Dementeleus Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 1 minute ago, BourneFan #1 said: I could see Rogue One getting a $150 OW at this point. Maybe Excel was talking about ROGUE ONE all along. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 3 minutes ago, Jayhawk the Hutt said: People are probably like, "Finally, Sunday night. No one will go see the SW tonight! We'll have the theatres practically to ourselves!" I don't thionk people are that silly. It's the first weekend.....most people understand that a movie like SW is going to monopolize the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 (edited) 24 minutes ago, Rth said: Yesterday initial est 63-65 being to conservative, let’s see if Sunday is too conservative..or not, atm go with 54-57m, which high end would be inline with high DL had this morning from other sources. Sub 20% Sun drop and a $245m+ ow here we go!! Edited December 21, 2015 by FTF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 2 minutes ago, BATMOOSEMIKE said: Why do studios always lowball estimates on their own movies? I can't remember the last time I saw a studio over predict their own movie. Disney did it with Age of Ultron and we all know how that ended 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 3 minutes ago, BATMOOSEMIKE said: Why do studios always lowball estimates on their own movies? I can't remember the last time I saw a studio over predict their own movie. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superduperm Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 3 minutes ago, BATMOOSEMIKE said: Why do studios always lowball estimates on their own movies? I can't remember the last time I saw a studio over predict their own movie. Iron Man 2 and Transformers 2 come to mind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 3 minutes ago, Jayhawk the Hutt said: If actuals are $250,000,001, I wouldn't even be mad. Only the people that predicted 248 would be pissed, haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somebody85 Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 2 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I don't thionk people are that silly. It's the first weekend.....most people understand that a movie like SW is going to monopolize the weekend. I have heard from a few friends who went to see it early morning that had the theater to themselves due to all the showtimes. But that isn't going to happen with IMAX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 4 minutes ago, BATMOOSEMIKE said: Why do studios always lowball estimates on their own movies? I can't remember the last time I saw a studio over predict their own movie. Sony overestimated 22JS like, every weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 Do you guys remember how shady/hilarious that Puerto Rico report was? Something really blatant like "we just realized we totally forgot to account for grosses from Puerto Rico, which we've now done. And wouldnchyaknowit 200 million!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 (edited) 1 minute ago, Darth Rallax said: Sony overestimated 22JS like, every weekend. Yeah, but that was clearly a meta joke. Edited December 21, 2015 by Jayhawk the Hutt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 Over the estimate of $238 would be nice but I went with $237m in the derby. I'm so conflicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BourneFan #1 Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 2 minutes ago, CJ Ren said: Disney did it with Age of Ultron and we all know how that ended Technically, Age of Ultron increased from official estimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kowhite Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 2 minutes ago, superduperm said: Iron Man 2 and Transformers 2 come to mind. Scream 2 totally wins the over predicted the weekend award. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 8 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: If they can get within a couple million, I say Puerto Rico this bad boy to 250. Too bad The Good Dinosaur tanked, probably could've borrowed a little from that if it were doing better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 2 minutes ago, spizzer said: Do you guys remember how shady/hilarious that Puerto Rico report was? Something really blatant like "we just realized we totally forgot to account for grosses from Puerto Rico, which we've now done. And wouldnchyaknowit 200 million!" Even so TF2 5 -day would 250 today I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 Everyone knows the record has been broken, why not high ball the fuck out of this mofo so that the large news groups and websites report it as such. By the time actuals are released, most of these sites like Yahoo don't even bother updating the numbers. It's better publicity to go for the gusto in this instance when 99% of the population doesn't give a damn about actuals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 1 minute ago, spizzer said: Do you guys remember how shady/hilarious that Puerto Rico report was? Something really blatant like "we just realized we totally forgot to account for grosses from Puerto Rico, which we've now done. And wouldnchyaknowit 200 million!" Dude, we all remember. That weekend was one of the greatest of all time just for sheer hilarity. From Brandon Gray: * Note: Revenge of the Fallen's weekend gross fell $3 million short of Paramount's Sunday estimate, which would have put the five-day opening at $198.2 million. Though shy of $200 million, it would have still ranked second among the all time five-day starts. However, Paramount revised its grosses from Wednesday and Thursday upward, and that's what pushed the total past $200 million. Wednesday went from $60.6 million to $62.0 million, and Thursday went from $28.6 million to $29.1 million. Paramount reported that the differences came from unreported showings from the movie's midnight openings on Wednesday night, which went from the previously reported $16 million at around 3,000 theaters to $16.8 million at close to 3,300 theaters, as well as late reports from institutional IMAX locations and theaters in Puerto Rico and some Caribbean islands (which the studio counts in its domestic numbers), which accounted for $1.1 million of the difference. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2601&p=.htm 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 5 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: Only the people that predicted 248 would be pissed, haha. http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Results.aspx Player Title Prediction Actual Your Score Difference from Avg. Score Average Score The Panda Menace Star Wars: The Force Awakens $251.20M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% rahuljaijiv Star Wars: The Force Awakens $251.20M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% Jim Shorts Star Wars: The Force Awakens $251.00M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% jrmaggart Star Wars: The Force Awakens $250.00M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% Zlatan Star Wars: The Force Awakens $249.90M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% darkelf Star Wars: The Force Awakens $248.45M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% TalismanRing Star Wars: The Force Awakens $247.50M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% JohnnY Star Wars: The Force Awakens $246.44M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% moviecriticguy Star Wars: The Force Awakens $245.80M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% Hangman Star Wars: The Force Awakens $245.60M $0.00M 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 2 minutes ago, spizzer said: Do you guys remember how shady/hilarious that Puerto Rico report was? Something really blatant like "we just realized we totally forgot to account for grosses from Puerto Rico, which we've now done. And wouldnchyaknowit 200 million!" The asterisk paragraph on BOM's TF2 article is pretty much the greatest thing in box office history. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
