Weekend numbers thread:TMNT: 28.4 GOTG: 24.7 LBC. 17.7 Ex3: 16.2

[Dementeleus]

I was only 350m off on DRAGONS 2. No biggie.

[GiantCALBears]

Did I read that correctly that HTTYD 2 opened 8x higher than 1 in China? Just another example of movie going exploding over there in a very short time period. Look at the difference in attendance, what American films are allowed to be screened over there in the past 5-15 years. Remarkable.

[terrestrial]

I'm aware of all the release dates, I've been keeping track of them. I asked the question because it just added 22m in one week with only 2 new markets from last week plus a few others at the end of it's run.

 

It started with that little 'tweak' I too think they did, but as that tweak's percentage was way under the usual / often to see percentages (for whatever reason, see Sony) = as in being moderate I am not happy about this new 'en vogue' things to doubt every new number

=> the situation then got blown up way out of proportion IMHO.

 

International numbers are already a difficult thing see changing exchange rates and other problems, before there is no additional input IMHO too early to assume.

Why not asks if someone has an explanation for the increase e.g. in the international area and here? See the Japanese holiday or...

[John Marston]

Disney and Paramount were so fucking smart with their release date choices. Now they can potentially remain in the top 5 all the way until the end of September possibly

[*] 

[Jandrew]

Did I read that correctly that HTTYD 2 opened 8x higher than 1 in China? Just another example of movie going exploding over there in a very short time period. Look at the difference in attendance, what American films are allowed to be screened over there in the past 5-15 years. Remarkable.

MADEA GOES TO CHINA April 1, 2016. dom: $35M/ os: $550M/ os (china only) $548M/ os (-China) $2M/ ww: $585M.

[miketheavenger]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 2 mins

HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON 2: $366M Overseas Total / $537.2M Global Total #HowToTrainYourDragon2

 

Box Office Mojo ‏@boxofficemojo 17 mins

'How to Train Your Dragon 2' opened to $25.9 million in China -- that's 8x higher than #1: http://bit.ly/1mYaNDO 

What's the record for highest-grossing animated movie in China? Wonder if Dragon could surpass the record-holder.

[The Panda]

Movies that should open over 20m or close to it are If I Stay, Maze Runner, and Equalizer

[James]

What's the record for highest-grossing animated movie in China? Wonder if Dragon could surpass the record-holder.

Kung Fu Panda 2 I think. It made close to 100M. And Dragons won't touch it probably.

Edited August 17, 2014 by James

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Oh... Yeah. SHH called out that dude for that shit, had to delete those exact same posts.He's cringeworthy. And the stuff he writes about the box office? Totally idiotic. Bad apples, man. Bad apples.

Maybe he is BKB's brother? 

[miketheavenger]

Kung Fu Panda 2 I think. It made close to 100M. And Dragons won't touch it probably.

That makes sense. KFP 3 could explode in China, too. Still a great result for HTTYD 2. Also, nice domestic holds for TMNT and GotG.

[estebanJ]

Guardians of the Galaxy and Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles are kind of reminding me of the Rush Hour 2/American Pie 2 duo from August 2001. On a higher scale, of course.

 

Maybe on a higher scale than AP2, but I wouldn't say that about Rush Hour 2. That film was extremely popular, grossing $226m domestic, which is well over $300m when adjusted for inflation. Neither TMNT or even GOTG is likely to match its domestic popularity.

[TServo2049]

Not trying to puff up GOTG/TMNT relative to RH2/AP2, but what about popularity relative to the amount of the U.S./Canada population that's actually going to the movies? Clearly, not as many people are going, otherwise we wouldn't be in the state we're in. But among the people who ARE, are GOTG/TMNT doing business on the same scale as RH2/AP2 among the 2001 moviegoing population?Using this site and its statistics adjusting RH2 further for population and per capita attendance changes (using current BOM 2014 price of $8.15, population of 2013, and per capitas of 2013 and 2011 - since this year's low attendance is comparable to '11) yielded an adjusted "popularity" number of either $275m (with 2011 per-capita) or $296m (with 2013 per-capita). The mean of those two numbers is $285.5m.So if GOTG does end up legging it at least that far, by that website's system it could be considered about as equally "popular" in the BO environment of August 2014 as RH2 was in the BO environment of August 2001.As for TMNT vs. AP2, doing the same thing for AP2 calculates to either $176.7 or $190.5 - the average is $183.6. Not sure if TMNT is going to reach that total...

Edited August 17, 2014 by TServo2049

[terrestrial]

What's the record for highest-grossing animated movie in China? Wonder if Dragon could surpass the record-holder.

 

BOM has a big hole in the yearly China list as China didn't release for a time details and is still a bit difficult.

