Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, commonsense88 said:

Incredible made huge growth through rental, also audiences been asking for an I2 for years, way more build up demand than FD, it will be a disappointment if it not 450 mil + domestic 

 

I join the sentiment that using your social group/your Internet interest to judge demand can be misleading.

 

Nemo is I think the best selling DVD of all time or close to it, Dory didn't do much ads and opened like crazy, the demand was giant.

[MCKillswitch123]

Ok, I'm bumping this thread not for top 10 purposes, but for 2018 in general predictions. I'm doing a loose prediction of every movie that's gonna be #1 at the weekends next year. No numbers or anything, just the predicted movie.

 

Without further ado:

 

Jan. 5-7 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi - In its 4th weekend, but still in the 30-40's range; only threat is the potential wide expansion of Downsizing

Jan. 12-14 - The Post - Spielberg's Pentagon Papers movie w/Hanks and Streep; flip a coin between this and Downsizing, but in a Trump world, a political thriller like this could do especially well in Oscar season; nothing else looks like it could give this much of a fight

Jan. 19-22 (MLK Day W/E) - The Post - Horse Soldiers and Den Of Thieves could do okay, but The Post will be driven by wom and Oscar buzz to have a super strong hold

Jan. 26-28 - Proud Mary - Non-event weekend; unless Extinction looks minimally appealing to audiences (and the concept could do it), Proud Mary will win based off of the Screen Gems black thriller audience alone

 

Feb. 2-4 - Cadaver - Don't ever underestimate Jan/Feb horrors; from Dec. to here, no other horror is released, so this will benefit from an empty market; another non-event weekend

Feb. 9-11 - Fifty Shades Freed - Will drop from Darker, but still open in the 35-40M range; Maze Runner 3 will surely drop from the other two and the animated film (not films, one of them's moving for sure) will be lucky to cross 20M

Feb. 16-19 (President's Day W/E) - Black Panther - Fucking duh

Feb. 23-25 - Black Panther - Pacific Rim 2 could make it tough, and will give it somewhere of a 58% drop (same audience, after all), but it still maintains #1

 

March 2-4 - Red Sparrow - Coin flip between this and Panther's 3rd, but I'm thinking some overperformance based on the current political climate + JLaw factor

March 9-11 - A Wrinkle In Time - Unless Red Sparrow massively overperforms and maintains its composure (which I don't see happening), Wrinkle In Time will do it on a high teens-low 20's opening

March 16-18 - Tomb Raider - Again, won't do THAT much, but the franchise is pretty popular; I'm thinking a Warcraft-esque opening which could give it #1 on this weekend... unless, of course, wom is awful, but I'm believing this one won't be as bad as your Assassin's Creeds of the world

March 23-25 - Robin Hood - It's between this, Anubis and Tomb Raider's 2nd, and honestly, it's the more believable winner of what should be a boring ass weekend

 

March 30-April 1 - Ready Player One - With the WB marketing machine and the enormous popularity of the book behind it, this will be a breakout hit (and possibly Spielberg's biggest hit since Lincoln)... not saying it's the next Hunger Games or anything, but it could open BIG

 

April 6-8 - Ready Player One - Nothing else credible enough to take down RPO

April 13-15 - The New Mutants - It is quite the wildcard, but if well marketed, it could open in the 40's range; it could have its life made difficult if the mystery Universal monster movie remains here, but it can take it (although let's wait for The Mummy to take conclusions on that franchise)

April 20-22 - Rampage - The Rock... nuff said

April 27-29 - Rampage - Uhh... nothing is currently scheduled for this weekend, so whatever, Rampage retains #1

 

May 4-6 - Avengers: Infinity War - 200M+ or just around Ultron numbers? Or are you going for even less?

