Tuesday #s | Minions 8M, Ant-Man 7.8M, TW 4.2M, JW 1.7M Down goes Avengers! JW #3 WW!

[a2k]

So Minions drops 40% today?  

 

 

~30% imo, being 2nd Wed.

[mahnamahna]

Any projections this weekend on Trainwreck? Still hopeful for a 36% drop or less.

For this weekend, I'm thinking

1. Pixels: $38 million (enough kids will get it $30m+ I think) 
2. Paper Towns: $34 million 
3. Ant-Man: $27 million ($110 million) 
4. Minions: $25 million ($264 million)
5. Trainwreck: $22 million ($65 million) 
6. Southpaw: $11 million 
7. Inside Out: $8.5 million ($321 million) 
8. Jurassic World: $8 million ($624 million)
9. Terminator Genysis: $3 million ($86 million)
10. Magic Mike XXL: $3 million ($64 million) 

Edited July 22, 2015 by mahnamahna

[JohnnyGossamer]

Ant-Man 8 (+25%) 

Minions 7.8 (+35%) 

Trainwreck 4.15 (+18%) 

IO 2.1 (+33%) 

JW 1.7 (+25%) 

Nothing like some quality Tuesday numbers to ease a hangover. Looking good all around.

[baumer]

Why are Tuesday increases so much higher this summer than others?

[Jim Shorts]

When the guys over at ESPN try to write about boxoffice:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/marvels-run-crushes-hollywoods-most-epic-winning-streaks/

Btw, Disney owns ESPN.

[grim22]

Tuesday increases this summer have been ridiculous. Are people just waiting for a Tuesday so they can watch movies for cheap? Good strategy for sure.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

Looks like JW will beat The Avengers this weekend for sure. Man did it slow down though, it struggled to beat TA.

I can't wait for BKB's meltdown

[JohnnyGossamer]

When the guys over at ESPN try to write about boxoffice:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/marvels-run-crushes-hollywoods-most-epic-winning-streaks/

Btw, Disney owns ESPN.

Let's be honest, no one understands box office trends and tracking better than the guys that run boxoffice.com and the more savvy posters on these forums. We're pretty fucking spoiled here.

[bladels]

 

For this weekend, I'm thinking

1. Pixels: $38 million (enough kids will get it $30m+ I think) 
2. Paper Towns: $34 million 
3. Ant-Man: $27 million ($110 million) 
4. Minions: $25 million ($264 million)
5. Trainwreck: $22 million ($65 million) 
6. Southpaw: $11 million 
7. Inside Out: $8.5 million ($321 million) 
8. Jurassic World: $8 million ($624 million)
9. Terminator Genysis: $3 million ($86 million)
10. Magic Mike XXL: $3 million ($64 million) 

 

I hope Ant-Man doesn't drop that much, i really enjoyed it.

[TServo2049]

Yeah, remember the stock analyst who predicted Catching Fire was going to top TA1's OW and/or make $1B WW? And when its OW "underperformed", Lionsgate's stock price dropped?

People who have no business predicting this stuff are going to say The Force Awakens is a shoo-in for $2B WW, if not actually beating Avatar WW. Just watch.

[Captain Craig]

$8m is a very exceptional # for Ant-Man, if that holds, even w/a 30% Wed drop it should still be $80m going into the weekend.

Overall impressive increases all around. 

[mahnamahna]

I hope Ant-Man doesn't drop that much, i really enjoyed it.

a 52% drop isn't too bad for a CBM. 

 

If Pixels really does $20-25 mlilion, I could see 46-48%. 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Tuesday increases this summer have been ridiculous. Are people just waiting for a Tuesday so they can watch movies for cheap? Good strategy for sure.

I try to do that every week. Too expensive to justify seeing all the movies I want to see at full price with what I'm making. Wednesday also has cheap movies near me, which is nice when there is a backlog of movies I want to watch.

[JohnnyGossamer]

What's Pixels tracking at? Paper Towns? Both tracking over $30M?

[The Dark Alfred]

Minions behind IO, game over really.

[doorbot]

Let's be honest, no one understands box office trends and tracking better than the guys that run boxoffice.com and the more savvy posters on these forums. We're pretty fucking spoiled here.

I was really hoping for some data in that piece when I saw it yesterday, especially coming from fivethirtyeight--even just a simple won-loss chart for each franchise, which probably would have led to some analysis of Nemesis losing out to Maid in Manhattan by $200K. It's amusing to me that less than 40,000 people (on average) are the difference between two current streaks of this rather spurious record.

[Captain Craig]

What's Pixels tracking at? Paper Towns? Both tracking over $30M?

A Variety article in another thread is expecting both to be in the $20's, stating it expects Ant-Man could repeat as #1 if whatever tracking they are looking at holds close to right. 

[Jim Shorts]

They sure are pushing premium showings of Ant-Man locally. The 6 largest theaters around me have more show times for IMAX and Real3D than standard showings. Makes sense to watch it on Tuesdays with the discount.

[Captain Craig]

Rth and/or Gopher we are lost in a numberless void without your guidance!

Please deliver unto us Tuesday numbers!

 

It's midday and all, usually even some have spilled out onto Twitter by now. 

[DAJK]

Suddenly everybody's cheering for Ant Man? After ONE very good Tuesday bump?

I'm cheering for AM because I thought the movie was great.