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Impact

Best Actor predictions-2015

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I think people when it comes to awards get a little to hang up on "dissapearing into the character" and stuff like that. It's one of the reasons we 've got so many winners with heavy makeup, weight loss playing ill, crippled geniuses. NICOLE KIDMAN WITH A NEW NOSE! OMG I DIDN'T RECOGNISE HER etc.

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New predictions:

 

Locks:

 

1. Leonardo DiCaprio

2. Michael Fassbender

 

Very Likely:

 

3. Matt Damon

 

Likely:

 

4. Eddie Redmayne

 

Even without a SAG nomination Damon is still probably in, The Martian will have a lot of support and it's hard to imagine he misses. Redmayne looks likelier and likelier every day. 

 

The last spot:

 

5. Samuel L Jackson

6. Bryan Cranston

7. Johnny Depp

8. Steve Carell 

 

All four have pros and cons:

 

Jackson:

 

Pros: The Hateful Eight is looking to be a big hit and he hasn't gotten a nomination in over 20 years.

Con: Voters might not consider him the standout.

 

Cranston:

 

Pros: He has a SAG nomination and actors like Trumbo

Con: The movie doesn't have the best reviews.

 

Depp:

 

Pros: He got a SAG nomination and loses himself into the role.

Cons: Black Mass won't get any other nominations outside of maybe Makeup and Depp's chances were fading until today.

 

Carell:

 

Pro: The Big Short is a movie actors like.

Con: No SAG nomination.

 

 

Edited by WrathOfHan
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2 hours ago, Impact said:

Okay the 5th slot is either going to be Smith or Cranston.

 

I think Carell and Depp are above Smith.

 

After the globes

Locks

1.Leo

2.Fassbender

 

Likely

3.Redmayne

 

Competing for the last 2 spots

4.Cranston

5.Carell

6.Damon

7.Smith

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For some reason I completely forgot about Fassbender-I was trying to remember who the other likely nom was and he slipped from my brain!

For now:
1. DiCaprio

2. Damon

3. Fassbender

4. Redmayne

5. Cranston

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4 hours ago, stripe said:

Can't see Steve Jobs completely snubbed: actor is very likely, supporting actress is almost locked, score and screenplay are likely. And editing and BP are still possible.

 

Honestly, Steve Jobs would have more traction if the movie hadn't bombed at the box office. I still think it has Actor, Supp. Actress and Adapted noms in the bag, but outside of that nothing else.

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Winslet is definitely going to be nominated. The acting branch will still embrace the film, box office failure be damned. A win would be a more difficult proposition, though, especially if category fraud lands Alicia Vikander and/or Rooney Mara in supporting rather than lead.

 

As for Fassbender in this category: I wouldn't say that he's locked, but unless he racks up some major precursor snubs, I would be surprised to see him miss the lineup. Even with his reluctance to campaign, it's an acclaimed biographical performance, and that stuff is practically catnip for the acting branch.

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4 hours ago, Salacious Tree Crumb said:

Would be odd to see Winslet get nomination or win, given that it's not even her second best performance this year.

Drawing a blank-what else was she in? (Divergent 2?)

 

And why are we talking about her in best actor :P

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Just now, Impact said:

Drawing a blank-what else was she in? (Divergent 2?)

 

And why are we talking about her in best actor :P

Because there were like 3 posts mentioning Winslet before me :P 

 

And the films are A LITTLE CHAOS and THE DRESSMAKER.

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16 minutes ago, Salacious Tree Crumb said:

Because there were like 3 posts mentioning Winslet before me :P 

 

And the films are A LITTLE CHAOS and THE DRESSMAKER.

No wonder I was drawing a blank-not sure if I've heard of either :P

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