The Panda Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 but he is ignoring that Godzilla is not a completely original movie. Godzilla/monster movies have large enough fanbases to create some frontloadingExcept I'd expect sequels to fan driven movies to be more front loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 All due respect to Ray, I think it's a little early to speculate about numbers over $100 million. For all we know, Godzilla had a massive fanboy turnout last night. I think the window is as wide as $70m-110m, with the likely outcome somewhere between $77-90m. I think you're way off. The window is no more than 69.9 to about 109.5. Come on Shawn. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forg Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Go Godzilla! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMan7 Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 So we're looking at a 93M OW possibly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Shawn's 75 Million Tracking report seems to be spot on with this 9 million midnight numbers. I was thinking more 60-65 range but again I have to see Friday's number cause Shawn may be right, last night midnights could of been fanboy rush but it's looking good for this reboot thus far for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 16, 2014 Founder / Operator Share Posted May 16, 2014 Except I'd expect sequels to fan driven movies to be more front loaded. It's a grey area, for sure. It's easy to see how this Godzilla would be acting like a sequel with its decades' worth of fans and huge online hype over the past few months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I think you're way off. The window is no more than 69.9 to about 109.5. Come on Shawn.Well Nikki's tweet last night beats both of you.My sources say over/under on 'Godzilla' is $77M/$65M domestic weekend grosses. Should be big internationally.10:00pm - 15 May 14NikkiFinke 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 If Godzilla has good legs and a big enough opening it could possibly have a 3rd weekend higher than DOFP's second. (Given x-men movies extreme front loaded nature) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 All due respect to Ray, I think it's a little early to speculate about numbers over $100 million. For all we know, Godzilla had a massive fanboy turnout last night. I think the window is as wide as $70m-110m, with the likely outcome somewhere between $77-90m. 100m+ is going to happen fo sho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I think you're way off. The window is no more than 69.9 to about 109.5. Come on Shawn. Joking aside, realistic range would be between 95.1m to about 95.2m 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 $150mil opening confirmed! confirmed because reasons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I definitely curious about the word of mouth on this one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I definitely curious about the word of mouth on this one.My FB was flooded with good responses. Then again my friends suck at movie opinions . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 100m+ is going to happen fo sho.I never thought I'd see the day where Godzilla opens higher than Spidey and not just that the potential biggest opening of the year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I definitely curious about the word of mouth on this one.I think it's going to be mixed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I'm thinking just under $90M OW now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I don't think this is purely fanboy film, the numbers clearly indicate that it's not. It has MASSIVE appeal, it wouldn't be grossing OW 75M+, maybe even $100M if it was a "fanboy" film. 53-58% drop is what I'm expecting next week and that monday should help. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 I never thought I'd see the day where Godzilla opens higher than Spidey and not just that the potential biggest opening of the year! Wont beat mockingbird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 This lizard might be taking a bigger bite out of Spidey than initially expected... 55% drop for the web crawler this weekend?Its loss of imax will hurt it the most. I think mid 50s drop seems about right...thurs # will be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Expecting very mixed WOM that will equate to about a 2.5 multiplier and total cume in the $215M to $230M range. It should be buoyed by the approaching holiday weekend. Without it, I'd have said 2.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...