May 11-13 - Avengers: Infinity War - Poor Melissa McCarthy, her movie's gonna get slaughtered in this release date (but w/her husband in the director's chair, it'll probably deserve to, anyway)

May 18-20 - Avengers: Infinity War - Unless Slender Man opens to Conjuring numbers or something, again, nothing will take Avengers here

May 25-28 (Memorial Day W/E) - Han Solo: A Star Wars Story - Will be interesting to see how a Star Wars anthology performs in the franchise's home month, and wheater or not the ridiculous number that Rogue One made will be challenged here or if Summer's competitive nature will make this movie drop noticeably from RO

 

June 1-3 - Deadpool 2 - 150M+ incoming? Whatever way ends up being, it'll be a bloodbath to see this open right after Han Solo

June 8-10 - Bumblebee - Got a feeling it'll slightly outdo Deadpool 2's 2nd weekend, but only barely

June 15-17 - The Incredibles 2 - No, it won't beat Finding Dory's record, but it will more than likely be the one 100M+ animated opener of 2018, assuming that Disney produces a marketing campaign worthy of a movie like this

June 22-24 - Jurassic World 2 - Much like Infinity War, I'm very curious as to what number will this open to... 200M+, Ultron range, or maybe less even? It has to drop from the 1st one, but how much?

 

June 29-July 1 - Jurassic World 2 - As if Barbie and a stupid Ed Helms comedy have any chance

 

July 4-8 (Independence Day W/E) - Ant-Man And The Wasp - Toughest decision so far between this and JW2's 3rd weekend, as Independence Day Friday might make JW drop softer than expected (and I think The Purge 4 might surprise too); but considering that every MCU sequel, except Ultron, has went up instead of down on OW, as well as the popularity of the character post-his own movie and Civil War, I'm thinking it just edges out JW2

July 13-15 - Hotel Transylvania 3 - Again, another tough choice between this and Ant-Man 2, but if AM2 opens to around 80M+, it'll surely drop close to 60% due to the frontloadedness of ID W/E; the HT movies have all opened in the 40's range... although the distance from Halloween season might hurt it

July 20-22 - Alita: Battle Angel - This one's a biiiiiig wildcard, and Ghost In The Shell should have it scared... but I'm thinking Fox promotes the shit out of it and it manages an Edge Of Tomorrow-esque opening, which is JUST enough to beat HT3's 2nd weekend

July 27-29 - Mission: Impossible 6 - I just hope it lives up to the fucking awesomeness of Rogue Nation

 

Aug. 3-5 - Dumbo - Technically, it's not confirmed, but I'm assuming that's the direction they're taking... w/Tim Burton and Michael Keaton's names attached, + the public's awareness of the original movie, I think the audience will be there, even if it probably won't even make Cinderella numbers

Aug. 10-12 - Dumbo - I honestly think Meg is a stronger contender, due to the popularity of shark movies, than the Scarface remake (does Ben-Hur tell you anything? Although the Coen brothers being attached might make it easier to market), but neither will beat Dumbo

Nothing else scheduled for the rest of the month yet (and too little scheduled for the beggining of September)

 

Sep. 14-16 - The Equalizer 2 - Denzel Washington and Antoine Fuqua... nuff said

Sep. 21-23 - Goosebumps 2 - If it opens just around 20M, that's enough to dethrone Equalizer 2, which is gonna have what should be a steeper 2nd weekend drop than that of the original film (which was still high teens)

Sep. 28-30 - A Star Is Born - A complete guess, but I guess that musical + Bradley Cooper starring and directing might be attractive enough for audiences

 

Oct. 5-7 - Venom - Well... it's not doing less than Fant4stic, that's for sure

Oct. 12-14 - Venom if First Man is limited; First Man if it's wide - This weekend has quite a few variants at play here; if First Man is a limited opening, then Venom retains, regardless of wom; if First Man goes wide, then I think that the Gosling + Chazelle reunion from La La Land and the Neil Armstrong factor will make it have a mini breakout on OW

Oct. 19-21 - Jungle Book - I think a lot of people will be both happy and burnt out to see another JB movie after the Favreau one, but mostly happy; plus, it's Andy Serkis, and he's got an all-star cast... it won't do a fraction of the Disney version, but I think it'll do enough to lead on OW over The Girl In The Spider's Web (Millenium franchise isn't the most popular in America) and the Halloween remake

Oct. 26-28 - Halloween - Nothing is currently slated for here, but I doubt anything would want to open here given the following week's releases... I think its drop will be smaller than Jungle Book's and it will be #1, if just because it's a horror movie, and one from one of the most popular horror franchises, named after the holiday that falls here (Halloween)

 

Nov. 2-4 - Mulan - Huuuuge guess between this and Dark Phoenix, but I think this has a bigger ceiling than yet another First Class-era X-Men movie, if Apocalypse is any indication

