2015: Top 12 Worldwide

[Neo]

I see comparisons of VII with other 2005 franchises why not compare ROTS/Tokyo Drift and where F7 is now.

[Kalo]

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron $585,000,000 - $1,115,000,000 - $1,700,000,000
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens $615,000,000 - $800,000,000 - $1,415,000,000
3. Furious 7 $350,000,000 $1,050,000,000 - $1,400,000,000
4. SPECTRE $285,000,000 - $715,000,000 - $1,000,000,000
5. Jurassic World $270,000,000 - $650,000,000 - $920,000,000
6. Mockingjay Part 2 $385,000,000 - $500,000,000 - $885,000,000
7. Inside Out $280,000,000 - $450,000,000 - $730,000,000
8. Mission Impossible: Rouge Nation $225,000,000 - $500,000,000 - $725,000,000
9. The Good Dinosaur $225,000,000 $385,000,000 - $610,000,000
10. Fifty Shades of Grey $166,000,000 -  $405,000,000 - $571,000,000
11. Ant-Man $190,000,000 $310,000,000 - $500,000,000
12. Ted 2 $185,000,000 - $300,000,000 $485,000,000

Edited April 18, 2015 by Kalo

[Noctis]

$950m OS for F7? It's locked to hit $1b.

[Kalo]

$950m OS for F7? It's locked to hit $1b.

 

Updated. Happy? 

[Indiana90]

  1. Star Wars - 630 (USA), 1 800 (WW)

  2. Avegers - 550 (USA), 1 650 (WW)

  3. Furious 7 - 360 (USA), 1 350 (WW)

  4. Spectre - 275 (USA), 1 130 (WW)

  5. Mockingjay Part 2 350 (USA), 875 (WW)

  6. Minions - 290 (USA), 830 (WW)

  7. Jurassic World - 270 (USA), 775 (WW)

  8. Mission Impossible - 200 (USA), 750 (WW)

  9. Inside Out - 275 (USA), 750 (WW)

10. The Good Dinosaur - 230 (USA), 630 (WW)

11. Ted 2 - 210 (USA), 575 (WW)

12. Fifty Shades of Grey - 165 (USA), 570 (WW) 

[Asyulus]

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 648M DOM/1.18B OS/1.828B WW

2. Furious 7 - 353M DOM/1.06B OS/1.413B WW

3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 556M DOM/844M OS/1.4B WW

4. Spectrum - 287M DOM/660M OS/947M WW

5. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 - 376M DOM/490M OS/866M WW

6. Minions - 303M DOM/539M OS/842M WW

7. Jurassic World - 341M DOM/497M OS/838M WW

8. Inside Out - 255M DOM/505M OS/760M WW

9. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 224M DOM/507M OS/731M WW

10.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Hmm? Let's see how this year went so far?

 

Top 12 films WW, so far as of now:

 

1. Jurassic World: $651M DOM / 1.013B OS / 1.664B WW

2. Furious 7: $353-354M DOM??? / 1.160B OS / 1.514B WW

3. Avengers: Age of Ultron: $459M DOM / 946M OS / 1.405B WW

4. Minions: $334M DOM / 812M OS / 1.146B WW

5. Inside Out: $354M DOM / 438M OS / 792M WW

6. Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation: $194M DOM / 485M OS / 679M WW

7. Fifty Shades of Grey: $166M DOM / 403M OS / 569M WW

8. Cinderella: $201M DOM / 341M OS / 542M WW

9. San Andreas: $155M DOM / 315M OS / 470M WW

10. Terminator Genisys: $89M DOM / 351M OS / 440M WW

11. Kingsman: The Secret Service: $128M DOM / 284M OS / 412M WW

12. Ant-Man: $178M DOM / 231M OS / 409M WW

 

Upcoming potenital big-hitters to be in the list.

 

The Martian

Spectre

The Peanuts Movie

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay P2

The Good Dinosaur

Star Wars: Episode 7: The Force Awakens

[Rudolf]

Because nothing is as big as the Avengers now.

chances are that it will be only No.4 movie of 2015

 

nobody predicted that - funny

[The Futurist]

chances are that it will be only No.4 movie of 2015

 

nobody predicted that - funny

 

With Star Wars, number 2 was always in the cards for Ultron though.

