B J Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 1 minute ago, Biggestgeekever said: Needs $52M the next two days to beat Jurassic World's calendar gross record. Avatar drops from $29.3M give it $53M, so knowing how some milestones have gone, it'll probably miss it by like 200k. its gonna do it, gonna out hold avatar on thursday once more fo sho JW crushed in 14 days 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSoxRox Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 14 minutes ago, B J said: OMG! Another Alaskan, and a BO follower, YAY! Yeah Anchorage is lacking in snow this year and its been pretty warn compared to the usual as well. Minor flurries here as well but I want a true dumping, grass in the middle of the winter is odd Yep, although I moved here in August for grad school. Originally from Iowa, so used to long winters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 41 minutes ago, Fake said: There is no point in extrapolating legs of SW7 based on Avatar. Avatar was a different kind of monster. On the other hand, SW7 is basically mirroring the LOTR2 run at 3x level Day: SW7 - LOTR2 - Multi Fri (w/m): 62.1 - 19.2 = 3.23x Sat: 68.3 - 22.75 = 3.00x Sun: 60.55 - 20.0 = 3.03x Mon: 40.1 - 13.5 = 2.97x Tue: 37.4 - 7.8 = 4.80x Wed: 38.0 - 12.4 = 3.06x Thu: 27.4 - 15.45 = 1.77x Week 1: 333.85 - 111.15 = 3.00x Fri: 49.3 - 16.9 = 2.92x Sat: 56.7 - 17.2 = 3.30x Sun: 43.15 - 14.8 = 2.92x Mon: 31.3 - 10.1 = 3.10x Week 2 (so far): 180.55 - 59.0 = 3.06x (The fluctuation in dailies is due to Christmas falling on different day of the week.) LOTR2 made 129.6m after Monday. If SW7 continues to be at 3x level, it will make further 388m after Monday, which means 572 + 388 = 960M finish. That's why 1B is not locked yet. For 1B to happen, the requires multiplier from here on would be 3.3x. Good job on the extrapolation. But SW7 will benefit from buzz surrounding record breaking blockbusters that generally helps it have better legs. Plus the boost with Imax/PLF will help it have stronger weekday.I am confident it will gross > 1B. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KATCH-2D2 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Oh wow... another massive daily number.. What else is new?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) so 29.3. Nice to see it fall on the high end of Rth! ANNNND 600M!!!!!!!!!!!! http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-600-million-hateful-eight-tuesday-previews-1201674026/ Edited December 30, 2015 by tokila 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 25 minutes ago, ChiSoxRox said: Yep, although I moved here in August for grad school. Originally from Iowa, so used to long winters. close enough, yep love them long winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 1 minute ago, tokila said: so 29.3. Nice to see it fall on the high end of Rth! http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-600-million-hateful-eight-tuesday-previews-1201674026/ So, about a 6% drop? Pretty solid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Good job on the extrapolation. But SW7 will benefit from buzz surrounding record breaking blockbusters that generally helps it have better legs. Plus the boost with Imax/PLF will help it have stronger weekday.I am confident it will gross > 1B. It's kinda funny how we view BO. Yes... everything you said is true. However we seem to forget that legs and BO are a result of if the movie is good and if people want to see it. Also... how re-watchable is the movie. There are movies I've loved but did not want to see again. There are movies I've loved but got tired of after a few views. And there are a very view movies that I'll go see in the theater any number of times. If we could come up with better ways to track WOM and repeat viewings we could get better at predicting BO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 28 minutes ago, Ray said: If it opens it summer, it could open bigger (but A:IW2 comes out earlier that month, doesn't it?), but will it even have legs against all the summer competition? I expect a bigger opening but it won't hold nearly as long. EP9 will do $250-$300 million opening weekend but will probably finish about 20% less than EP7 overall. And yes Infinity War Part 2 comes out on May 3rd, EP9 comes out 3 weeks later on May 24th. I expect Infinity War Part 2 should have at least $500 million in the bag by the time EP9 opens