Nov. 9-11 (Veterans Day W/E) - How The Grinch Stole Christmas - It's Illumination... no matter what they do, it'll crush it; and this is based off of one of the most beloved children stories ever, no reason why this won't be at least the 2nd biggest animated OW of the year

Nov. 16-18 - Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them 2 - Grinch's hold would have to be mental to retain #1, as this only needs to open in the same range as the 1st Beasts to steal its spot, and I think it'll slightly outopen the original

Nov. 21-25 (Thanksgiving W/E) - Ralph Breaks The Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 - Should open to around 60M for the 3-day, 75-80M 5-day... pretty much a Moana range right there; another wildcard at the end of the day, though, as it's the 1st time we're seeing a WDAS sequel, + Ralph wasn't an incredibly successful movie, although a beloved one... couid it be HTTYD2 all over again?

Nothing else slated for the following two weekends

 

Dec. 14-16 - Animated Spider-Man - It's Spider-Man, he's black, it's a family animation and it's Christmas season... it'll overperform

Dec. 21-23 - Aquaman - One of the few DCEU movies people seem visibly excited about; both Justice League and the virtual reality experiment could work tremendously in his favor

Dec. 28-30 - Mary Poppins Returns - Another guess between this and Aquaman's 2nd, but I think that, despite the Holiday season being there to help Aquaman's legs, its frontloadedness will be noticeable (kinda like Rogue One last year), and Mary Poppins will benefit from the big family audience on this particular season

Edited May 12, 2017 by MCKillswitch123

[WrathOfHan]

@MCKillswitch123 Downsizing isn't an Oscar contender; the test screenings have been fairly negative. 

[MCKillswitch123]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

@MCKillswitch123 Downsizing isn't an Oscar contender; the test screenings have been fairly negative. 

 

Oh, well, so much for that.

 

Anything else to comment on?

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

Oh, well, so much for that.

 

Anything else to comment on?

Predicts are good for the most part, though I think Ant-Man will easily win its OW

[Jonwo]

Ready Player One is a wildcard and I wouldn't be surprised if it's in the top 5 WW 

[The Panda]

Early predicts

 

Jan

Insidious 4 - 30m / 65m

Sherlock Gnomes - 30m / 120m

Horse Soldiers - 25m / 75m

 

Feb

Fifty Shades Freed - 45m / 100m

The Death Cure - 25m / 65m

Peter Rabbit - 35m / 130m

Black Panther - 80m / 245m

Pacific Rim 2 - 25m / 60m

 

March

Red Sparrow - 20m / 65m

A Wrinkle in Time - 45m / 140m

Tomb Raider - 25m / 50m

Anubis - 40m / 150m

Robin Hood - 20m / 50m

Ready Player One - 45m / 170m

 

April

New Mutants - 50m / 130m

 

May

Avengers: Infinity War - 170m / 405m

Life of the Party - 45m / 160m

Slenderman - 50m / 120m

Han Solo - 185m / 500m

 

June

Deadpool 2 - 140m / 350m

Transformers 6 - 50m / 120m

The Incredibles 2 - 120m / 420m

Jurassic World 2 - 145m / 415m

Barbie - 30m / 100m

 

July

Ant-Man 2 - 50m / 135m

Hotel Transylvania 2 - 35m / 110m

The Nun - 30m / 80m

Skyscraper - 50m / 135m

Mission: Impossible 6 - 45m / 170m

 

August

Holmes and Watson - 30m / 115m

The Predator - 40m / 100m

 

September

Smallfoot - 35m / 140m

Goosebumps 2 - 40m / 145m

 

October

Venom - 60m / 150m

First Man - 45m / 260m

 

November

Dark Phoenix - 70m / 175m

Mulan - 120m / 410m

Dr Seuss' The Grinch - 85m / 315m

Fantastic Beasts 2 - 65m / 200m

Ralph Breaks the Internet - 40m / 170m

 

December

Animated Spider-Man - 45m / 160m

Mortal Engines - 60m / 250m

Aquaman - 45m / 200m

Bohemian Rhapsody - 35m / 180m

Mary Poppins Returns - 40m / 275m

 

