kayumanggi Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 You guys are crazy. Has there been a weekend where a film in its 3rd weekend and a film in its second both made 50 M? You can't be happy with 48 M? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 So.... we have gone from 3 movies over 50m to no movie over 50m..... a disappointing weekend I suppose, after two amazing ones. Jurassic World should be able to clear 600m, but I doubt it would be able to beat The Avengers' total. $300m should be the target for Inside out. If it follows TS3's pattern it will finish with $335m, with Cars 2's pattern $319m, with Brave's pattern $330m and with MU's pattern $280m. MU had DM2 in its 3rd week and Turbo in its 5th week, while IO has Minions in its 4th week, so it has easier competition. It will easily pass Avengers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Ted 2 numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bapi Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Ted 2 - huge, huge, huge dissapointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 This is a beary paw performance from Ted 2. Sorry, had to be done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 I missed Mila Kunis 'presence' in Ted 2. She was a pretty cool character. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theultimatebiu Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 I called it! I said major disappointment because of -gay marriage burnout (despite a relentless push by corporate America) -the MacFarlane brand of humor - middle-aged dudes dressing like teenagers, guzzling beer, and making pop culture references - is completely exhausted. I'm surprised it lasted as long as it did If I'd been paying more attention, I would've spearheaded the under 50m OW thread. lololololol What does that even mean?? Such a non-sensical reasoning.......eurgh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 It will easily pass Avengers. It can pass Avengers, but easy is not the term I'd use to describe it. Assuming it does 47-47.5m this weekend, it will do 70m for the week. From here, 50% weekly drops will take it to 585m finish, 45% drops will take it to $600m finish and 40% drops will take it to $620m. $600-610m is my range atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 I have gotten used to it. lol Parents should praise their children more to avoid this kind of situation in the future. Ha ha. #praisehungry I hope this wasn't aimed at me.... I really didnt do that post for praise or something... I really believed in the movie (or rather, in marvel) since the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Why would Highlander 2 even be in anyone's top 1000 of all time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vanilla Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Looks like Ted 2 pulled a Horrible Bosses 2. Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 It can pass Avengers, but easy is not the term I'd use to describe it. Assuming it does 47-47.5m this weekend, it will do 70m for the week. From here, 50% weekly drops will take it to 585m finish, 45% drops will take it to $600m finish and 40% drops will take it to $620m. $600-610m is my range atm. And why would it drop 50% from here out? I already broke this down on the first or second page. Based off a 50 mill weekend, it will do at least another 85-95 mill on weekends. The weekdays will add another 40-50 mill. I have it doing 630-650. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 It can pass Avengers, but easy is not the term I'd use to describe it. Assuming it does 47-47.5m this weekend, it will do 70m for the week. From here, 50% weekly drops will take it to 585m finish, 45% drops will take it to $600m finish and 40% drops will take it to $620m. $600-610m is my range atm. No its definitely going to pass it. The worst case scenario is 620m. These are its late weeks its not gonna start dropping 50 or even 45% from here when it didn't drop that much even in its first two weeks. Plus it will have July weekdays for its late legs. Also we have the 4th of July week incoming. I dont see how its gonna drop so bad so as to lose a 43m lead over Avengers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 IO's number is not as good as I expected. It's playing more like a sequel rather than an original film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Seems my instincts about IO after seeing it were correct. It didn't connect with everyone. Surprised you would say something like this. You've been around the box office for a long time, you know how to do research. IO's second Friday jump is actually really quite good, in fact it's better than Toy Story 3's second Friday jump. You have to look at the time of year. We're in full summer mode now, jumping 55% on Friday is actually really strong. Here is TS3: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=toystory3.htm Monster's U: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=monstersinc2.htm Brave: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bearandthebow.htm And so on. Yes, its legs are in line with Pixar's last few movies, but one may have been hoping for more given its original status and the more overwhelming praise compared to Brave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 So this is from the Thursday thread: (and the Friday increase is already better) If JW follows a typical pattern of the last weekend in June, it will do something like: Friday: 13.6 (+51%) St: 19.7 (+45%) Sun: 16.3 (-20%) 49.6 mill, total after Sunday will be about 496 million. Terrible sign for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 @Fake: Here's how I break it down: If I had to guess, I'd say it starts dropping in the high 30's to low 40's after this. So a pure guess would be: After this weekend: 495 mill Weekend 4: 30 mill Weekend 5: 19.5 Weekend 6: 13 Weekend 7: 7 Weekend 8: 5 Weekend 9: 3.5 Weekend 10: 2 That's 80 mill 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 See, even she was smart enough not to be in this movie.. This should've been Direct to DVD or VOD.. She was also smart when she chose JUPITER ASCENDING? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldenstate5 Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Seems like IO will probably limp its way to 300 mil which isn't bad at all... some people feared that this would be Pixar's first flop and nope. One of their bigger hits, no matter how you slice it at this point. For Disney, who are reeling from the failed TL, I'm sure they are more than pleased with the result here. As for Ted 2... I know ppl are saying that it should have been huge but I just knew it. The trailers sold a completely boring story, and it's all due to Seth going in a safer, lazier direction rather than doing something legitimately insane again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 I hope this wasn't aimed at me.... I really didnt do that post for praise or something... I really believed in the movie (or rather, in marvel) since the start. My post was in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