 

Another problem for me is, I am not into animated or any other form of non-live action, so I wouldn't recognse the titles on the existing lists for being animated or not

 

I think the best would be to ask at the Chinese board here in this forum

Star-Lord Olive seems to have a rather actual insight into the Chinese market,

 

 

#14745

Biggest Animated movie OPENING DAYS

 

update 8.15.2014

 

1. Kung Fu Panda II - 67M(OD)  617M(total)

2.Ice Age 4 - 35M  450M

3.How to Train Your Dragon II - 34.9M  360-420M(projected)

4.Boonie Bears - 32.4M  247M

5.Despicable Me II - 24M  320M

6.Monsters Uni. - 22.8M  210M

7.The Croods - 22M  395M

 

*IA4 opened on a Friday, its 3-day OW was 130M yuan, and end up with a total of 450M.

It had a great Multiplier.

*Dragon 2 is on track to open around 150M yuan, 2.4-2.8x multiplier from its 4-day opening is the likely total.

.

Friday update

HTTYD2  31.3M    66.2M

 

16 Aug:

Some people set their expectations way too high.

HTTYD  95M yuan

HTTYD2  350M yuan

nearly 300% increace in USD, it's impressive.

 

SUPER GIRL too provides lots of data, and the thread starter firedeep

 

 

SUPER GIRL

Sunday Top 3 est.

1.How to Train Your Dragon 2 48.4M/$7.8M,Total:163M/$26.3M(4 days)

2.Z Storm 14.6M/$2.4M, 31.5M/$5.1M(2 days)

3.Pompeii 14M/$2.3M, 40.5M/$6.5M(3 days)

 

Brick Mansions?

Sunday est

3.7M/$0.6M, Total:175M/$28.2M

 

Rsyu is the same good with Asian numbers (and being from SK, .... SK in-depth insight)

There are also other, but those seem to be the ones with the most insight into ... lists / datas

Edited August 17, 2014 by terrestrial

[kdx125]

Just got back from not seeing GotG because the woman at the ticket counter said it was down to 20 seats and I didn't want to sit that close to the screen.  And it's not like I got there late or anything, it was what normally would be more than enough time before the previews started.

 

Bought a ticket for the next one 3 hours later; the couple behind me were debating doing that or going to see the Expendables.  Dunno how representative my theater is of the rest of the country, but there's at least one place in America where the Expendables are only doing as well as they're doing because people are having trouble getting into Guardians.

 

[terrestrial]

Just got back from not seeing GotG because the woman at the ticket counter said it was down to 20 seats and I didn't want to sit that close to the screen.  And it's not like I got there late or anything, it was what normally would be more than enough time before the previews started.

 

Bought a ticket for the next one 3 hours later; the couple behind me were debating doing that or going to see the Expendables.  Dunno how representative my theater is of the rest of the country, but there's at least one place in America where the Expendables are only doing as well as they're doing because people are having trouble getting into Guardians.

 

Interesting.

But annyoying for you

 

Edited August 17, 2014 by terrestrial

[terrestrial]

Boxofficemojo gives Summer list, I picked the ones over $100m

 

1	Transformers: Age of Extinction	Par.	$243,337,000	4,233	$100,038,390	4,233	6/27	-
2	Maleficent	BV	$236,786,000	3,948	$69,431,298	3,948	5/30	-
3	X-Men: Days of Future Past	Fox	$232,485,000	4,001	$90,823,660	3,996	5/23	-
4	Guardians of the Galaxy	BV	$222,281,000	4,088	$94,320,883	4,080	8/1	-
5	The Amazing Spider-Man 2	Sony	$202,778,224	4,324	$91,608,337	4,324	5/2	-
6	Dawn of the Planet of the Apes	Fox	$201,812,000	3,969	$72,611,427	3,967	7/11	-
7	Godzilla (2014)	WB	$200,506,545	3,952	$93,188,384	3,952	5/16	-
8	22 Jump Street	Sony	$189,910,000	3,426	$57,071,445	3,306	6/13	-
9	How to Train Your Dragon 2	Fox	$171,217,593	4,268	$49,451,322	4,253	6/13	-
10	Neighbors	Uni.	$150,053,800	3,311	$49,033,915	3,279	5/9	-
11	The Fault in our Stars	Fox	$124,174,000	3,340	$48,002,523	3,173	6/6	-
12	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014)	Par.	$117,642,000	3,980	$65,575,105	3,845	8/8	-
13	Lucy	Uni.	$107,537,000	3,202	$43,899,340	3,173	7/25	-

 

[terrestrial]

And as I am too stupid to figure out how to add a link into html, if there is already another text, here the link to BOM top Summer List

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/seasonal/?view=releasedate&yr=2014&season=Summer&sort=gross&order=DESC&p=.htm&42

[Moviefanatic]

Nice numbers for Turtles and GOTG. Turtles could be number one again if Sin City 2 flops.

GOTG has a good shot at passing TF4 domestically on Sunday

TF4 should finish in the 840-850 million range OS. Very nice. 

Lucy is hanging in there. Will past Salt soon unless it loses a ton of theaters. 

[Fullbuster]

222m for GOTG?? Wow that's wonderful

[John Marston]

I wonder if TMNT can outgross Dragon 2. That would be kind of hilarious