just released yesterday night. AOE trailers on YouTube got less views than Godzilla, DOFP and ASM 2 and still beat them

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 Trailer just released yesterday night. AOE trailers on YouTube got less views than Godzilla, DOFP and ASM 2 and still beat them

Even then, it's performing terribly compared to the movies I mentioned. Mummy already had over 3M views in a shorter amount of time.

[The Futurist]

Franchise fatigue putting the nail in the coffin ?

 

 

[Captain Craig]

1 hour ago, Jake Gittes said:

I would laugh so hard if the audiences actually IDR'd this come June. 

Many of us are predicting a very, very likelihood of sub or ~$200m us domestic.

The prior two films have had sizable downward Domestic hauls. With TF:4 bringing just $245us domestic.

Now if it pulls an ID:R and barely makes $100m I think that would surprise but don't count on that sizable of a drop happening. 

[CJohn]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Even then, it's performing terribly compared to the movies I mentioned. Mummy already had over 3M views in a shorter amount of time.

Gawd Duhamel not bringing in da viewz. They need to show T$rese in the next trailer.

[John Marston]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Even then, it's performing terribly compared to the movies I mentioned. Mummy already had over 3M views in a shorter amount of time.

 

 

 

The Mummy has more views than GOTG 2 apparently so it is probably getting some curiosity. A lot of comments are people just talking about Tom Cruise or saying they wish it was a Brendan Fraser comeback lol

 

 

looking at 2014

 

Age of Extinction first trailer 2.5 million views

 

 

Dragon 2 first trailer - 9.7 million views 

 

Dawn of the Apes first trailer - 10.9 million views

 

Godzilla first trailer - 16.7 million views 

 

 

Days of Future Past first trailer - 33.7 million views

 

Amazing Spider-Man 2 first trailer - 36.6 million views

 

 

and AOE ended up doing the best 

 

 

 

don't get me wrong I don't expect a huge domestic hit but I think I think trailer views mean little unless they are gigantic

Edited December 6, 2016 by John Marston

[WrathOfHan]

I'm expecting 60/150 right now. The audience is still there, but it's dwindling. 

[Chewy]

lol so Bay brought a Katniss/Rey into this? That oughta be... fun

[Jake Gittes]

32 minutes ago, Captain Craig said:

Many of us are predicting a very, very likelihood of sub or ~$200m us domestic.

The prior two films have had sizable downward Domestic hauls. With TF:4 bringing just $245us domestic.

Now if it pulls an ID:R and barely makes $100m I think that would surprise but don't count on that sizable of a drop happening. 

 

I'm thinking no more than 175 myself. TF4 dropped 30% from TF3, wasn't as well-liked, and this trailer doesn't really show anything new or revelatory in terms of spectacle (don't tell me anyone is watching this shit for story), so it should keep dropping at the same speed. But if it actually drops all the way down to 100-125m... that would be a sight to see. 

[The Futurist]

The movie is about

 

Spoiler

time travel where decepticons have won ?

 

Edited December 6, 2016 by The Futurist

[Chewy]

Many people are saying this will fall below 100M dom. Great people, too. Top people. I'm not saying it but many people are.

[antovolk]

16 minutes ago, Chewy said:

lol so Bay brought a Katniss/Rey into this? That oughta be... fun

Haddock's character or the 15 year old Nickelodeon star? If the former...funny coincidence her husband was in THG

[Chewy]

Just now, antovolk said:

Haddock's character or the 15 year old Nickelodeon star? If the former...funny coincidence her husband was in THG

 

Whoever the girl living in the streets was, the one with the Transformer partner. Probably the 15 year old

[antovolk]

7 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Whoever the girl living in the streets was, the one with the Transformer partner. Probably the 15 year old

Yeah, that's the 15 year old.

[4815162342]

I hope us legal junkies get our fix in this one. That R+J Law scene in T4 was a total showstopper.

[marveldcfox]

This needs to bomb so badly domestically and underperform overseas minus China so that Paramount decides to only do China exclusive transformers movies. Keep giving them what they love. Let the rest of the world be spared.

Edited December 6, 2016 by marveldcfox

[Chewy]

What if I told you that I enjoyed the fourth Transformers movie