Weekend Estimates: LS - 38.5M | FZ - 15.1M | WoWS - 9M | Hercules - 8.6M | AH - 8.6M | Her - 5.4M

[baumer]

So Frozen should beat DM2. But I dont see it making 400M unless it has another crazy hold after MLK weekend. But it should come close. 

 

OS it seems to fall off the cliff post holidays.. So it really needs china/japan to hop on to the hype train for it to beat DM2 WW. I am not sure a musical will click with Chinese audience but it should do well in Japan.

 

It looks like Frozen could hit 900 if it does relatively well in China and Japan.

[Olive]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice 3mUniversal's LONE SURVIVOR blasted its way to #1 with $38.5M--the 2nd highest January opening of all-time.

[druv10]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice5m

THE HOBBIT: THE DESOLATION OF SMAUG took in an estimated $8.02M this weekend. Domestic total now stands at $242.22M.

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice7m

HER took in an estimated $5.41M this weekend. Domestic total now stands at $8.81M. #Her

[chuck0]

i tried to watch frozen last night ,ff a bit  and ran when little girl started singing by her sister door after they took magic away or smtg 

 

took it off and was like nope no no no no ....

 

maybe i was too tired , i'd have to wait and see if i'm in a good mood to hear an animation with songs in it

 

is there like a lot of songs in it?

 

i got the screener for my nephews and niece 

 

anyhoo it looks good otherwise from the 5mn i saw ....

 

The songs are primarily concentrated in the first half of the movie. Frozen heart, do you want to build a snowman, love is an open door as well as let it go are pretty much happening back to back. Here the movie really is as close to a stage musical as it can get. The second half of the movie only has in summer, the reprise to for the first time in forever (which makes for a pretty neat moment) and fixer upper. In the end if musicals arent for you Frozen might be a bit hard to watch since a large part of it is conveyed via song...

[FishMB]

DoS will finish with about $268 right?

[picores]

DoS will finish with about $268 right?

 

$267.35 i would say.

[picores]

Mighty internal multiplier this weekend for DOS btw.

[Incarnadine]

So will Frozen be at about 335 after next weekend?

Assuming the 14 mil estimate for this weekend is close, it should be over 335 after next weekend.

 

302.6 heading into this weekend, +14 is 316.6. Last week mon-thurs was 5.9m, so around 4 mil this week has it around 320.6.

15 m for MLK weekend seems where most expectations are at so we have 335.6. A 334-336 range seems very likely.

[Ezen Baklattan]

I neglected to note that my 1:50 show of Her yesterday was absolutely packed. The entire back section of the 200-seat auditorium (a stadium screener) was extremely full. I live near a big university, though, so it's probably the kind of movie that plays better in big cities and the coasts.

[Dingdong123]

^I believe the 5.9M mon-thurs for Frozen last week was inflated due to the kids being out of school (mon & tues) because of the snow storm thing. So i'm thinking of around 3M for the weekedays coming. But yeah 335M is on sight after the 4-day MLK weekend.

[Jessie]

i tried to watch frozen last night ,ff a bit  and ran when little girl started singing by her sister door after they took magic away or smtg took it off and was like nope no no no no .... maybe i was too tired , i'd have to wait and see if i'm in a good mood to hear an animation with songs in it is there like a lot of songs in it? i got the screener for my nephews and niece anyhoo it looks good otherwise from the 5mn i saw ....

I'm with you, I can't stand musicals.

[Olive]

Scott Mendelson ‏@ScottMendelson22s

LEGEND OF HERCULES: $8.6 million debut. 49% 3D, B- Cinema Score, 57% male, 55% over 25 years old.

[Ezen Baklattan]

 

Scott Mendelson ‏@ScottMendelson22s

LEGEND OF HERCULES: $8.6 million debut. 49% 3D, B- Cinema Score, 57% male, 55% over 25 years old.

 

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice7m

HER took in an estimated $5.41M this weekend. Domestic total now stands at $8.81M. #Her

 

 

THIS IS WHY ALIENS WON'T TALK TO US

[AniNate]

They did really push it this last week. Her didn't have ads during the NFL playoffs.

[Ezen Baklattan]

A lot of it may have from spillover from Lone Survivor sellouts.

[LexJoker]

So Hercules has a higher cinemascore than Wolf.....

[CoolioD1]

So Hercules has a higher cinemascore than Wolf.....

Kellan Lutz currently the frontrunner for next year's Oscars.

[mahnamahna]

I was thinking there was a chance for that movie to be the first 100m domestic of 2014, but Lone Survivor will now probably take that title.  I think the movie looks interesting as well  .  I would think in the 25-35 range for OW

Lone Survivor counts as a 2013 release  that'd be like saying Gran Torino or The Bucket List were 2009/2008 releases respectively. 

 

Ride Along or LEGO Movie will be the first 100m grossers

[druv10]

So Hercules has a higher cinemascore than Wolf.....

 

CS is a joke anyway. Remember it's only polled in 5 theaters so noway to gauge WOM from such a small sample size. WOM clearly is great for WOWS so that C- is looking like a joke. 

[AniNate]

Where do they get them from, anyway? Kearney, Nebraska?