Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

[Heretic]

Loool. Without previews its Wednesday was 13.1m, meaning it beat FB by 2m. 'Whipped'. ?

Edited November 26, 2016 by Heretic

[efialtes76]

51 minutes ago, jj99 said:

Lion (TWC) 4 theaters/$46K Fri/$33,6K PTA/3-day: $135k/Wk 1

 

Yesss that PTA

 

Legend will get another Hit.

The PTA is $33,6K...

Edited November 26, 2016 by efialtes76

[efialtes76]

Trolls:

 

-54% on Thursday

+244% on Friday

 

[jj99]

36 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

The PTA is $33,6K...

 

 

DEAD. I noticed that. couldn't delete my post.

 

 

hope it has legs, as its been a crowd pleaser everywhere. 

 

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, Matrix4You said:

Fantastic Beasts after 2 weeks > Doctor Strange after 2 weeks.  The race to 225 and the push to 240-250 begins

 

That is good. But its bcoz of thanksgiving. by next weekend Strange should take back the lead as post thanksgiving drops are horrible. Then Rogue One will hit everything hard 2 weeks later. So I still see Strange winning this battle.

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Heretic said:

FB just keeps exceeding expectations. 18.9m. What a beautiful week it has had. 

 

And lol at people panicking about Moana. It's having the 2nd biggest 5-day thanksgiving opening of all time. 

It's dailies are looking weaker and weaker though. Could be a bigger than expected drop next week. 

2 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

 Bad Santa 2  (BG/MX), 2,900 Theaters / $1.58M Wed. (includes $330k previews)/$1.3M Thurs (-16%)/$2.1M Fri/ 3-day cume: $5.6M /5-day: $8.2M/Wk 1

 

Too low for Bad Santa 2.  I would not recommend using this # for estimates.

3.6x wed and 2.5x Friday is what Hor Bosses2  did. 5.6 is about right based on that

[MCKillswitch123]

OMIGOD MOANA IZ A FLOP IUAHUDHAISNAOS

 

Nah, not really. I guess the previews got the best of us (as per usual), and Moana was just more frontloaded than expected. Probably due to discount Tuesday more than anything, but still. We expected Frozen and got greedy. But nearly 60M 3-day and 80M+ 5-day is still pretty good, and if Moana can have a good hold next weekend (which is unlikely, but it can try), it can still leg it out to 175M before Rogue One opens. 300M seems like a far cry now, but a 225-240M ending is plausible.

 

Beasts is kicking some serious ass, though. It is DEFINITELY not performing like Potter, much more so like an original film w/franchise appeal. Hopefully 225M can still happen cause CASINO BETS.

[FantasticBeasts]

34 minutes ago, POTUS said:

It's dailies are looking weaker and weaker though. Could be a bigger than expected drop next week. 

3.6x wed and 2.5x Friday is what Hor Bosses2  did. 5.6 is about right based on that

Come on don't let us down now...

[PatrickvD]

Moana is doing fine. Word of mouth will spread. I mean, compared to Frozen.... it's the better film  

 

Frozen didnt go crazy until late december and january. Moana should fare consistently through the holidays and it will hold up in the face of Sing as well. It's just too much of a crowd pleaser.

[Dingdong123]

Everything's not yet official yet until the studio estimates come right? I pray to God that some miracle pops and Friday Moana numbers are at 23 million and it'll stay close to flat on Saturday pleeeeease.

[goldenstate5]

Heh Fantastics Beasts v Moana, huh? I guess I can see it. I'm marginally "team Moana" but I'd be lying if I said both didn't deserve success.

 

Even on Thanksgiving people were asking me whether to see FB or Moana. I kept just telling them to see both. I think audiences want to see Moana, but there's also a delayed curiosity effect happening with FB. People aren't sure what to think, but now that some are spreading good things the film is enjoying that success. Both will be facing trouble with Rogue One and Sing, both of which will prevent both from going very much beyond 300 mil, which are still very strong totals for both and I think they will also succeed OS as well. Seeing an Inside Out/JW thing here IMO.

[goldenstate5]

5 minutes ago, Dingdong123 said:

Everything's not yet official yet until the studio estimates come right? I pray to God that some miracle pops and Friday Moana numbers are at 23 million and it'll stay close to flat on Saturday pleeeeease.

 

Um, it's doing pretty great. It may not be exactly Frozen, but it's definitely not TGD. The word-of-mouth is stellar but that won't really show til next weekend.

[FantasticBeasts]

Moana s miles better than Frozen. Actually Frozen was such an average animation.. I died of boredom... 

What made Frozen suceed was  the soundtrack. Let it Go was the reason of this making a billion in gross...

 

[FantasticBeasts]

The pos to neg ratio in twitter for FB today is something like 328:1 . It has also gotten 3 times more tweets than Moana

[Xavier]

I think he meant Moana and not Beasts

[Xavier]

14 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Come on don't let us down now...

I think that by "weaker dailies" he meant Moana and not Beasts.

[Jake Gittes]

2 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

300 seemed perfectly logical to me after it beat Frozen's OD and kicked its ass in critical reception. The amazing WOM and legs could still be yet to come, this certainly doesn't mean there's no chance of that. Frozen actually had a rough drop in its second weekend, so hopefully Moana avoids that. 

it's impossible to avoid that. Frozen actually had it good with a 53% drop, Tangled dropped 56% and TGD 60%. Moana will probably land somewhere in the middle. 

[goldenstate5]

Again, it's way too early to say anything about Moana. FB is just enjoying a delayed boost, but trust me that Moana will enjoy the exact same level of heft.

Edited November 26, 2016 by goldenstate5

[FantasticBeasts]

13 minutes ago, Xavier said:

I think that by "weaker dailies" he meant Moana and not Beasts.

What a relief  !

[YM!]

And my club is saved.