Christmas Numbers: Unbroken 15.59, ITW 15.1, BOFTA 13.1, NATM 7.35 (official estimates) | full BOM list on p22

[Blankments]

1.12M OD for The Interview is pretty great IMO with the VOD

[MrPink]

$980k is a really good number for Interstellar.

I think it can get to 183-184 million. Luckily it didn't take a giant theater hit for Christmas

[#ED]

Looking forward to watching American Sniper tomorrow. 

[mahnamahna]

BOFA will hardly increase anywhere near ROTK's 37% on Friday. Hopefully it's about $15m on Friday, which would be very good.

Ehh... BOFA has defied the previous twos' holds its entire run so far. $16-18 million for Friday seems likely. $48-52 million 3-day would put $330 million+ DOM in play IMO.

 

$52 million ($179 million)

$30.5 million ($261 million)

$17 million ($287 million)

$10.5 million/$13 million ($305 million)

$6.5 million ($314 million)

$4 million ($320 million)

$2 million/$2.5 million ($323 million)

$1 million ($324 million)

 

Of course, it all depends on Jan 2-4. 

 

Movies don't make $15+ million on Christmas Day by default. Universal didn't let up with the advertising and the book has been on the bestseller list since it came out in 2010. Wouldn't be surprised at all if it plays like The Blind Side, but TBS never positioned itself as a Best Picture frontrunner so it got the "it's nice enough for what it is" reviews, while critics were harsher with Unbroken. Which, going by RT score, makes one movie seem much "worse" than the other, but the general audience probably won't see it that way.

Unbroken

$15.6 million

$19.7 million ($35.3 million) 

$19.4 million ($54.7 million) 

$16.1 million ($70.8 million) 

 

$55.2 million 3-day 

$70.8 million 4-day 

 

Could surpass Gravity if it holds up. I'm not sure if a $50 million+ 3 day is ridiculous or not. With how many sellouts it and ITW received today, I can only imagine buzz over the weekend will make it that much worse. Hobbit 3 and NATM3 also seemed poised to benefit from these sellouts. 

 

Either way, this weekend is looking insane. (Just going by 2003. 2008 might provide considerably smaller numbers) 

 

1. Unbroken: $55 million/$71 million 
2. The Hobbit 3: $49 million/$62 million 
3. Into the Woods: $47 million/$62 million 
4. Night at the Museum 3: $24 million/$31 million
5. Annie: $15 million/$19.5 million 
6. The Gambler: $11 million/$16 million 
7. The Imitation Game: $10.5 million/$13.5 million 
8. Exodus - Gods and Kings: $9 million/$12 million 
9. Mockingjay Part 1: $8.5 million/$11 million 
10. Top Five: $6 million/$7.5 million 
11. Wild: $5.5 million/$7 million 
12. Big Eyes: $5.5 million/$7 million 
13. Big Hero 6: $5 million/$6 million 
14. The Interview: $4.5 million/$5.5 million 
15. Interstellar: $4 million/$5 million 

 

My predictions are indeed bullish 

[redfirebird2008]

I think it can get to 183-184 million. Luckily it didn't take a giant theater hit for Christmas

$185m is in play.

[kayumanggi]

TOP FIVE took in an estimated $1.46M on Thursday. Domestic total stands at $15.47M. #TopFive

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 26, 2014

[grim22]

BH6 and Penguins seeing the weakest increases yesterday. Families opting for Into The Woods and Annie by the looks of it over the animated movies.

[kayumanggi]

ANNIE took in an estimated $4.6M on Thursday. 7-Day domestic total stands at $29.24M. #Annie

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 26, 2014

[kayumanggi]

THE INTERVIEW opened with an estimated $1.04M on Thursday from 331 locations. #TheInterview

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 26, 2014

[kayumanggi]

BH6 and Penguins seeing the weakest increases yesterday. Families opting for Into The Woods and Annie by the looks of it over the animated movies.

 

No, they are choosing NATM III.

[Mango]

Can someone post the BOM chart here again? I don't think I caught it the first three times.

[mahnamahna]

Christmas Day numbers are effing huge this year. Great way to end this lackluster year and move into 2015 on a high note.

Speaking of 2015, imagine how next Christmas Day will be with Star Wars leading the pack... And landing on a Friday.

