Weekend Estimates: Ant-Man 58.04 | Minions 50.24 | Trainwreck 30.24 | IO 11.66 | JW 11.36 (Page 88)

[Bishop54]

Disney and Universal are on a double-double date!

IO is cheating on JW.

[WrathOfHan]

JW showing number 12...and Ant-Man. 

 

12?!?!?!?!

[Bishop54]

12?!?!?!?!

Yes sir, I'm shooting for a bakers dozen. 

[Rman823]

I was hoping Ant-Man would play with AOU or Jurassic World here cause I want to watch both again but the three drive ins near me are playing Max and San Andreas together, Max and Minions together, and Max and Terminator Genisys together.

[JennaJ]

IO is cheating on JW.

 

Yeah, it's funny that they are both so tight but I don't remember people talking about double-features of those two.

I just assumed it would be Minions-JW and IO-Ant-Man because of the studios, but appearantly that's not a major concern?

Anyway, I guess both IO and JW profit.

Edited July 17, 2015 by JennaJ

[The Panda]

I assume IO will increase from those numbers going foward as it usually does.

24-25 is pretty good for Ant-Man

IO should hit around 12m if 3.7m sticks so a light 32% drop

[Gopher]

Nope. Family movies jump 45-50% at times. This will too on Saturday.

You're ignoring your comps. Look at Pixar movies. Look at the other Despicable Me movies. 45-50% isn't happening. It hasn't happened.

[tupek]

You're ignoring your comps. Look at Pixar movies. Look at the other Despicable Me movies. 45-50% isn't happening. It hasn't happened.

How do you explain minions jumped bigger than those titles from Thursday to Friday?

[kayumanggi]

Universal Crosses $5 Billion at Worldwide Box Office

https://variety.com/2015/digital/news/universal-crosses-5-billion-worldwide-box-office-2015-1201543005/

 

Universal Pictures has passed $5 billion at the worldwide box office this year — faster than any other studio has reached that milestone.

[fmpro]

Are Gopher guessing or does he have info?

[kayumanggi]

Are Gopher guessing or does he have info?

 

Has info.

[fmpro]

Has info.

That must be a new thing then.

[BadAtGender]

Animated films in July tend to jump about 25-30% on their second Saturdays. That probably puts Minions in the range of 19-21 for tomorrow, given the 15-16 for today. Best case scenario is probably 55 for the weekend.

[Bishop54]

That must be a new thing then.

The first couple times we thought he was just guessing but the dude is legit. We have Rth, Spatula, and now Gopher...BOT cannot be beaten!

[superduperm]

Hopefully the $3.5M sticks for JW. That would lead to the second consecutive sub-40% drop for the weekend, which means the hopes of beating Titanic is still alive.

[Jessie]

60m is not guaranteed for Ant-Man. Needs 25m.

6.4 + 18.6 + 19.5 + 16.5(-18%) = 61m

That's a very small Saturday increase for ant man

[MovieMan89]

Hopefully the $3.5M sticks for JW. That would lead to the second consecutive sub-40% drop for the weekend, which means the hopes of beating Titanic is still alive.

I'd say with that Friday, Titanic is officially toast. It will make 1m+ more than Avenger's 6th weekend, and that still had 51m to gross after that. 612+51 is 663m. JW might still have another 60m in the tank after this weekend with the way it's holding.

[superduperm]

I'd say with that Friday, Titanic is officially toast. It will make 1m+ more than Avenger's 6th weekend, and that still had 51m to gross after that. 612+51 is 663m. JW might still have another 60m in the tank after this weekend with the way it's holding.

I don't think it's a slam dunk, but if this weekend pushes JW to $612M (thinking it will be closer to $611M) I think Universal will find a way to push this over Titanic's domestic total. That's a historical opportunity you might never get again, at least until inflation kicks in.

Edited July 18, 2015 by superduperm

[Bishop54]

Imagine the 2nd biggest film of all-time? Damn!!!

[redfirebird2008]

I'd say with that Friday, Titanic is officially toast. It will make 1m+ more than Avenger's 6th weekend, and that still had 51m to gross after that. 612+51 is 663m. JW might still have another 60m in the tank after this weekend with the way it's holding.

 

It's still early as Gopher said. But keep in mind TA1 was at $618m with fewer than 125 theaters (and its run was basically dead) when Disney expanded it to over 1700 theaters. That expansion boosted the gross by $5m. I do not expect Universal to do anything like that for JP4 unless it can legitimately get to $655m on its own.