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Weekend Numbers (4 day estimates pg 35)

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Fantastic hold for GOTG. Even turtles going strong.Barring a catastrophe GOTG is passing 300m.

Considering not many good movies except Maze Runner in September, GOTG and Turtles will have a good run with no other competition.

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If the 3-day gross for this weekend comes out to be 95m or more, then the total August gross would cross $1B.A spectacular August after a pathetic July.

 

Its going to be close but will likely fall just short

 

Fri 21m

Sat 33m

Sun 36m

 

90m

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GOTG is proof that well received films don't have to be killed by competition. It dropped 55% in it's OW but people have still gotten around to seeing this and despite the big first drop, it will end up being one of the leggiest high earning superhero movies of all time. Yet people still say MOS bad legs were solely because of competition and not the quality of the movie.

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This year looks to be the first in over 30 year (maybe more) where no movie in May, June, or July made into the top 5 domestic of the year. Mockingjay will kick another one out so Big Hero 6, Interstellar, or Hobbit just have to beat Transformers.

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GOTG is proof that well received films don't have to be killed by competition. It dropped 55% in it's OW but people have still gotten around to seeing this and despite the big first drop, it will end up being one of the leggiest high earning superhero movies of all time. Yet people still say MOS bad legs were solely because of competition and not the quality of the movie.

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz... MOS competition:MU, WWZ, The Heat, DM2, The Conjuring, Wolverine...GOTG competition:TMNT....
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This year looks to be the first in over 30 year (maybe more) where no movie in May, June, or July made into the top 5 domestic of the year.

 

Thank you for pointing that detail out, I had not the idea to look out for it, but find it rather interesting

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This year looks to be the first in over 30 year (maybe more) where no movie in May, June, or July made into the top 5 domestic of the year. Mockingjay will kick another one out so Big Hero 6, Interstellar, or Hobbit just have to beat Transformers.

This is the apocalypse.
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What you want mean with this? Competition doesn't hurt good movies?If X-men DOAFP was released on GOTG place, I have sure it would do 270M+

Xmen films are always front loaded regardless of competition. It earned pretty much what everyone expected from it. Edited by jessie
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Xmen films are always front loaded regardless of competition. It earned pretty much what everyone expected from it.

Yes, I know. but don't have good or big movies being released over the weekends... People don't have choice then they watch GOTG. The same would happen with x-men.
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Yes, I know. but don't have good or big movies being released over the weekends... People don't have choice then they watch GOTG. The same would happen with x-men.

Or the same with have happened with TMNT. Xmen isn't exactly the sort of film non fans can go and watch. You have to know whats going on in the story. I know what you're trying to say but Xmen is a bad example to use.
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What you want mean with this?Competition doesn't hurt good movies?If X-men DOAFP was released on GOTG place, I have sure it would do 270M+

 

DOFP was released with a clear advantage already.  It was released during the memorial weekend and started very strong with millions ahead thanks to it.

 

All the other movies released after it, bar Maleficient fell short.. So we can say that it had a great date and didn't have to face tough competition for several weeks too during vacation dailies.

 

In Belgium it was on my cinema 7 whole weeks as opposed to CATWS 3 weeks only because of TASM2.

 

Anyway, all these if, coulda, woulda can be said for any movie.  It's no relevance since every single BO will always be tributary of a lot of circumstantial criteria  and will never be released at the same time, against each other to test their real wom against real direct competition during their whole run.

 

It's part of the game to chose the best profitable time of release and it's a game where it's easy to rewrite the history after the facts when competition becomes suddenly a big deal after our favourite movie performed under what it was set to reach.

 

Fact is, it performed under par because consumers in their vast majority preferred the new option.  Nothing more, nothing else.

Edited by Ent
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Or the same with have happened with TMNT. Xmen isn't exactly the sort of film non fans can go and watch. You have to know whats going on in the story. I know what you're trying to say but Xmen is a bad example to use.

Yes, yes.but x-men could do cap2 legs which is or should be frontloaded too... Edited by MazeRunner23
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GOTG is proof that well received films don't have to be killed by competition. It dropped 55% in it's OW but people have still gotten around to seeing this and despite the big first drop, it will end up being one of the leggiest high earning superhero movies of all time.Yet people still say MOS bad legs were solely because of competition and not the quality of the movie.

I think it's clear that it was a mix of competition and mediocre WOM. But just because you didn't like Man of Steel doesn't mean it's a terrible movie. There are still many people (me included) that really liked MOS.

