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CJohn

Weekend Estimates: Minions - 115.2M; JW - 18.1M; Inside Out - 17.1M; Gallows - 10M; Self/Less - 5.4M; MMXXL - 9.6M; T5 - 13.7M

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Looking at past weeks Saturdays, i dont see a decrease for Minions. Ice Age 4 stayed flat and even Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (I know a different beast but same release date) saw a minimal increase.

 

45

45

36 (-20%)

 

126m OW

 

With July weekdays, even if its slightly frontloaded this opening would put it on track to easily outgross DM2 and even 400m is possible.

Edited by picores
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Minions's $46M OD vs DM2's $35M OD. The battle is on.

Imagine DM3's OD being ridiculously high.

Doubt that. Big franchises that build up usually peak for OW on the third installment. DM3 is essentially the fourth in this case. Minions should definitely be the franchise peak.

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If it's that popular in China ($150m+) then it's popularity in other Asian countries shouldn't be far behind.

That's China number is just speculation..... BTW DM2 did pretty well in China($53m), so it's possible.

 

But some markets have been really poor for the franchise, India for example, where DM2 didn't even do $1m.

 

BTW here is the list of major markets for DM2 in which Minions has opened and how much it is expected to do.....

 

Market - DM2 - Minions

 

UK - 72M - 65M

Australia - 33M - 25M

Brazil - 36M - 30M

France - 41M - 50M

Germany - 38M - 50M

Mexico - 48M - 50M

Russia - 35M - 45M

 

Total - 303M - 315M

 

So in the Top 7 markets, it barely increased from DM2. Even with very good holds from here, it will finish with around 330M in these markets. In the remaining markets(excluding China) DM2 did 245M. Even if Minions increases 50% in these markets, it will still be able to do only 700M excluding China.

Edited by Fake
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Doubt that. Big franchises that build up usually peak for OW on the third installment. DM3 is essentially the fourth in this case. Minions should definitely be the franchise peak.

DM2 (368 m) will be the peak.

Basically Shrek 2.

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That's China number is just speculation..... BTW DM2 did pretty well in China($53m), so it's possible.

 

But some markets have been really poor for the franchise, India for example, where DM2 didn't even do $1m.

 

BTW here is the list of major markets for DM2 in which Minions has opened and how much it is expected to do.....

 

Market - DM2 - Minions

 

UK - 72M - 65M

Australia - 33M - 25M

Brazil - 36M - 30M

France - 41M - 50M

Germany - 38M - 50M

Mexico - 48M - 50M

Russia - 35M - 45M

 

Total - 303M - 315M

 

So in the Top 7 markets, it barely increased from DM2. Even with very good holds from here, it will finish with around 330M in these markets. In the remaining markets(excluding China) DM2 did 245M. Even if Minions increases 50% in these markets, it will still be able to do only 700M excluding China.

Australia will be at least 33 million - it's already at 24 million

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