though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) 3 minutes ago, BoxOfficeZ said: So, about a 6% drop? Pretty solid. more than solid. Its the record for best non opening Tuesday! Wait nevermind TFA set that last week.... lol. So ya TFA beat the previous record for a non-opening day tuesday in its 2nd week. WE ARE NOT WORTHY!! (Wayne's World style) Edited December 30, 2015 by tokila 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSoxRox Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 5 minutes ago, tokila said: so 29.3. Nice to see it fall on the high end of Rth! ANNNND 600M!!!!!!!!!!!! http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-600-million-hateful-eight-tuesday-previews-1201674026/ Thank heavens. I was starting to have visions of a $599,995,... number 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Great number, but bummed it's so close but so far from staying over 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 It possible that JW could fall on Friday, and Avatar on Sunday. Would be crazy to knock them both out in 1 weekend. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 12 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: Great number, but bummed it's so close but so far from staying over 30. Congrats to your green color! I really start to have that 'Disney Effect' dancing around in my mind sice a few days... tendency: getting stronger 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misterchief81 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) 17 minutes ago, tokila said: It possible that JW could fall on Friday, and Avatar on Sunday. Would be crazy to knock them both out in 1 weekend. JW could fall on Thursday if the holds are strong enough. Then Titanic on Friday and Avatar on Monday (Sunday, if the weekend is really great) Edit: Think about how insane that sounds. Downing the top 3 domestic box office unadjusted gross leaders in only 14-18 days. Unreal. Edited December 30, 2015 by misterchief81 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 we can argue about using adjusted ticket prices and how they relate era to era until we are blue in the face, but there is one thing we can agree. Dec 17-Jan 3 will be the greatest 17 days by any movie in the history of the box office. Each Day in that frame looks like and opening weekend number from a blockbuster caliber movie. Titanic had the greatest 5 month run. Star Wars had the greatest 2 year run. GWTW had the greatest popularity over a decade, but for the modern box office what TFA is doing is the equivalent. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 #StarWarsTheForceAwakens looking at $29-30M TUE shattering $600M in record 12.5 days w/ plenty o' holiday biz to come. — Gitesh Pandya (@giteshpandya) December 30, 2015 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Thinking about the Danish Girl, it was actually a bit disappointing aside from the acting. You get the importance of the story, and while this isn't necessarily a bad thing, it felt like a small intimate story told on an intimate scale rather than a grand story on an intimate scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 1 hour ago, Fake said: There is no point in extrapolating legs of SW7 based on Avatar. Avatar was a different kind of monster. On the other hand, SW7 is basically mirroring the LOTR2 run at 3x level Day: SW7 - LOTR2 - Multi Fri (w/m): 62.1 - 19.2 = 3.23x Sat: 68.3 - 22.75 = 3.00x Sun: 60.55 - 20.0 = 3.03x Mon: 40.1 - 13.5 = 2.97x Tue: 37.4 - 7.8 = 4.80x Wed: 38.0 - 12.4 = 3.06x Thu: 27.4 - 15.45 = 1.77x Week 1: 333.85 - 111.15 = 3.00x Fri: 49.3 - 16.9 = 2.92x Sat: 56.7 - 17.2 = 3.30x Sun: 43.15 - 14.8 = 2.92x Mon: 31.3 - 10.1 = 3.10x Week 2 (so far): 180.55 - 59.0 = 3.06x (The fluctuation in dailies is due to Christmas falling on different day of the week.) LOTR2 made 129.6m after Monday. If SW7 continues to be at 3x level, it will make further 388m after Monday, which means 572 + 388 = 960M finish. That's why 1B is not locked yet. For 1B to happen, the requires multiplier from here on would be 3.3x. Thanks for the comparision, but third weekend will help SW7 to gain the margin you can't see. TTT dropped 48% in 3rd while SW7 won't drop that much. Actually, there is no movie to compare with SW7. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Lol. Rth called this 7+ hours ago..... He said. 28.5-29.6, dropped the mic and went to bed. All praise Rth. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
