UserHN Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 What do you all think about the trade projection that TLJ will make at least $425 million worldwide OW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 In Brazil TLJ barely declined over TFA, that's a nice surprise! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muzdt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Double IMAX 3D 2D 2017-12-15 14:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,346 42.64% 19,796 6,160 31.12% 80,952 15,822 19.54% 2017-12-15 15:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,366 42.90% 19,796 6,254 31.59% 80,952 16,282 20.11% 2017-12-15 16:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,389 43.19% 19,796 6,346 32.06% 80,952 16,774 20.72% 2017-12-15 17:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,428 43.69% 19,796 6,414 32.40% 80,952 17,274 21.34% 2017-12-15 18:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,453 44.00% 19,796 6,513 32.90% 80,952 17,807 22.00% 2017-12-15 19:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,485 44.41% 19,796 6,590 33.29% 80,952 18,423 22.76% 2017-12-15 20:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,529 44.97% 19,796 6,703 33.86% 81,528 19,040 23.35% 2017-12-15 21:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,545 45.18% 19,796 6,793 34.32% 81,528 19,457 23.87% 2017-12-15 22:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,573 45.53% 19,796 6,894 34.83% 81,528 19,938 24.46% 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 If the OS drops 30-35% from TFA then TLJ will do 735-792m (764 in the middle). Guessing 650 dom (192.5 ow * 3.375x) + 775 os = 1.425b ww 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 hours ago, Agafin said: That's only a 16% drop from TFA's first two days (in $US). Since the the markets and release dates are pretty much the same, that's really good, ER are on TLJ's side this time around (well, besides the £). THIS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 3 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said: http://deadline.com/2017/12/star-wars-the-last-jedi-overseas-opening-international-box-office-1202226976/ Refresh for latest…: In its first two days at the international box office, Star Wars: The Last Jedi has shot off to $60.8M in 48 material markets. Combined with Thursday’s domestic previews, the worldwide bounty is $105.8M so far. The eighth installment in the sci-fi saga opened at No. 1 in all markets (save Turkey and Korea), setting 2017 milestones in many. Looking at the same suite of offshore play and at today’s exchange rates, Jedi‘s first two days are 63% above Rogue One: A Star Wars Storyand 25% behind Star Wars: The Force Awakens. The top bases so far are the UK ($10.2M), Germany ($6.1M), France ($6M), Australia ($5.6M) and Brazil ($2.5M). In the UK, where the London premiere was held in royal fashion on Tuesday, and where cinemas are programming the movie around the clock, the return of Luke Skywalker scored the 3rd biggest opening day ever. Germany and Australia each clocked the 2nd biggest opening day of all time, behind only Force Awakens. Someone for a comparison between TLJ and TFA for these OS markets? I can at least give you that : BRAZIL The Force Awakens OD = $2.7m The Last Jedi OD = $2.5m Fall under 10% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 (edited) 25 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: Someone for a comparison between TLJ and TFA for these OS markets? I can at least give you that : BRAZIL The Force Awakens OD = $2.7m The Last Jedi OD = $2.5m Fall under 10% Last Jedi: UK: $10.2MGermany: $6.1MFrance: $6.0MAustralia: $5.6MBrazil: $2.5MSweden: $2.4MItaly: $2.3MMexico: $2.1MDenmark: $1.7MRussia: $1.6MNorway: $1.5MOther: $18.8M Cannot find an equivalent for Force awaken but with friday opening: $24.7m in the UK, $12.7m in Germany, $11.1m in France, $10.4m in Australia, $5.7m in Mexico, $4.9m in Russia, $4.4m in Italy, $4.1m in Brazil, $3.9m in Sweden, $3.5m in Spain, $3m in Japan, and $40.2m in assorted territories. Because I do not know what the thursday ratio to friday+thursday numbers look by market, hard to tell where it is in advance or behind. UK, Germany, France< australia seem to be close, the natural SW markets, Russia seem behind. Edited December 15, 2017 by Barnack 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muzdt Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Double IMAX 3D 2D 2017-12-16 14:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,718 47.38% 19,796 7,752 39.16% 81,528 23,467 28.78% 2017-12-16 15:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,744 47.71% 19,796 7,892 39.87% 81,528 24,148 29.62% 2017-12-16 16:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,765 47.98% 19,796 8,014 40.48% 81,528 24,791 30.41% 2017-12-16 17:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,800 48.43% 19,796 8,080 40.82% 81,528 25,447 31.21% 2017-12-16 18:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,825 48.74% 19,796 8,182 41.33% 81,528 26,008 31.90% 2017-12-16 19:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,847 49.03% 19,796 8,273 41.79% 81,528 26,524 32.53% 2017-12-16 20:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,861 49.20% 19,796 8,349 42.18% 81,528 27,039 33.17% 2017-12-16 21:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,893 49.61% 19,796 8,411 42.49% 81,528 27,454 33.67% 2017-12-16 22:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 3,920 49.96% 19,796 8,484 42.86% 81,528 27,962 34.30% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 No friday numbers? