BenedictL11 Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 4 hours ago, the beast said: 7/21-7/23 1. Dunkirk - $47M / $50M 2. Apes 3 - $27.5M 3. Girls Trip - $25M 4. SMH - $23.5M 5. Valerian - $23M Valerian ain't gonna open 92% as good as Girls Trip. Reviews and Marketing aren't very good for this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 (edited) Dun 37 War 24 (-57.5%) Val 22 SM 21 (-53%) Edited July 17, 2017 by a2knet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cochofles Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Dunkirk: 60-65 M Girls Trip: 28-30 M Apes: 27.6 M Valerian: 25 MSpider-Man 6: 17 M Wonder Woman: 4.5 M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 01. Dunkirk: 72M 02. Girls Trip: 30M 03. WftPotA: 30M (one can hope that masterpieces are rewarded with legs) 04. Spidey 23M 05. Valerian 18M 06. DM3 11M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the beast Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Updated Predictions For This Weekend: 1. Dunkirk: $64M 2. Girls Trip: $32M 3. War: $28.5M 4. Spidey: $24.5M 5. Valerian: $20M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmbbox2390 Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Dunkirk - With all great reviews it is getting and Nolan, it should cross at least $40 million. I can't wait to see the movie. Girls Trip - This is definitely a wildcard. I'll guess $25 million. And to people who say this is a movie "targeting African Americans". Are you saying this movie is only for black people? Why wouldn't the studio want to reach as why an audience as possible. It just doesn't make sense to me. In Valerian's case, I'm starting to think they should have promoted Rihanna's role a lot more. I think it would've done way more than what it is projected opening weekend. I'm going with $28 million. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 17 minutes ago, cmbbox2390 said: Dunkirk - With all great reviews it is getting and Nolan, it should cross at least $40 million. I can't wait to see the movie. Girls Trip - This is definitely a wildcard. I'll guess $25 million. And to people who say this is a movie "targeting African Americans". Are you saying this movie is only for black people? Why wouldn't the studio want to reach as why an audience as possible. It just doesn't make sense to me. In Valerian's case, I'm starting to think they should have promoted Rihanna's role a lot more. I think it would've done way more than what it is projected opening weekend. I'm going with $28 million. A lot of America unfortunately automatically thinks a movie with black leads=movie for black people. It doesn't help that the trailers make the film's leads look a bit stereotypical. It's why I was questioning how wide it appeals the other day, but presales have put that worry to rest for me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steele131 Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Dunkirk 54M Girls Trip 27M Planet of the Apes 24.5M Spider-Man 21.5M Valerian 17M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: A lot of America unfortunately automatically thinks a movie with black leads=movie for black people. It doesn't help that the trailers make the film's leads look a bit stereotypical. It's why I was questioning how wide it appeals the other day, but presales have put that worry to rest for me. The biggest thing Girls Trip has going for it, above all else, is that the previews make it look legitimately funny ("...so they ain't fuckin' in Guatemala?" ). I maintain that the reason the other comedies underperformed or tanked this summer was because they didn't look funny (considering the reviews that Baywatch, The House, etc. were greeted with, it was clear the marketing wasn't hiding any good bits either). Edited July 18, 2017 by filmlover 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 (edited) 4 minutes ago, filmlover said: The biggest thing Girls Trip has going for it, above all else, is that the previews make it look legitimately funny ("...so they ain't fuckin' in Guatemala?" ). I maintain that the reason the other comedies underperformed or tanked this summer was because they didn't look funny (considering the reviews that Baywatch, The House, etc. were greeted with, it was clear the marketing wasn't hiding any good bits either). Girls Trip should do great domestic but I suspect it'll do okay to mediocre business OS simply because African American comedies don't really do that well. Baywatch while a flop domestic has done okay OS due to the brand being well known especially in Germany and the UK. Edited July 18, 2017 by Jonwo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Just now, Jonwo said: Girls Trip should do great domestic but I suspect it'll do okay business OS simply because African American comedies don't really do that well. Baywatch while a flop domestic has done okay OS due to the brand being well known especially in Germany and the UK. Kind of a "no shit Sherlock" there considering that's the only part of the world where David Hasselhoff is considered an A-lister. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cochofles Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 "These characters are too stereotypical for the film to break out" has always seemed to me like code for "the film is 'too black' for mainstream America." Let's not pretend that we don't live in a world in which comedies with so-called stereotypical white people are constantly released and never deemed 'too stereotypical to have wide appeal.' There is always that double standard: stereotypically "white" comedies' potential to be huge hits is never analyzed using "the characters might be too stereotypical to be a huge hit." People of color on the other hand... Thing is that there is enough black people in the US to make this film a smash if not a single white person went to see it (scared away by "stereotypical" black people). That being said, if a comedy is truly perceived as funny by a lot of people, regardless of their color, the audience will most likely embrace the film. You don't get any more "stereotypical" than My Big Fat Greek Wedding, and we all know how that turned out. Not saying that this is gonna do a MBFGW, obviously, but I would not worry about Girls Trip 's characters scaring non-blacks away. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted July 19, 2017 Share Posted July 19, 2017 (edited) So for at least a month now Cinemark has been cross-promoting Valerian with its member loyalty program, showing ads for the the program with clips from the film in front of every screening of every movie. My local Cinemark just posted their weekend showtimes and they're only giving Valerian four shows a day. Judging by the spacing of the times they're all in the same auditorium, meaning they're giving it one out of fifteen auditoriums. Though to be fair Girls Trip is also getting four showtimes with one auditorium, but that's not a $100m+ would-be-blockbuster that the chain has an ad partnership with. Dunkirk has nine showtimes in two auditoriums (one of which is the XD room). At my next-closest multiplex, also a Cinemark but in a more urban area, Valerian still only has four shows in a single theatre while Girls Trip is getting eight shows from two auditoriums. Edited July 19, 2017 by Xillix Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted July 19, 2017 Share Posted July 19, 2017 6 hours ago, cmbbox2390 said: Dunkirk - With all great reviews it is getting and Nolan, it should cross at least $40 million. I can't wait to see the movie. Girls Trip - This is definitely a wildcard. I'll guess $25 million. And to people who say this is a movie "targeting African Americans". Are you saying this movie is only for black people? Why wouldn't the studio want to reach as why an audience as possible. It just doesn't make sense to me. In Valerian's case, I'm starting to think they should have promoted Rihanna's role a lot more. I think it would've done way more than what it is projected opening weekend. I'm going with $28 million. Are you serious? Why that high for Valerian? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 19, 2017 Share Posted July 19, 2017 9 hours ago, Xillix said: So for at least a month now Cinemark has been cross-promoting Valerian with its member loyalty program, showing ads for the the program with clips from the film in front of every screening of every movie. My local Cinemark just posted their weekend showtimes and they're only giving Valerian four shows a day. Judging by the spacing of the times they're all in the same auditorium, meaning they're giving it one out of fifteen auditoriums. Though to be fair Girls Trip is also getting four showtimes with one auditorium, but that's not a $100m+ would-be-blockbuster that the chain has an ad partnership with. Dunkirk has nine showtimes in two auditoriums (one of which is the XD room). At my next-closest multiplex, also a Cinemark but in a more urban area, Valerian still only has four shows in a single theatre while Girls Trip is getting eight shows from two auditoriums. My theater is also a Cinemark that has had Valerian ads running before movies for the last 2+ months now and they're not booking either screen in any of the largest auditoriums. If that doesn't tell you what its prospects are, I don't know what does. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dandeak2000 Posted July 19, 2017 Share Posted July 19, 2017 21st - 23rd July 2017 1. Dunkirk $45 2. War for the Planet of the Apes $28.5/$100 3. Spider-Man: Homecoming $22.6/$245 4. Girls Trip $20 5. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $17.5 6. Despicable Me 3 $10.1/$205 7. Baby Driver $5.5/$81 8. The Big Sick $5/$23 9. Wonder Woman $4.5/$388 10. Wish Upon $2.8/$10 Spoiler 28th - 30th July 2017 1. The Emoji Movie $30 2. Atomic Blonde $28.5 3. Dunkirk $25/$85 4. War for the Planet of the Apes $16/$125 5. Spider-Man: Homecoming $12/$264 6. Girls Trip $10/$37 7. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $8/$30 8. Despicable Me 3 $6/$215 9. Baby Driver $4/$87 10. The Big Sick $3.5/$28.5 4th - 6th August 2017 1. The Dark Tower $30 2. The Emoji Movie $15/$53 3. Atomic Blonde $14/$50 4. Dunkirk $13.5/$105 5. Detroit $12.5 6. War for the Planet of the Apes $10/$142 7. Spider-Man: Homecoming $7/$275 8. Girls Trip $5.5/$46 9. Kidnap $5 10. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $4/$36 11th - 13th August 2017 1. Annabelle Creation $37.5 2. The Dark Tower $16/$55 3. The Nut Job: Nutty By Nature $10 4. The Emoji Movie $9/$66.5 5. Atomic Blonde $8.5/$63.5 6. Dunkirk $8/$118 7. Detroit $7/$25 8. War for the Planet of the Apes $6/$152 9. The Glass Castle $5 10. Spider-Man: Homecoming $4/$282 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the beast Posted July 19, 2017 Share Posted July 19, 2017 Next Weekend: 1. The Emoji Movie: $40M 2. Dunkirk: $38.5M / $128.5M 3. Girls Trip: $23.5M / $71.5M 4. Atomic Blonde: $23M 5. Apes 3: $14M / $130M 6. SMH: $12.5M / $270M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dudalb Posted July 20, 2017 Share Posted July 20, 2017 (edited) I think the expectation was always that Valerian would make it's money overseas; I expect a 2o to 25 Million US opening for it. Edited July 20, 2017 by dudalb Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted July 20, 2017 Share Posted July 20, 2017 Dunkirk - 46.4M Girls Trip - 33.7M War for the Planet of the Apes - 27.0M Spider-Man: Homecoming - 16.8M Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - 14.8M Despicable Me 3 - 14.1M Baby Driver - 5.4M Wonder Woman - 4.7M The Big Sick - 3.3M Cars 3 - 2.2M Wish Upon - 2.0M Transformers: The Last Knight - 1.1M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted July 20, 2017 Share Posted July 20, 2017 Spoiler 7/21-7/23 Dunkirk: $57 million Girls Trip: $28 million War for the Planet of the Apes: $24 million ($104 million) Spider-Man - Homecoming: $23 million ($254 million) Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $16 million Despicable Me 3: $12.5 million ($214 million) The Big Sick: $6 million ($28 million) Baby Driver: $5.5 million ($84 million) Wonder Woman: $5 million ($390 million) Cars 3: $2 million ($144 million) 7/28-7/30 Dunkirk: $37.5 million ($129 million) The Emoji Movie: $36.5 million Girls Trip: $21 million ($69 million) Atomic Blonde: $20.5 million War for the Planet of the Apes: $14 million ($132 million) Spider-Man - Homecoming: $13.5 million ($282 million) Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $7 million ($31 million) Despicable Me 3: $5.5 million ($226 million) The Big Sick: $4.5 million ($37 million) Wonder Woman: $4 million ($398 million) 8/4-8/6 The Dark Tower: $39 million Dunkirk: $26 million ($178 million) The Emoji Movie: $21 million ($75 million) Girls Trip: $14.5 million ($96 million) Atomic Blonde: $10.5 million ($40 million) Detroit: $10 million Spider-Man - Homecoming: $8 million ($297 million) War for the Planet of the Apes: $6.5 million ($146 million) Despicable Me 3: $4 million ($234 million) Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $3.5 million ($38 million) 8/11-8/13 Annabelle - Creation: $31 million The Dark Tower: $21 million ($76 million) Dunkirk: $17 million ($209 million) The Emoji Movie: $12 million ($95 million) The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $10.5 million Girls Trip: $9 million ($112 million) Atomic Blonde: $5 million ($49 million) Spider-Man - Homecoming: $4.5 million ($305 million) Detroit: $4 million ($17 million) The Glass Castle: $3.5 million 8/18-8/20 The Hitman's Bodyguard: $34 million The Dark Tower: $12.5 million ($97 million) Annabelle - Creation: $12 million ($51 million) Dunkirk: $11 million ($227 million) The Emoji Movie: $8 million ($106 million) The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $6.5 million ($20 million) Girls Trip: $5.5 million ($121 million) Logan Lucky: $5 million Spider-Man - Homecoming: $3 million ($310 million) The Glass Castle: $2.5 million ($7 million) 8/25-8/27 The Hitman's Bodyguard: $23.5 million ($70 million) All Saints: $16.5 million Dunkirk: $8.5 million ($240 million) The Dark Tower: $8 million ($109 million) The Emoji Movie: $6 million ($114 million) Annabelle - Creation: $5.5 million ($60 million) The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $4.5 million ($26 million) Girls Trip: $4 million ($127 million) Polaroid: $3.5 million Spider-Man - Homecoming: $2 million ($313 million) 9/1-9/4 The Hitman's Bodyguard: $16.5 million/$22 million ($100 million) All Saints: $16 million/$21.5 million ($45 million) Dunkirk: $8 million/$10 million ($254 million) The Emoji Movie: $6.5 million/$8.5 million ($124 million) Renegades: $6 million/$7 million The Dark Tower: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($118 million) Leap!: $4 million/$5.5 million ($7 million) Girls Trip: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($133 million) Annabelle - Creation: $3 million/$3.75 million ($65 million) The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($30 million) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...