 

Jurassic World & FF7 that high, now that required some serious magical insight.

[Amadeus]

Those JW predictions we made in april... 

[John Marston]

interesting how a lot of people thought MJ2 would go over a billion

[Kvikk Lunsj]

On November 8, 2014 at 12:16:51 PM, Lordmandeep said:

 

Because nothing is as big as the Avengers now.

Jurassic world and fast furious bag to differ. 

9 hours ago, John Marston said:

interesting how a lot of people thought MJ2 would go over a billion

MJ2 and AoU are the most over predicted films this year WW.  

[MrFanaticGuy34]

And the beginning of this year....JW, FF7 & Minions were the most underpredicted films. Not many expected billions for all 3 films.

 

Let alone, JW winning the summer.

 

Do you guys, think that BvS & CA3 may end up overpredicted and miss or not?

Edited November 23, 2015 by MrFanaticGuy34

[DAJK]

1 hour ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

And the beginning of this year....JW, FF7 & Minions were the most underpredicted films. Not many expected billions for all 3 films.

 

Let alone, JW winning the summer.

 

Do you guys, think that BvS & CA3 may end up overpredicted and miss or not?

If people start predicting "CW over AoU" or "BVS over 475M" then that is over predicting IMHO.

[peludo]

1 hour ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

And the beginning of this year....JW, FF7 & Minions were the most underpredicted films. Not many expected billions for all 3 films.

 

Let alone, JW winning the summer.

 

Do you guys, think that BvS & CA3 may end up overpredicted and miss or not?

I think they are different cases. You can look at the precedents of each film to see it.

 

JW is the most unexpected for me. I thought that the fever for dinos had gone. Last Jurassic film, JP3, had an average gross and nobody saw this coming. Perfect storm.

 

F7 had the question of what would happen after Walker's death. It had a reasonable boost behaviour in US. But the Chinese boost has been incrediblly unexpected.

 

Relative to Minions, DM2 had already done an enormous amount. I had doubts about the potential, but it is quite clear that the appealing of the franchise come from those little yellow bastards.

 

What will happen with the biggest SH films of the next year? Of course, many of us can be wrong saying 1.2-1.4 billion for each film, but the ingredients are very good. These are not two SH films more. Both include something we have never seen. We have never seen a confrontation between several SH's. One of them is an Avengers film, no matter how it is called. And the other is the return of the biggest SH character. IMHO, those big figures are justified. Another thing is if the films are not good enough and both fail, but the potential is obviously there.

[John Marston]

On 11/19/2014, 8:24:29, James said:

Hmm... when December comes, I think I'll make a KFP 3 OS > SW7 OS club.

 

 

lol

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Here are the actual top 12 WW of 2015.

 

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens: $936M / 1.130B OS / 2.067B WW

2. Jurassic World: $652M DOM / 1.018B OS / 1.670B WW

3. Furious 7: $353M DOM / 1.163B OS / 1.516B WW

4. Avengers: Age of Ultron: $459M DOM / 946M OS / 1.405B WW

5. Minions: $336M DOM / 823M OS / 1.159B WW

6. Spectre: $200M DOM / 680M OS / 880M WW

7. Inside Out: $356M DOM / 501M OS / 857M WW

8. Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation: $195M DOM / 487M OS / 682M WW

9. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2: $281M DOM / 371M OS /  653M WW

10. The Martian: $228M DOM / 401M OS / 630M WW

11. Fifty Shades of Grey: $166M DOM / 404M OS / 571M WW

12. Cinderella: $201M DOM / 342M OS / 543M WW

 

Edited July 29, 2016 by MrFanaticGuy34

[MCKillswitch123]

Seeing Jurassic World and Furious 7 that high up, or Mockingjay P2 100M below P1, or The Martian in the list at all... mindblowing stuff.

[Porthos]

It's funny.  TFA wasn't quite as underpredicted as JW was, but it still was really underpredicted.