1.Han Solo - 500m

2.The Incredibles 2 - 420m

3.Jurassic World 2 - 415m

4.Mulan - 410m

5.Avengers: Infinity War - 405m

6.Deadpool 2 - 350m

7.Dr Seuss' The Grinch - 315m

8.Mary Poppins Returns - 275m

9.First Man - 260m

10.Mortal Engines - 250m

11.Black Panther - 245m

12.Fantastic Beasts 2 - 200m

13.Aquaman - 200m

14.Bohemium Rhapsody - 180m

15.Dark Phoenix - 175m

Ralph Breaks the Internet - 170m

Ready Player One - 170m

Mission Impossible 6 - 170m

Animated Spider-Man - 160m

Life of the Party - 160m

Anubis - 150m

Venom - 150m

Goosebumps 2 - 145m

Smallfoot - 140m

A Wrinkle in Time - 140m

Ant-Man 2 - 135m

Skyscraper - 135m

New Mutants - 130m

Peter Rabbit - 130m

Transformers 6 - 120m

Sherlock Gnomes - 120m

Slenderman - 120m

Holmes and Watson - 115m

Hotel Transylvania 2 - 110m

Fifty Shades Freed - 100m

The Predator - 100m

Barbie - 100m

The Nun - 80m

Horse Soldiers - 75m

The Death Cure - 65m

Red Sparrow - 65m

Insidious 4 - 65m

Pacific Rim 2 - 60m

Robin Hood - 50m

Tomb Raider - 50m

[YM!]

January 

Insidious 4: $30M/$70M

Gnomes: $20M/$75M

Horse Soliders: $25M/$65M

The Post: $25M/$105M

 

February: 

Fifty Shades Freed: $40M/$100M

Peter Rabbit: $35M/$120M

Maze Runner: $30M/$75M

Black Panther: $125M/$325M

Pacific Rim 2: $20M/$65M

 

March:

Red Sparrow: $30M/$100M 

Wrinkle In Time: $75M/$205M

Tomb Raider: $60M/$165M

Anubis (if happening): $35M/$110M

Robin Hood: $40M/$85M

Ready Player One: $95M/$265M

 

April:

The Pact: $40M/$125M

New Mutants: $80M/$235M

Rampage: $55M/$160M

 

May: 

Infinity War: $210M/$450M

Slenderman: $35M/$130M

Han Solo: $145M/$385M

 

June: 

Dead2ool: $145M/$350M

Bumblebee: $65M/$170M

Oceans Eight: $45M/$150M

The Incredibles 2: $120M/$410M

Jurassic World 2: $200M/$500M

 

July: 

Ant-Man and The Wasp: $85M/$205M

Purge 4: $35M/$80M

Hotel Transylvania 3: $45M/$155M

The Nun: $50M/$125M

Skyscraper: $55M/$150M

MI6: $70M/$200M

 

August:

Dumbo: $75M/$190M

Holmes and Watson: $40M/$140M

Predator: $55M/$135M

Amusement Park: $35M/$105M

 

September:

Equalizer 2: $45M/$95M

Smallfoot: $30M/$110M

Goosebumps 2: $40M/$125M

 

October:

Venom: $75M/$175M

Jungle Book: Origins: $65M/$155M

 

November:

Mulan: $105M/$275M

Dark Phoenix: $65M/$150M

Grinch: $115M/$365M

Beasts 2: $80M/$230M

Ralph 2: $50M/$185M

 

December:

Mortal Engines: $75M/$200M

Animated Spider-Man: $55M/$205M

Aquaman: $120M/$350M

Mary Poppins Returns: $65M/$220M

Bohemian Rhapsody: $30M/$185M

 

 

[ThomasNicole]

5 hours ago, The Panda said:

 

July

Ant-Man 2 - 50m / 135m

 

Ant-Man will not do just $ 135m

[cheesypoofs]

6 hours ago, The Panda said:

Early predicts

 

Jan

Insidious 4 - 30m / 65m

Sherlock Gnomes - 30m / 120m

Horse Soldiers - 25m / 75m

 

Feb

Fifty Shades Freed - 45m / 100m

The Death Cure - 25m / 65m

Peter Rabbit - 35m / 130m

Black Panther - 80m / 245m

Pacific Rim 2 - 25m / 60m

 

March

Red Sparrow - 20m / 65m

A Wrinkle in Time - 45m / 140m

Tomb Raider - 25m / 50m

Anubis - 40m / 150m

Robin Hood - 20m / 50m

Ready Player One - 45m / 170m

 

