Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates - FD: $136.2M, CI: $34.5M, TC2: $15.56M, NYSM2: $9.65M, Flopcraft: $6.52M

[AniNate]

I'm expecting 3.5-ish for Dory

[Fancyarcher]

2 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

 

Dude, films opening that large don't usually get a 3 multiplier!! It's rare. Tdk, TFA, TA,JW. Those were freaks of nature.

 

Dory's animated though, and reception seems very good. It should at least have a 3X multiplier.

[superweirdo87]

If Rogue One and Dory win the Gold and Silver, it would be female-driven movies at the top.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Telemachos said:

 

That was six years ago. TS3's legs weren't considered amazing, either.

They were pretty good, though. Especially with $100M+ grossers opening every week over the following five weeks (something that Dory is unlikely to face).

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

They were pretty good, though. Especially with $100M+ grossers opening every week over the following five weeks (something that Dory is unlikely to face).

 

I never buy competition arguments.

[FilmBuff]

TS3 legs weren't impressive? WWWOOOOWWW.

[mahnamahna]

2 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

 

Dude, films opening that large don't usually get a 3 multiplier!! It's rare. Tdk, TFA, TA,JW. Those were freaks of nature.

But animated films tend to be leggier than tentpoles, so a 3x is fairly standard. 

 

TS3 and Shrek 2 managed a 3x, and I expect Dory to do the same. 

 

3.5x is up in the air, but definitely plausible.

 

4x will most likely not happen. 

[Ethan Hunt]

I'm just saying 3.6 isn't out of the realm of possibility. TS3 seems like the best comparison we have at this point.

[Spectre]

4 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

TS3 legs weren't impressive? WWWOOOOWWW.

 

Apparently not having a drop over 50% until Week 13 doesn't cut it these days.

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

I never buy competition arguments.

Sometimes it's obvious when competition strikes another movie down. Remember when Epic dropped by nearly 3/4's whenever Monsters University opened three years ago (something we'll likely see with Angry Birds this weekend)? And indicated that the former was mostly making money by default.

[Porthos]

I too remember when Civil War was 'a lock' to pass AOU. With that opening day and critical WOM and all.

[junkshop36]

Damn! Fantastic start for Dory

 

I worked a 13hr shift so I'm just waking up to these numbers lol

 

It's about time that turd of a movies animation OW record went down. 

 

Good OW for CI as well. The Rock strikes again. 

[Dementeleus]

5 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

TS3 legs weren't impressive? WWWOOOOWWW.

 

They were good, but not compared to some other animated films at the time.

HTTYD did a 5x. Tangled, 4.16x. Up, 4.3x. Ice Age, 4.72x. TS3 had better legs than a much-maligned SHREK sequel and MONSTERS V ALIENS.

 

That's what a big OW gives you.... stubbier legs.

[Ethan Hunt]

3 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

They were good, but not compared to some other animated films at the time.

HTTYD did a 5x. Tangled, 4.16x. Up, 4.3x. Ice Age, 4.72x. TS3 had better legs than a much-maligned SHREK sequel and MONSTERS V ALIENS.

 

That's what a big OW gives you.... stubbier legs.

Which is why no one is screaming from the rooftops that Finding Dory is gonna match Zootopia or Frozen's multi

[RichWS]

Terrific opening. Pixar loons in full effect. That's about it.

[grey ghost]

33 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

So, 140m OW with a 3.6 multiplier for 505m dom would be my guess for where this is headed.

 

Nice Cyclops avvy. 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, RichWS said:

Terrific opening. Pixar loons in full effect. That's about it.

Yep. As a Pixar loon, I've full on lost it.

 

 

[The Stingray]

The fact that re-releases of Top Gun and Blue Velvet are the most interesting thing in theaters in Sweden this summer goes to show what a shitty state Hollywood blockbusters are currently in...
 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

3 minutes ago, RichWS said:

Terrific opening. Pixar loons in full effect. That's about it.

Embrace the madness.

[cookie]

13 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

They were good, but not compared to some other animated films at the time.

HTTYD did a 5x. Tangled, 4.16x. Up, 4.3x. Ice Age, 4.72x. TS3 had better legs than a much-maligned SHREK sequel and MONSTERS V ALIENS.

 

That's what a big OW gives you.... stubbier legs.

 

Both Tangled and Ice Age (I assume you mean the third one) were five-day openers. And Dragon was a freak of nature (also helps that family competition was non-existent for nearly two months). I'll give you Up though.

Edited June 17, 2016 by cookie