Weekend #s STB 59.6M, Pets 29.3M, GB and LO 21.6M, IA5 21M

[baumer]

I remember people were in shock when Crowe won best actor for Gladiator. But he was phenomenal and deserved the win imo.

[mahnamahna]

3 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Lmao @ Ice Age, told you guys that was going sub 60 dom. Great #'s for Trek, Pets, Lights Out, and Dory. Neither bad nor good for GB.

Great call! I started feeling $70-80 million once Pets had a $100 million+ OW and buzz was non-existent. $50-55 million DOM is enough to make a small profit, but not enough to justify Ice Age 6. With how mediocre the Ice Age franchise is, it's hard to be sad about its demise or stalling. 

 

Star Trek with a $60 million OW and a $160-185 million DOM total isn't too bad. 

 

Pets getting a $29 million 3rd weekend is solid: 

$22 million ($305 million)

$12.5 million ($330 million)

$6 million ($339 million) 

$3 million ($343 million)

$2 million ($345 million) 

$2.5 million/$3.25 million ($349 million) 

$354-357 million DOM 

 

Lights Out with a $20-21 million OW and $55-65 million DOM sounds about right. 

 

Dory holding nicely! $485-495 million DOM should happen. 

 

Ghostbusters holding about as well as anyone could expect. $130-140 million DOM should happen.

 

Tarzan holding well! $130-133 million DOM is a lot better than most on here expected. 

 

 

 

 

17 minutes ago, James said:

Good for Beyond. 60m still in play.

It just gets better and better for Lights Out. The midnight/OD ratio is the same as The Shallows. If it follows that movie for the rest of the weekend it will end up with 22-23m. But I think it can push for 24-25m and maybe 70-80m total. I am very interested to see if it beats Purge 3.

And even better than Deadline estimated for Tarzan. A 40% weekend drop is on order. It is headed for 130-140m.

And that number for Ice Age should guarantee 20m. Not impressive by any means, but is is an animation so it should get at least a 3x multi. 60-70m will happen methinks.

 

$18.5 million OW (from a $5.75 million actual Friday) 

$9 million ($35 million) 

$4.5 million ($44 million) 

$2 million ($47 million) 

$0.75 million ($48 million) 

$0.5 million ($49 mlilion) 

$1 million/$1.25 million ($50 million)

 

$53-55 million DOM would still be roughly a 3x, but Angry Birds, SpongeBob 2 and Home all missed a 3x over the last two years, so IA5 missing the mark wouldn't be unprecedented. 

 

[Asyulus]

Good numbers.

[baumer]

This is looking like a pretty good weekend. Good numbers for the hold overs and for two of the openers.

[DeeCee]

And honestly. Who gives a shit about IA5?

Edited July 23, 2016 by DeeCee

[filmlover]

The ghastly reviews killed Ice Age. The entire series just has fatigue at this point too.

[a2k]

1 hour ago, DeeCee said:

Gladiator is due for a re-watch. 

 

Looking at wide releases from '97-'01

'01 A Beautiful Mind

'00 Gladiator (and Proof of Life)

'99 The Insider (and Mystery, Alaska)

'97 L.A Confidential

 

5 great years any actor would die to have

[Ethan Hunt]

7 hours ago, tonytr87 said:

 

Is anybody excited for Bourne though? 

Yes

[a2k]

When IA5 and ST3 were scheduled to open on the same weekend, few would have thought that IA5 Dom would end up around ST3 OW.

[druv10]

2 hours ago, Rth said:

 

 

 

 

STB 23, LO 9.2,SLOP 8.6,IA5 7.7,  WYNGC 6.2,FD 2.2,LOT 2, M&D 1.4
AF 680k

33% drop for Finding Dory from last Friday, if it can stabilize next few weekend than 500M isn't completely dead yet. 

[ACSlater]

1 hour ago, Baumer said:

I remember people were in shock when Crowe won best actor for Gladiator. But he was phenomenal and deserved the win imo.

 

 

That scene alone got him the best actor...

[a2k]

I was in shock when he didn't win for A Beautiful Mind.

[a2k]

Decent for GB. 20.5-21 likely (53.3-54.4% drop)

 

6.2 + 8.4 (+35%) + 6.3 (-25%) = 20.9 (-54.6%)

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

Decent for GB. 20.5-21 likely (53.3-54.4% drop)

 

6.2 + 8.4 (+35%) + 6.3 (-25%) = 20.9 (-54.6%)

 

Could do around 3 mulitiplier with that drop on 2nd weekend

[MinaTakla]

1 hour ago, mahnamahna said:

Great call! I started feeling $70-80 million once Pets had a $100 million+ OW and buzz was non-existent. $50-55 million DOM is enough to make a small profit, but not enough to justify Ice Age 6. With how mediocre the Ice Age franchise is, it's hard to be sad about its demise or stalling. 

 

Star Trek with a $60 million OW and a $160-185 million DOM total isn't too bad. 

 

Pets getting a $29 million 3rd weekend is solid: 

$22 million ($305 million)

$12.5 million ($330 million)

$6 million ($339 million) 

$3 million ($343 million)

$2 million ($345 million) 

$2.5 million/$3.25 million ($349 million) 

$354-357 million DOM 

 

Lights Out with a $20-21 million OW and $55-65 million DOM sounds about right. 

 

Dory holding nicely! $485-495 million DOM should happen. 

 

Ghostbusters holding about as well as anyone could expect. $130-140 million DOM should happen.

 

Tarzan holding well! $130-133 million DOM is a lot better than most on here expected. 

 

 

 

 

$18.5 million OW (from a $5.75 million actual Friday) 

$9 million ($35 million) 

$4.5 million ($44 million) 

$2 million ($47 million) 

$0.75 million ($48 million) 

$0.5 million ($49 mlilion) 

$1 million/$1.25 million ($50 million)

 

$53-55 million DOM would still be roughly a 3x, but Angry Birds, SpongeBob 2 and Home all missed a 3x over the last two years, so IA5 missing the mark wouldn't be unprecedented. 

 

I was just going to do a post and mention you, asking you about your new Pets projection if the 28-29m weekend numbers hold

Thanks!

[Eric is Quiet]

2 hours ago, Baumer said:

 

He was a soldier of Rome. Honour him.

ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED

Father of a slayed son. Husband to a murdered wife. And in this life or next I'll have my revenge.

 

Gladiator is pretty much perfect.

[cannastop]

#WeekendSoBoring That we're talking about Gladiator.

[a2k]

12 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Could do around 3 mulitiplier with that drop on 2nd weekend

 

Yeah, I think GB, LOT and CI will finish at 135-140.

[WrathOfHan]

Great numbers for Star Trek, Lights Out, SLOP, FTF, and The V; 500M is back on the table.

[a2k]

3 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

Lights Out over Pets??? 

 

No, but LO Over IA5