Rorschach Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Hoping to see Shape of Water tomorrow. I've only seen like three so far and I doubt I'll be able to see all of them before the Oscars. Phantom Thread left my theater after like a week of being there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 I think Three Billboards is going to win in the wake of Parkland. We've known about the sexual assault connection for a few months, but now the rage at local authority in the film parallels what we're seeing with the families of Parkland victims. Then again, preferential voting might still be enough to prevent a win. Who the hell knows at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I think Three Billboards is going to win in the wake of Parkland. We've known about the sexual assault connection for a few months, but now the rage at local authority in the film parallels what we're seeing with the families of Parkland victims. Then again, preferential voting might still be enough to prevent a win. Who the hell knows at this point. I've already accepted it's gonna win and nothing will stop it. Let the years of bitching about it being an unworthy Best Picture winner commence. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 15 hours ago, filmlover said: I've already accepted it's gonna win and nothing will stop it. Let the years of bitching about it being an unworthy Best Picture winner commence. It's worthy tho so let the bitches bitch 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 It's a low bar, but I acknowledge a Three Billboards win wouldn't annoy me as much as Birdman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 What is it with the Birdman hate ? no seriously , why do you guys hate the win that much ? what should have won ? Boyhood ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Boyhood should've been the winner that year, yes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 (edited) Loooove Birdman, but Boyhood is a million times better so that should definitely have won Edited February 25, 2018 by That One Guy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 (edited) Grand Budapest would've been the rightful 2014 winner. Edited February 25, 2018 by WrathOfHan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 1 hour ago, BardCrank said: no seriously , why do you guys hate the win that much ? Because the movie is annoying self-masturbatory bullshit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Shape of Water should leave with Production Design, Original Score, and Best Director, But I wouldn’t be surprised if that was all it won. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 I still feel like Get Out is winning *shrug* 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said: I still feel like Get Out is winning *shrug* Enjoy being all alone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 12 minutes ago, The Shape of Pasta said: Shape of Water should leave with Production Design, Original Score, and Best Director, But I wouldn’t be surprised if that was all it won. Locked: Director, Production Design, Score 80%: Cinematography 50/50: Picture 40%: Costume Design, Sound Editing (don't think Phantom Thread and Dunkirk are as safe as many think in these two) 30%: Editing 10% or less: Actress, Original Screenplay, Sound Mixing Not happening: Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Here's what I have right now, minus the categories where I haven't seen any of the nominees: Spoiler Picture: The Shape of Water Director: Guillermo Del Toro Actor: Gary Oldman Actress: Frances McDormand Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell Supporting Actress: Allison Janney Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name Original Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Animated Feature: Coco Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049 Costume Design: Phantom Thread Film Editing: Dunkirk Makeup: Darkest Hour Original Score: The Shape of Water Original Song: "Remember Me" Production Design: The Shape of Water Sound Editing: Dunkirk Sound Mixing: Dunkirk Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049 I'm totally being a fool with that Cinematography prediction (though he has picked up some wins here and there), but I just really want Deakins to finally win. I'm also rooting for Blade Runner 2049 to surprise in Production Design. In addition to the film's own merits, it would be pretty neat to see the Academy retroactively acknowledge the huge influences the original film's visual design and effects had in the subsequent decades by recognizing the sequel. I'm probably also being foolish with Original Song. I know The Greatest Showman has connected with a lot of people and the guys who wrote the song have that post-La La Land afterglow working in their favor (though I'm going to be really unhappy if they win for a song that decidedly isn't the strongest on the soundtrack for the second year in a row), but the history of Disney winning this category when they have an acclaimed film nominated is hard to ignore. But perhaps I'm just letting my personal taste cloud my judgment here - "Remember Me" is fantastic, but "This Is Me" feels too on-the-nose even for a movie that never deals in subtlety. I've been thinking lately: it's an extreme longshot and there isn't any useful precedent for it, but what about Dunkirk as a shock winner in Best Picture? I'll be stunned if it actually pulls this upset off, but think about it: it could have enough #1 votes to put it in the conversation, and it seems like the kind of film with enough widespread acclaim (and lack of vocal detractors) to potentially reap the benefits of the preferential ballot. I don't think it's going to happen, but in a year where each of the two supposed top films missed important precursors and we're still not entirely dismissing the possibility of a film potentially winning without any additional wins (oh hai, Get Out), any pipe dream feels a little less insane. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Yeah, I don't want to count Dunkirk out either. The steak and potatoes audience that still makes up a solid majority of the academy no matter how many new voters were invited over the past few years; they are the reason why Darkest Hour is in the Best Picture lineup, and the chances that they may appreciate Dunkirk more than others is high. I agree with Webslinger; if a pipe dream winner is going to happen in any given year, this type of quiet year is the year for such a winner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 On 22/02/2018 at 4:15 AM, filmlover said: I've already accepted it's gonna win and nothing will stop it. Let the years of bitching about it being an unworthy Best Picture winner commence. Tbh i thought 3b was one of the better BP nominations. Id rather see that win than TSOW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 (edited) On 25/02/2018 at 1:56 PM, BardCrank said: What is it with the Birdman hate ? no seriously , why do you guys hate the win that much ? what should have won ? Boyhood ? Its pretentious. The revenant shouldn't have won either. Edited March 4, 2018 by Jessie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Jessie said: Its pretentious. The revenant shouldn't have won either. The Revenant.....did not win? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: The Revenant.....did not win? Look the guy just went months without an opportunity to call something pretentious on here, what do you want from him 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...