 

Quote

 

(names stripped; only predicts before 1/1/15 counted)

2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens --- 1.553B

2. Star Wars 7 - 1.33B

2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 1.5B

2. Star Wars 7 - 1.375b

2. SW7 1.2B

Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 1.5B

Star Wars: The Force Awakens $1.5b

2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 1.2B

SW:VII → 1.2 Bn

 2. Star Wars  -  1220m

2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens --- 1040m

Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $1.65 billion 

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $1.5B (590 + 910)

2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens, 1.3B (550+750)

2.Force Awakens - 1.5b

2. Star Wars: $1.45B

2) Star Wars The Force Awakens 1.5B (600M DOM + 900M OS)

SW7-1.356

Star Wars 7 - 1010 m (410 / 600)

 

 

TFA Average: 1.362b

TFA Median: 1.375b

TFA Mode: 1.5b

TFA Actual: 2.067b

Underpredicted by about 550m (mode) to 700m (median/average)

 

Quote

(names stripped; only predicts before 1/1/15 counted)

4. Jurassic World --- 1.04B

9. Jurassic World - 690M

7. Jurassic World - 805m

9. Jurassic World - 650m

6. JW  770M

7. Jurassic World - 805m

Jurassic World $1.01b

9. Jurassic World 800m 

Jurassic World → 760Mn

  7. Jurassic World  -  710m

7. Jurassic World --- 700M

Jurassic World - $900 million

7.Jurassic World -  $790M (280 + 510)

8. Jurassic World, 760m (230+530)

6.Jurassic World - 950m

9. Jurassic World: $740M

7) Jurassic World 780M (230M DOM + 550M OS)

Jurassic world - 850 m (240 / 610)

 

JW Average: 806.1m

JW Median: 785m

JW Mode: 805m

Underpredicted by 860m

 

Haven't done a complete look yet, but while AOU was overpredicted, it wasn't quite as bad as one might have thought. For instance, unlike both JW and TFA, a couple of people came within 150m of its total.  Which isn't bad at all that far out, IMO.

Edited May 28, 2016 by Porthos

[Porthos]

Might as well do both FF7 and AOU.  AOU first. 

Quote

(names stripped; only predicts before 1/1/15 counted)

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron --- 1.956B

1. Avengers: AOU - 1.74 B

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 1.9B

1. Avengers 2 - 1.75b

1. AOU 1.85B

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 1.9B

Avengers: age of Ultron 1.8b

1. Avengers: AOU 2.1B

Avengers 2 → 1.55 Bn

  1. Avengers  -  1740m

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron --- 2000m

Avengers: Age of Ultron - $1.8 billion

2. Avengers: Age of Ultron - $1.499B

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron, 1.815B (575+1240)

1.Age of Ultron - 1.8b

1. Avengers: $1.6B

1) Avengers Age of Ultron 1.8B (550M DOm + 1.25B OS)

Avengers 2 - 1.560 m (560 / 1000)

 

AOU Average: 1.787b

AOU Median: 1.8b

AOU Mode: 1.8b

AOU Actual: 1.405b

 

Overpredicted by about 375m to 400m (though three people came within 100 to 200m of it, which is much better than either TFA or JW)

 

Quote

(names stripped; only predicts before 1/1/15 counted)

5. Furious 7 --- 928M

5. Furious 7 - 960M

5. Furious 7 - 930m

5. Fast & Furious 7 - 850m

5. FF7 850M

5. Furious 7 - 930m

Furious 7 $900m

5. Fast 7 900m 

Furious 7 → 800Mn

  6. Furious 7  -  890m

3. Furious 7 --- 1010M

Furious 7 - $950 million 

5. Furious 7 - $895M (295 + 600)

5. Furious 7, 950m (270+680)

3.Furious 7 - 1.1b

6. Fast & Furious: $870M

5) Furious 7 960M (270M DOM + 690M OS) 

Fast 8 - 950 m (270 / 680)

FF7 Average: 923.5m

FF7 Median: 929m

FF7 Mode: 950m

FF7 Actual: 1516 m

 

Underpredicted by 570m to 590m.  Still not as underpredicted as JW, but more or less in the same ballpark as TFA.  Just goes to show what an unexpected year 2015 really was!