Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

[redfirebird2008]

Really? I thought I was being conservative with the increases/drops.

 

What numbers are you expecting?

 

50% increase today (maybe less) and 25% increase Saturday (maybe more if Friday goes under 50%).

[grim22]

Where da theater counts at doe

 

Rank	LW	Title	Distributor	Theater Count	Change	% Change	Week #
> NEW RELEASES
2	-	Inside Out	Buena Vista	3,946	-	-	1
7	-	Dope	Open Road Films	2,002	-	-	1
22	-	ABCD (Any Body Can Dance) 2	UTV Communications	146	-	-	1
38	-	Infinitely Polar Bear	Sony Classics	5	-	-	1
40	-	Eden	Broad Green Pictures	3	-	-	1
41	-	Manglehorn	IFC	3	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
1	1	Jurassic World	Universal	4,290	+16	+0.4%	2
3	3	Spy	Fox	3,558	+383	+12.1%	3
12	13	Love & Mercy	Roadside Attractions	792	+219	+38.2%	3
15	22	Woman in Gold	Weinstein Company	315	+117	+59.1%	12
17	17	I'll See You In My Dreams	Bleecker Street	287	+41	+16.7%	6
18	19	Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2	Sony / Columbia	267	+33	+14.1%	10
20	24	The Age of Adaline	Lionsgate	203	+29	+16.7%	9
24	53	Testament of Youth	Sony Classics	72	+56	+350.0%	3
25	56	Me and Earl and the Dying Girl	Fox Searchlight	68	+53	+353.3%	2
26	46	Saint Laurent	Sony Classics	38	+14	+58.3%	7
33	67	The Yes Men Are Revolting	The Orchard	20	+10	+100.0%	2
> NO CHANGE
27	40	Island of Lemurs: Madagascar (IMAX)	Warner Bros.	35	-	-	64
37	74	Charlie's Country	Monument Releasing	5	-	-	3
> DECLINING
4	2	San Andreas	Warner Bros.	3,177	-358	-10.1%	4
5	5	Insidious Chapter 3	Focus Features	2,553	-461	-15.3%	3
6	6	Pitch Perfect 2	Universal	2,135	-542	-20.2%	6
8	7	Tomorrowland	Buena Vista	1,764	-776	-30.6%	5
9	9	Avengers: Age of Ultron	Buena Vista	1,662	-494	-22.9%	8
10	8	Mad Max: Fury Road	Warner Bros.	1,424	-810	-36.3%	6
11	4	Entourage	Warner Bros.	1,304	-1,804	-58.0%	3
13	10	Aloha	Sony / Columbia	470	-953	-67.0%	4
14	12	Home (2015)	Fox	413	-171	-29.3%	13
16	11	Poltergeist (2015)	Fox	295	-774	-72.4%	5
19	14	Far from the Madding Crowd	Fox Searchlight	256	-110	-30.1%	8
21	20	The Divergent Series: Insurgent	Lionsgate/Summit	180	-37	-17.1%	14
23	25	Get Hard	Warner Bros.	115	-50	-30.3%	13
28	28	Beyond the Mask	Gathr Films	30	-53	-63.9%	11
29	21	Hot Pursuit	Warner Bros.	25	-183	-88.0%	7
30	39	The Water Diviner	Warner Bros.	23	-14	-37.8%	9
31	38	5 Flights Up	Focus Features	22	-19	-46.3%	7
32	35	American Sniper	Warner Bros.	22	-32	-59.3%	26
34	47	Wild Tales	Sony Classics	16	-8	-33.3%	18
35	44	The Salt of the Earth	Sony Classics	10	-15	-60.0%	13
36	63	Where Hope Grows	Roadside Attractions	10	-3	-23.1%	6
39	71	Chocolate City	Freestyle Releasing	3	-3	-50.0%	5
42	66	Do You Believe?	Pure Flix	2	-8	-80.0%	14

[Bishop54]

I've never been so confused by the box-office in my life, wtf is happening? What are the real numbers?

[Harpospoke]

I think Inside Out is taking number #1 spot this weekend.

 

 

<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

I posted in the IO thread before I read this one so I didn't know about the building fervor.

 

My local theater doesn't usually sell out showings that much.   Only the very biggest movies do that here.

 

I went last week to the 11:00 am showing of JW to beat the crowds.    As usual, there were plenty of seats.   About 3/4 full maybe.

 

This week I pulled the same trick.   11:00 am showing for IO.   I get there...the parking lot is mostly empty.   No problem right?   Well....IO is sold out!    It's not like JW went away...it's still showing on 3 screens.   So judging from that parking lot...almost everyone there was seeing IO.    That's just crazy for my theater....but even crazier because JW is playing too.

 

That was my one hole in my schedule today to see it so I'm screwed until Sunday at least.   Grrrrrr....

 

$75 million would be good for IO. $90M would be GREAT, but also unlikely even at this point.

Please don't overhype yourselves, people. I want Pixar to succeed but its stuff like this that gets people disappointed over numbers that are otherwise really good.

Agreed.    AoU is living proof of this.    1.4 billion is somehow "disappointing".         80m would be awesome for this.

[grim22]

The BOM theater counts are funny. They are showing an increase for Spy due to the typo from last week where as in reality Spy lost 150 theaters or so.

[Travod]

Ah, Max losing more theaters than AOU. Excellent.

[superduperm]

I've never been so confused by the box-office in my life, wtf is happening? What are the real numbers?

Prime time showings literally just started on the east coast. We are not going to have any sort of accurate estimate until a couple hours from now.

[BenedictL11]

Hi, RTH. I'm hoping for some awesome numbers.

[sfran43]

The BOM theater counts are funny. They are showing an increase for Spy due to the typo from last week where as in reality Spy lost 150 theaters or so.

 

Dumb asses are who they have working on that site now.

[redfirebird2008]

Prime time showings literally just started on the east coast. We are not going to have any sort of accurate estimate until a couple hours from now.

 

5:40 is not primetime. Try 7 PM.

[Mango]

Max losing more theaters than Tomorrowland is a shame.

[Ozymandias]

Just left my showing... Now I remember why I hate early showings. Kids are so fucking annoying.

 

From IO? Aside from just not really caring anymore, kids are another reason why I'll never watch an animation movie at the theater again.  Nope.

Edited June 19, 2015 by Ozymandias

[Ethan Hunt]

From IO? Aside from just not really caring anymore, kids are another reason why I'll never watch an animation movie at the theater again. Nope.

That's pretty fucked up...

[baumer]

Sif IO follows WallE it will drop on Saturday.

[Fancyarcher]

I've never been so confused by the box-office in my life, wtf is happening? What are the real numbers?

 

There are none, just guesses. 

Edited June 19, 2015 by Insidearcher

[superduperm]

Sif IO follows WallE it will drop on Saturday.

It's pretty much inevitable that it will drop on Sunday. No animated film released in June or July in recent years has increased on Saturday.

[Travod]

Kids are pretty bad. I hoped that seeing it at 7 PM on a Thursday last night would help, but nope, there were many kids and screaming babies.

[Bonenash]

when rth usualy post his first number? and don't worry guys even if JW week end is 90m it s very very good cause

 

what its losing on week end to TA it gains on weekdays so ;D

[Ozymandias]

That's pretty fucked up...

 

Seriously?  Kids are fucking annoying in theaters and unlike adults/teenagers, they don't really know any better so you're not allowed to be mean to them to keep them quiet.

[Mango]

If I see Inside Out its going to be a 10:30pm show.