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 @Rth Ragnarok Where do you see the opening weekend OS and domestic going? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PPZVGOS Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Any weekend estimates about the UK? TFA opened to a bit over $50m or 34m sterling. Back then, the USD was equivalent to 67 pennies, whereas now it's worth a whooping 75. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 47 minutes ago, PPZVGOS said: Any weekend estimates about the UK? TFA opened to a bit over $50m or 34m sterling. Back then, the USD was equivalent to 67 pennies, whereas now it's worth a whooping 75. Should be around £26-27m. £26.5m is just over a 20% drop from TFA. In dollars that's around $35m, so 30% drop due to weak pound. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PPZVGOS Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 9 minutes ago, Heretic said: Should be around £26-27m. £26.5m is just over a 20% drop from TFA. In dollars that's around $35m, so 30% drop due to weak pound. TLJ cannot re-create the epic buzz that TFA could. A Star Wars movie seems to dilute the franchise a bit. I say this, because a 20% drop is significant. Still, we are talking huge numbers here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 minute ago, PPZVGOS said: TLJ cannot re-create the epic buzz that TFA could. A Star Wars movie seems to dilute the franchise a bit. I say this, because a 20% drop is significant. Still, we are talking huge numbers here. Actually, that is a completely normal drop, especially when coming from truly epic numbers. The only times you see something completely different is if the market has exploded in the meantime, exchange rates are drastically different, or if the movie that came before wasn't really huge but created a fanbase that expanded in the meantime (e.g. POTC). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 7 minutes ago, PPZVGOS said: TLJ cannot re-create the epic buzz that TFA could. A Star Wars movie seems to dilute the franchise a bit. I say this, because a 20% drop is significant. Still, we are talking huge numbers here. A 20% drop is good, I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Yeah, considering how much of a monster TFA was in the UK, a 20% drop was to be expected and still very impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PPZVGOS Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 25 minutes ago, George Parr said: Actually, that is a completely normal drop, especially when coming from truly epic numbers. The only times you see something completely different is if the market has exploded in the meantime, exchange rates are drastically different, or if the movie that came before wasn't really huge but created a fanbase that expanded in the meantime (e.g. POTC). I broadly agree with what you are saying there. But if TLJ displays weaker legs than TFA, the total gross could prove relatively disappointing. 23 minutes ago, UserHN said: A 20% drop is good, I think. I think it's both good, and substantial at the same time. We'll be in a better position to judge in a couple of weeks I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muzdt Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Double IMAX 3D 2D 2017-12-17 14:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,060 51.74% 19,796 9,047 45.70% 81,528 30,397 37.28% 2017-12-17 15:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,084 52.05% 19,796 9,138 46.16% 81,528 30,937 37.95% 2017-12-17 16:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,135 52.70% 19,796 9,180 46.37% 81,528 31,422 38.54% 2017-12-17 17:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,142 52.78% 19,796 9,235 46.65% 81,528 31,796 39.00% 2017-12-17 18:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,155 52.95% 19,796 9,266 46.81% 81,528 32,099 39.37% 2017-12-17 19:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,169 53.13% 19,796 9,293 46.94% 81,528 32,365 39.70% 2017-12-17 20:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,177 53.23% 19,796 9,312 47.04% 81,528 32,617 40.01% 2017-12-17 21:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,185 53.33% 19,796 9,327 47.12% 81,528 32,810 40.24% 2017-12-17 22:00:00 413 327 79.18% 7,847 4,194 53.45% 19,796 9,347 47.22% 81,528 32,994 40.47% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 (edited) Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $220,047,000 48.9% + Foreign: $230,000,000 68.7% = Worldwide: 450,047,000 Edited December 17, 2017 by titanic2187 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 (edited) STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI$230.0M Overseas Opening Weekend / 54 Markets $450.0M Global Opening Weekend #StarWars #TheLastJedi #BoxOffice— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) December 17, 2017 Edited December 17, 2017 by Purple Minion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...