Halba Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 joy is out of contention. movie is horrible. spotlight is 100% locked now. probably the most certain best picture winner in past 10 years. new updated list 1. Spotlight *100% locked now ****** 2. The Revenant 3. The Martian 4. Brooklyn 5. The Hateful Eight 6. Creed 7. Room 8. Son of Saul 9. Bridge of Spies 10. Carol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 51 minutes ago, Halba said: joy is out of contention. movie is horrible. spotlight is 100% locked now. probably the most certain best picture winner in past 10 years. new updated list 1. Spotlight *100% locked now ****** 2. The Revenant 3. The Martian 4. Brooklyn 5. The Hateful Eight 6. Creed 7. Room 8. Son of Saul 9. Bridge of Spies 10. Carol Why Son of Saul? I don't see any reason that would make it in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Think Spotlight is peaking early ala Boyhood or Social Network. I think the Academy will go for either, from likely to least likely, Carol, Hateful Eight, or Room. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 1 hour ago, Blankments said: Think Spotlight is peaking early ala Boyhood or Social Network. I think the Academy will go for either, from likely to least likely, Carol, Hateful Eight, or Room. Room is way too small, and Carol doesn't feel like a Best Picture winner. Unless The Hateful Eight is much stronger than expected, there is really nothing standing in Spotlight's way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 1 hour ago, Blankments said: Think Spotlight is peaking early ala Boyhood or Social Network. I think the Academy will go for either, from likely to least likely, Carol, Hateful Eight, or Room. I will say Carol. Hateful Eight and Room are not the academy movies. Carol is a prefect fit. I could Brooklyn also winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 (edited) theres no way spotlight is looked over. film wise structurally nothing to do with boyhood. i dont understand the comparisons with boyhood in these forums. its fairly conventional journalistic oscar fare- think proven material like the insider(7 oscar noms) or all the presidents men(won 4 oscars). spotlight is near 100% certain in the following categories, and will become one of the best films of all time. 1. winner - best picture(mccarthy) 2. winner - best director (mccarthy) 3. winner - best supporting actor(keaton) 4. winner - best original screenplay(mccarthy) mccarthy- 3 oscar wins to his name. keaton his first acting oscar. Edited December 10, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Not every early clear Oscar frontrunner is bound to end up like Boyhood, people. There are years from time to time where there is only one movie that everyone can collectively rally behind, and this is looking to be one of those. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Amy chance SoC could ride that SAG ensemble nod to a BP nom? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 On 15/11/2015 04:19:56, Kalo said: It will definitely be interesting when the nominations are announced I remember last year when they were there was very little surprise, expect for the exclusion of Gone Girl and Lego Movie. Gone Girl didn't deserve a nom, one of Finchers worst imo, and I love Fincher. The film was just pointless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 2 hours ago, SchumacherFTW said: Amy chance SoC could ride that SAG ensemble nod to a BP nom? sure. I certainly get the sense that universal are considering this their bigger contender and not steve jobs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 (edited) this is the most dead certain oscar race in modern history spotlight is the highest (major production) RT movie in the past year, right up there with boyhood, 12 years a slave, selma and gravity of past years. Edited December 10, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 2 minutes ago, Halba said: this is the most dead certain oscar race in modern history spotlight is the highest (major production) RT movie in the past year, right up there with boyhood, 12 years a slave, selma and gravity of past years. The problem is that the Academy members usually don't give a shit about the RT scores. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 6 hours ago, Blankments said: Think Spotlight is peaking early ala Boyhood or Social Network. I think the Academy will go for either, from likely to least likely, Carol, Hateful Eight, or Room. Nah, Spotlight's winning this. 5 hours ago, Halba said: theres no way spotlight is looked over. film wise structurally nothing to do with boyhood. i dont understand the comparisons with boyhood in these forums. its fairly conventional journalistic oscar fare- think proven material like the insider(7 oscar noms) or all the presidents men(won 4 oscars). spotlight is near 100% certain in the following categories, and will become one of the best films of all time. 1. winner - best picture(mccarthy) 2. winner - best director (mccarthy) 3. winner - best supporting actor(keaton) 4. winner - best original screenplay(mccarthy) mccarthy- 3 oscar wins to his name. keaton his first acting oscar. McCarthy still has Ridley to face in Director and Keaton might not even get nominated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 After SAG and the Globes, Room definitely has the upper hand over Brooklyn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 9 hours ago, Blankments said: Think Spotlight is peaking early ala Boyhood or Social Network. I think the Academy will go for either, from likely to least likely, Carol, Hateful Eight, or Room. It may be peaking early, but they won't go with any of those three. Itll likely be something like The Martian or The Big Short if not Spotlight. Mad Max may very well be in now, and the Big Short had another strong showing. The Hateful Eight may or may not make it in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Obama's favorite movie of the year is The Martian. BP win locked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Mad Max: Fury Road locked for nomination now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 4 hours ago, Kalo said: Mad Max: Fury Road locked for nomination now? Not locked, plenty of golden globe drama nods arent nominated Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 So it looks like Mad Max may officially have a shot at the nom at this point. Shocked but thrilled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 3 hours ago, The Panda said: Not locked, plenty of golden globe drama nods arent nominated It's getting nominated in almost every awards competition so far though, I mean sure not 100% but I have a gut feeling about it and the awards so far seem to be leaning in that direction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
