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Wednesday's Revenant 1.58 | SW7 1.32 | DirtyGrandpa 956k | 13h 911k | RA2 848k | Boy 606k | 5thWave 602k | BigShort 400k | DH 359k | Brooklyn 284k | chart p.1

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Deadline weekend preview (yesterday, repost)

 

‘Kung Fu Panda 3’ Will Dig Box Office Out Of The Snow With $40M+ Opening – Preview

http://deadline.com/2016/01/kung-fu-panda-3-finest-hours-fifty-shade-of-black-jane-got-a-gun-box-office-preview-1201691337/

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Kung Fu Panda 3 to plow them out with an opening in the $40M range at 3,955 theaters....

...

Currently, Kung Fu Panda 3 has an 85% positive Rotten Tomatoes score. Fandango is reporting today that Kung Fu Panda 3 is the top advance ticket seller for the weekend, outstripping previous DWA titles Home and Kung Fu Panda 2 at the same point in their sale cycles.

Kung Fu Panda 3 will play in PLF and 3D. AMC Theatres has partnered with Fox and DWA to play the movie in Mandarin at seven sites and in Spanish at 14 locations. There will be a mix of subtitled and dubbed formats of Kung Fu Panda 3. It’s the first time that AMC is playing a major theatrical release in dubbed/subtitled Mandarin....

 

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it will be a cluster of holdovers and new entries in the $10M-$11M sphere

 

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Walt Disney’s The Finest Hours based on Michael J. Tougias and Casey Sherman’s novel about a 1952 Coast Guard rescue mission off the New England coast is tracking for a $10M-$11M opening at 3,143 theaters. The film will receive extra ticket surcharges from 2,700-plus 3D locations, 190 IMAX screens, 50+ PLF screens and roughly 80 D-Box locations. Previews kick off Thursday night at 7 PM. Older guys are the prime crowd here.

 

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Fifty Shades Of Black is expected to draw mostly younger females with a FSS of $10M-$11M at 2,075 with 1,600 to 1,800 theaters previewing tomorrow night at 7 PM. IM Global financed Fifty Shades Of Black for an estimated $5M.

 

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...Jane Got A Gun at 550 locations..... the film will be lucky if it hits $1M this weekend.

 

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The Revenant is looking at a sixth weekend that’s down in the 30%-tile, around $11M.

Star Wars 7 ... should do about $10M in its seventh weekend.

Dirty Grandpa ..hold best.. -40% second weekend decline, bringing in $6M-$7M

 

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54 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

No, but I do read sometimes at their forum (seldom), but only for German details and look up their news rather regularly when I have the time.

I'm increasingly into ww BO business (afterwards analysis of all details available) since the '70/'90. I do not see myself as very informed, more as knowing where to look up certain details. Plus some little details too long to mention here.

 

As usual, BOM only allows the copying / posting of at max 19 titles for e.g. a forum, added for the last-week-comparison.

 

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1   The Revenant Fox $1,580,322 -21% -29% 3,711 $426 $124,255,340 34
2   Star Wars7 BV $1,324,479 -16% -27% 3,365 $394 $883,305,698 41
3   Dirty Grandpa LGF $956,384 -27% - 2,912 $328 $14,297,293 6
4   13 Hours.... Benghazi Par. $911,009 -21% -34% 2,917 $312 $35,722,665 13
5   Ride Along 2 Uni. $847,975 -29% -42% 3,192 $266 $61,606,165 13
6   The Boy (2016) STX $606,324 -32% - 2,671 $227 $13,001,689 6
7   The 5th Wave Sony $601,639 -36% - 2,908 $207 $12,589,713 6
8   The Big Short Par. $400,634 -7% -9% 1,351 $297 $57,515,453 48
9   Daddy's Home Par. $358,782 -24% -26% 2,789 $129 $139,650,427 34
10   Brooklyn FoxS $283,604 -13% +26% 962 $295 $28,395,493 85
11   Norm of the North LGF $208,959 -31% -2% 2,411 $87 $14,804,620 13
12   Spotlight ORF $174,924 -6% -4% 1,030 $170 $33,397,861 83
-   Joy Fox $170,662 +6% -35% 966 $177 $54,641,645 34
-   Sisters Uni. $170,280 -16% -51% 1,602 $106 $86,318,770 41
-   The Hateful Eight Wein. $165,682 -14% -52% 1,277 $130 $51,481,280 34
-   The Forest Focus $124,461 -22% -58% 2,010 $62 $25,395,925 20
-   Carol Wein. $100,606 -4% -34% 692 $145 $10,864,479 69
-   The Danish Girl Focus $89,288 -9% +6% 794 $112 $9,979,017 62
-   Alvin .... Road Chip Fox $69,659 -14% -28% 1,204 $58 $82,758,202 41

 

 

 

 

Don´t be so modest, man, you put here one of the best posts...

