WrathOfHan Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 (edited) AFI Top 10: The Big Short Bridge of Spies Carol Inside Out Mad Max The Martian Room Spotlight Star Wars Straight Outta Compton So what does this mean? Ever since the category expansion, AFI has missed the following BP nominees (* detonates a non-American film, thus ineligible): 2009: An Education*, Avatar, The Blind Side, District 9, Inglorious Basterds (4) 2010: The King's Speech* (0) 2011: The Artist*, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (1) 2012: Amour* (0) 2013: Dallas Buyer's Club, Philomena* (1) 2014: The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Theory of Everything* (1) This doesn't mean the end for The Revenant and Brooklyn is ineligible. However, this is probably the kiss of death for Hateful Eight. Edited December 16, 2015 by WrathOfHan 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 The Awards Awaken Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 New predictions: 1. Spotlight 2. The Big Short 3. The Martian 4. The Revenant --------------------------- 5. Mad Max 6. Carol --------------------------- 7. Inside Out 8. Star Wars 9. Room --------------------------- 10. Bridge of Spies 11. Brooklyn 12. Straight Outta Compton 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 (edited) with RT force awakens freefalling slightly to 94%, spotlight is still the clear frontrunner. force awakens gets an oscar nom though. Edited December 16, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 4 minutes ago, Halba said: with RT force awakens freefalling slightly to 94%, spotlight is still the clear frontrunner. force awakens gets an oscar nom though. Didn't even take you 12 hours to jump off TFA's train lmao 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Travod Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 16 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Didn't even take you 12 hours to jump off TFA's train lmao Mediocre. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 17, 2015 Author Share Posted December 17, 2015 Maybe I should of not replace Room with Brooklyn! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 this star wars thing is cute. no way it happens. i could see it only getting 1 nod for visuals. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Based on precedent our BP noms will be fe the AFI top 10, plus 1-2 films. The Revenant is likely the nominee that AFI snubbed. SOC is missing. I doubt Hateful Eight or Brooklyn are getting in. Spotlight and the Big Short have pretty much locked their nominations. Strong reviews, SAG ensemble nominees, GG nominees, Critics Choice, and AFI. Carol and the Revenant are close to locks. The Martian, Bridge of Spies, Inside Out and Room are on the edge. Star Wars and Mad Max are insurgents. My rating of likelihood of noms LOCKS 1.Spotlight 2.The Big Short LIKELY 3.Carol 4.The Revenant STRONG POSSIBILITIES 5.Mad Max: Fury Road 6.Room 7.Star Wars: The Force Awakens 8.The Martian 9.Bridge of Spies 10.Inside Out WEAK POSSIBILITIES 11.The Hateful Eight 12.Brooklyn 13.Straight Outta Compton 14.Sicario Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Brooklyn isn't eligible for AFI. Can't read into that. At worst it is in tenth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 1 hour ago, CoolioD1 said: this star wars thing is cute. no way it happens. i could see it only getting 1 nod for visuals. Well, that is even more crazy than the best picture thing. What about sound nominations and score. That is four, at the worst. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 sound sure but I wouldn't be surprised. Score no. production design more likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Travod Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Not seeing TFA here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
movieboner Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 I don't see Star Wars getting a best picture nom, but it'll receive a handful of tech noms. It's too fictional and not realistic like Gravity and The Martian. A film of this genre needs to be a masterpiece like The Lord of The Rings or "Mad Max: Fury Road" to be considered for best picture. Harry Potter and the DH 2 with its critically acclaimed reviews, immense box office, and narrative that it's the final film in a worldwide beloved franchise couldn't get a nom when the best picture rules expanded to 10 nominees. Also, TFA is a sequel and the academy doesn't tend to award bp noms to sequels, unless it's a masterpiece. Mad Max: Fury Road is that special film this year with a strong possibility of a bp nom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 9 minutes ago, movieboner said: I don't see Star Wars getting a best picture nom, but it'll receive a handful of tech noms. It's too fictional and not realistic like Gravity and The Martian. A film of this genre needs to be a masterpiece like The Lord of The Rings or "Mad Max: Fury Road" to be considered for best picture. Harry Potter and the DH 2 with its critically acclaimed reviews, immense box office, and narrative that it's the final film in a worldwide beloved franchise couldn't get a nom when the best picture rules expanded to 10 nominees. Also, TFA is a sequel and the academy doesn't tend to award bp noms to sequels, unless it's a masterpiece. Mad Max: Fury Road is that special film this year with a strong possibility of a bp nom. I just looked it up, the Harry Potter film series didn't get a single Oscar, like wtf. The third, fourth and last one really deserved some awards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Best Picture nomination 1. Spotlight 2. The Big Short 3. Carol 4. Brooklyn 5. Room 6. Danish Girl 7. The Revenant 8. Inside out/Star Wars/ Martian/ Mad Max/Bridge of Spies (any one of these two) 9. Inside Out/ Star Wars/ Martian/ Mad Max / Bridge of Spies(any one of these two) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensive Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 They'd be smart to give TFA the BestPicture nom. Ratings are consistently higher when a big box office hit is in the running Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 (edited) star wars out of contention for a nom. its too fantasy oriented not typical oscar fare. Edited December 18, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 1 hour ago, Halba said: star wars out of contention for a nom. its too fantasy oriented not typical oscar fare. Two days ago: On 12/16/2015, 7:52:15, Halba said: now 97%, 8.4/10. outstanding considering the genre. Star wars is now equal favourite for a best picture win and should go down in the history books as the best blockbuster of all time. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Star Wars likely won't get a nomination, but Harry Potter isn't the a good comparison. Star Wars has always had more prestige. These predictions are fun and everyone brings something to them because they meditate and look at precursors and precedents. And then there is Halba, who judges completely based on his reaction to the movies he hasn't seen. Is there a block button? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