Star Wars Episode VII

 

Dec 18 - $54 million (including $18 milllion in previews)

Dec 19 - $40.5 million 

Dec 20 - $31 million ($125.5 million OW)

Dec 21 - $20.5 million ($146 million) 

Dec 22 - $22 million ($168 million) 

Dec 23 - $21 million ($189 million) 

Dec 24 - $13 million ($202 million) 

Dec 25 - $34 million ($236 million) 

Dec 26 - $38.5 million ($274.5 million) 

Dec 27 - $35.5 million ($108 million 2nd weekend) - $310 million 

Dec 28 - $29 million ($339 million) 

Dec 29 - $28 million ($367 million) 

Dec 30 - $26.5 million ($393.5 million) 

Dec 31 - $22 million ($415.5 million) 

Jan 1 - $34 million ($449 million) 

Jan 2 - $32 million ($481 million) 

Jan 3 - $19 million ($85 million 3rd weekend) - $500 million 

 

$500 million just by itself from Dec 18 to Jan 3... not implausible either. Especially if it gets a $100 million+ OW. 

[kitik]

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 LGF $2,650,000

 

 

I think catching GOTG is just about locked now. It needs to have more than just a tiny increase for Friday though. Anything over 3.0 should be sufficient, but a 2.8 would leave it's potential #1 status in doubt.

[grim22]

DOS was at 229M on Jan 5 and earned 15M over the first weekend in January. BOFA needs to earn 100M over the next 10 days in order to keep pace. If BOFA manages to go into the new year on par with DOS, it will outgross DOS for sure.

[ddddeeee]

Between Unbroken, Selma and Fifty Shades things look to be on the up for female directors .

[iceroll]

I thought Hobbit 3 was quite boring TBH, it was the first time I fell asleep in theaters since Hobbit 1. I'm surprised it's being so leggy.

[kayumanggi]

Clint Eastwood's AMERICAN SNIPER scored $240k from 4 theaters on Xmas Day--$60k per. Direct hit.

— Exhibitor Relations (@ERCboxoffice)

December 26, 2014

[kayumanggi]

Can someone post the BOM chart here again? I don't think I caught it the first three times.

 

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	-	Unbroken	Uni.	$15,592,000	-	-	3,131	$4,980	$15,592,000	1
2	-	Into the Woods	BV	$15,084,000	-	-	2,440	$6,182	$15,084,000	1
3	1	The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies	WB	$13,140,000	+118%	+32%	3,875	$3,391	$127,102,000	9
4	2	Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb	Fox	$7,350,000	+164%	-	3,914	$1,878	$34,782,000	7
5	-	The Gambler	Par.	$5,000,000	-	-	2,478	$2,018	$5,000,000	1
6	3	Annie (2014)	Sony	$4,600,000	+127%	-	3,197	$1,439	$29,235,000	7
7	-	The Imitation Game	Wein.	$3,077,000	+1,710%	+3,697%	747	$4,119	$6,702,000	28
8	5	Exodus: Gods and Kings	Fox	$3,035,000	+218%	+148%	3,002	$1,011	$45,782,000	14
9	4	The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1	LGF	$2,650,000	+172%	+144%	2,793	$949	$296,608,000	35
10	9	Wild (2014)	FoxS	$1,660,000	+183%	+1,031%	1,285	$1,292	$10,949,000	23
11	11	Top Five	Par.	$1,465,000	+249%	+232%	1,426	$1,027	$15,470,000	14
12	-	Big Eyes	Wein.	$1,415,000	-	-	1,307	$1,083	$1,415,000	1
13	6	Big Hero 6	BV	$1,291,000	+54%	+220%	2,065	$625	$195,079,000	49
14	8	P.K.	UTV	$1,075,000	+68%	-	272	$3,952	$6,200,000	7
15	-	The Interview (2014)	Sony	$1,040,000	-	-	331	$3,142	$1,040,000	1
-	10	Interstellar	Par.	$980,000	+123%	+113%	1,253	$782	$174,373,000	51
-	7	Penguins of Madagascar	Fox	$775,000	+13%	+54%	2,033	$381	$67,729,000	30
-	-	Selma	Par.	$322,000	-	-	19	$16,947	$322,000	1
-	-	American Sniper	WB	$240,000	-	-	4	$60,000	$240,000	1

[kitik]

Christmas Day numbers are effing huge this year. Great way to end this lackluster year and move into 2015 on a high note.

Speaking of 2015, imagine how next Christmas Day will be with Star Wars leading the pack... And landing on a Friday.

 

 

as I posted last night:

 

 

Good numbers for both of those for sure, especially considering the disappointing reviews for Unbroken and disappointing theater count for ITW, but break out your crystal balls, and guess what type of numbers we'll be looking at in exactly 365 days.

 

 

 

Maybe something like:

SW7 - 35

MI5 - 25

Alvin 4 - 15

 

 

Yeah, I know I might be too optimistic for all 3 of those, but why not?

 

 

It's going to be fun!

 

 

Except I just realized that the boards will be dead because we'll all be in line at the theaters actually watching movies!

[kayumanggi]

lol