 

Since the ´70??

How do you know about boxoffice then, with Variety?

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I dont understand some of the way they decided to show movies, but if TFA is making more money per day than Bad Grandpa and 13 Hours why did its theater count drop below them? I would assume the theaters that dropped TFA were not doing much business anyways but stilll makes no sense.

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4 minutes ago, tokila said:

I dont understand some of the way they decided to show movies, but if TFA is making more money per day than Bad Grandpa and 13 Hours why did its theater count drop below them? I would assume the theaters that dropped TFA were not doing much business anyways but stilll makes no sense.

They can't get rid of Dirty Grandpa yet and the theaters that got rid of TFA likely wouldn't have had 13 Hours

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Yikes, the holdovers got decimated in the TC arena... not even TFA was "spared."

 

I still think we will see better than "normal" declines for some of the films such as TFA/TR and the Oscar Contenders mainly due to the depressed saturday/sunday last weekend, but maybe not as much now seeing the theater drops.

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3 minutes ago, Alpha said:

I know Rooster Teeth is off most of the forum's radars but their film Lazer Team comes out this weekend and it's already sold $1M in pre-sales in only limited release. Could see it make the Top 10 this weekend.

 

http://deadline.com/2016/01/lazer-team-movie-rooster-teeth-pre-sales-tugg-austin-1201691528/

Changing my Winter Game predictions now

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3 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

 don't forget theater loss and many big screens

yeah, i don't see how TFA manages 75-80+% holds with the loss of 809 theaters  (i wasn't expecting that drop) and IMAX and PLF, along with competition from KFP3 and others (Finest Hours, 50 Shades, TR strong holds).  even if TFA triples its currrent theater average of under $400 for all three days, that's still "only" about $9 million for the weekend.

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The theater drops don't make sense on any level whatsoever. First of all, it's 2nd at the box office, and 1st on Sunday, so there's no reason for it to lose even one theater let alone 800, let alone the 800 that came before.

 

Second, is the rest of the U.S. like the Twilight Zone or something? In Portland, we have maybe 25 metro theaters or so, and I check them all. As of tomorrow it has not lost ONE, not a single theater. Not even the 6-plex Downtown that usually throws movies out within a month tops. Even they're keeping TFA. It has definitely lost screens, but no theaters.

 

Furthermore, Portland has 2 IMAX screens and as I posted on here earlier this week, TFA kept them both, including my local theater -- so excited, as I'll be seeing it in IMAX for the next week. I'm at 23 viewings after today. Portland METRO area has 3 IMAX theaters and it did lose the one across the river in Vancouver, WA, to Finest Hours. But it looks like 190 IMAX screens (per Box Office Mojo) went to Finest Hours and that would leave, what, 110 for TFA? In my area though it kept 2/3 of them and in most other areas appears to have lost 2/3. I guess Portland is an "over perform" market for TFA, but I still don't understand how it has lost more than a couple of theaters nationwide.

 

I can understand if it was playing 4,100 theaters and of those, maybe 300 of them are 3-plexes or less and they ditched TFA for the first big movie that wasn't Star Wars, I guess, or something. But that doesn't account for losing 1,600 theaters completely. WHAT are they playing instead?! Were these just massively underperforming markets or something?! It makes literally no sense to me since my actual experience is completely the opposite -- nobody has gotten rid of Star Wars yet.

 

In fact, I will go a step further than that. EVERY THEATER in Portland has Star Wars on a full screen. Nobody has it below one screen yet. 

Edited by JonathanLB
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I am only speaking on a very limited number that I can see, but Finest Hours is getting almost zero interest and sales.  I mean like less than Dirty Grandpa is getting today.  

 

Not sure if that holds, but it looks like a gigantic bomb.  

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2 minutes ago, nilephelan said:

I am only speaking on a very limited number that I can see, but Finest Hours is getting almost zero interest and sales.  I mean like less than Dirty Grandpa is getting today.  

 

Not sure if that holds, but it looks like a gigantic bomb.  

It's not getting many of the large screens around me (and even at the IMAX theaters showing it, it's splitting showtimes with Star Wars). I won't be surprised if it tanks, and I'm getting the sense Disney won't either.

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