 

But getting back on topic, excellent weekend for GOTG and TMNT staying strong as well. I will laugh my ass off if Turtles beats TASM 2 domestically. :lol:

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I wonder if Sin City will break the top 25 on this list:

 

Rank Title (click to view) Theaters
Week 2
Theater Change Theaters
Week 3
% BO Change Total Gross^ Release Date*
1 Meet Dave 3,011 -2,523 488 -77.0% $11,803,254 7/11/08
2 Jonah Hex 2,825 -2,475 350 -92.4% $10,547,117 6/18/10
3 The Rocker 2,784 -2,375 409 -84.0% $6,409,528 8/20/08
4 MacGruber 2,546 -2,369 177 -93.7% $8,525,600 5/21/10
5 The Seeker: The Dark Is Rising 3,173 -2,338 835 -78.9% $8,794,452 10/05/07
6 Winter's Tale 2,965 -2,260 705 -88.8% $12,600,231 2/14/14
7 The Last Stand 2,913 -2,224 689 -87.4% $12,050,299 1/18/13
8 The Express 2,810 -2,205 605 -79.3% $9,793,406 10/10/08
9 Hoot 3,018 -2,200 818 -81.5% $8,117,637 5/05/06
10 Lucky You 2,525 -2,180 345 -86.5% $5,758,950 5/04/07
11 Gigli 2,215 -2,142 73 -97.2% $6,087,542 8/01/03
12 Vampire Academy 2,676 -2,140 536 -86.3% $7,791,979 2/07/14
13 Punisher: War Zone 2,508 -2,123 385 -86.0% $8,050,977 12/05/08
14 Paranoia 2,459 -2,067 392 -86.7% $7,385,015 8/16/13
15 Primeval 2,444 -2,043 401 -89.1% $10,597,734 1/12/07
16 The Real Cancun 2,261 -2,037 224 -78.1% $3,825,421 4/25/03
17 The Counselor 3,044 -2,022 1,022 -75.9% $16,973,715 10/25/13
18 Won't Back Down 2,517 -2,004 513 -86.3% $5,310,554 9/28/12
19 The Adventures of Pluto Nash 2,320 -1,995 325 -83.9% $4,420,080 8/16/02
20 Playing for Keeps 2,840 -1,989 851 -86.5% $13,102,272 12/07/12
21 Bullet to the Head 2,404 -1,934 470 -88.4% $9,489,829 2/01/13
22 The Big Bounce 2,304 -1,929 375 -85.4% $6,489,476 1/30/04
23 Grind 2,253 -1,928 325 -84.6% $5,123,696 8/15/03
24 Alone in the Dark 2,124 -1,915 209 -87.7% $5,178,569 1/28/05
25 Bandslam 2,121 -1,914 207 -86.2% $5,210,988 8/14/09

 

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I wonder if Sin City will break the top 25 on this list:

 

Rank Title (click to view) Theaters

Week 2

Theater Change Theaters

Week 3

% BO Change Total Gross^ Release Date* 1 Meet Dave 3,011 -2,523 488 -77.0% $11,803,254 7/11/08 2 Jonah Hex 2,825 -2,475 350 -92.4% $10,547,117 6/18/10 3 The Rocker 2,784 -2,375 409 -84.0% $6,409,528 8/20/08 4 MacGruber 2,546 -2,369 177 -93.7% $8,525,600 5/21/10 5 The Seeker: The Dark Is Rising 3,173 -2,338 835 -78.9% $8,794,452 10/05/07 6 Winter's Tale 2,965 -2,260 705 -88.8% $12,600,231 2/14/14 7 The Last Stand 2,913 -2,224 689 -87.4% $12,050,299 1/18/13 8 The Express 2,810 -2,205 605 -79.3% $9,793,406 10/10/08 9 Hoot 3,018 -2,200 818 -81.5% $8,117,637 5/05/06 10 Lucky You 2,525 -2,180 345 -86.5% $5,758,950 5/04/07 11 Gigli 2,215 -2,142 73 -97.2% $6,087,542 8/01/03 12 Vampire Academy 2,676 -2,140 536 -86.3% $7,791,979 2/07/14 13 Punisher: War Zone 2,508 -2,123 385 -86.0% $8,050,977 12/05/08 14 Paranoia 2,459 -2,067 392 -86.7% $7,385,015 8/16/13 15 Primeval 2,444 -2,043 401 -89.1% $10,597,734 1/12/07 16 The Real Cancun 2,261 -2,037 224 -78.1% $3,825,421 4/25/03 17 The Counselor 3,044 -2,022 1,022 -75.9% $16,973,715 10/25/13 18 Won't Back Down 2,517 -2,004 513 -86.3% $5,310,554 9/28/12 19 The Adventures of Pluto Nash 2,320 -1,995 325 -83.9% $4,420,080 8/16/02 20 Playing for Keeps 2,840 -1,989 851 -86.5% $13,102,272 12/07/12 21 Bullet to the Head 2,404 -1,934 470 -88.4% $9,489,829 2/01/13 22 The Big Bounce 2,304 -1,929 375 -85.4% $6,489,476 1/30/04 23 Grind 2,253 -1,928 325 -84.6% $5,123,696 8/15/03 24 Alone in the Dark 2,124 -1,915 209 -87.7% $5,178,569 1/28/05 25 Bandslam 2,121 -1,914 207 -86.2% $5,210,988 8/14/09

 

Some of those drops are fugly. Gigli lost 97% of theaters on its second weekend. :blink::o

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