April

New Mutants - 50m / 130m

 

May

Avengers: Infinity War - 170m / 405m

Life of the Party - 45m / 160m

Slenderman - 50m / 120m

Han Solo - 185m / 500m

 

June

Deadpool 2 - 140m / 350m

Transformers 6 - 50m / 120m

The Incredibles 2 - 120m / 420m

Jurassic World 2 - 145m / 415m

Barbie - 30m / 100m

 

July

Ant-Man 2 - 50m / 135m

Hotel Transylvania 2 - 35m / 110m

The Nun - 30m / 80m

Skyscraper - 50m / 135m

Mission: Impossible 6 - 45m / 170m

 

August

Holmes and Watson - 30m / 115m

The Predator - 40m / 100m

 

September

Smallfoot - 35m / 140m

Goosebumps 2 - 40m / 145m

 

October

Venom - 60m / 150m

First Man - 45m / 260m

 

November

Dark Phoenix - 70m / 175m

Mulan - 120m / 410m

Dr Seuss' The Grinch - 85m / 315m

Fantastic Beasts 2 - 65m / 200m

Ralph Breaks the Internet - 40m / 170m

 

December

Animated Spider-Man - 45m / 160m

Mortal Engines - 60m / 250m

Aquaman - 45m / 200m

Bohemian Rhapsody - 35m / 180m

Mary Poppins Returns - 40m / 275m

 

1.Han Solo - 500m

2.The Incredibles 2 - 420m

3.Jurassic World 2 - 415m

4.Mulan - 410m

5.Avengers: Infinity War - 405m

6.Deadpool 2 - 350m

7.Dr Seuss' The Grinch - 315m

8.Mary Poppins Returns - 275m

9.First Man - 260m

10.Mortal Engines - 250m

11.Black Panther - 245m

12.Fantastic Beasts 2 - 200m

13.Aquaman - 200m

14.Bohemium Rhapsody - 180m

15.Dark Phoenix - 175m

Ralph Breaks the Internet - 170m

Ready Player One - 170m

Mission Impossible 6 - 170m

Animated Spider-Man - 160m

Life of the Party - 160m

Anubis - 150m

Venom - 150m

Goosebumps 2 - 145m

Smallfoot - 140m

A Wrinkle in Time - 140m

Ant-Man 2 - 135m

Skyscraper - 135m

New Mutants - 130m

Peter Rabbit - 130m

Transformers 6 - 120m

Sherlock Gnomes - 120m

Slenderman - 120m

Holmes and Watson - 115m

Hotel Transylvania 2 - 110m

Fifty Shades Freed - 100m

The Predator - 100m

Barbie - 100m

The Nun - 80m

Horse Soldiers - 75m

The Death Cure - 65m

Red Sparrow - 65m

Insidious 4 - 65m

Pacific Rim 2 - 60m

Robin Hood - 50m

Tomb Raider - 50m

There are some films that you are really low balling. And some that you are definitely over estimating

[cmbbox2390]

JANUARY

INSIDIOUS 4 - $56mil

SHERLOCK GNOMES - $58mil

HORSE SOLDIERS - $67mil

THE POST - $91mil

PROUD MARY - $126mil

 

FEBRUARY 

FIFTY SHADES FREED - $101mil

PETER RABBIT - $97mil

MAZE RUNNER: THE DEATH CURE - $66mil

BLACK PANTHER - $364mil

PACIFIC RIM: UNPRISING - $153mil

 

MARCH

RED SPARROW - $75mil 

A WRINKLE IN TIME - $181mil

TOMB RAIDER - $172mil

ROBIN HOOD - $68mil

READY PLAYER ONE - $351mil

 

APRIL

MAGIC CAMP - $105mil

THE PACT - $39mil

NEW MUTANTS - $153mil

RAMPAGE - $147mil

 

MAY

AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR - $672mil

LIFE OF THE PARTY - $73mil

SLENDER MAN - $68mil

HAN SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY - $512mil

 

JUNE 

DEADPOOL 2 - $331mil

BUMBLEBEE: A TRANSFORMERS MOVIE - $189mil

OCEAN'S EIGHT - $167mil

THE INCREDIBLES 2 - $387mil

JURASSIC WORLD 2 - $465mil

BARBIE - $96mil

TAG - $56mil

 

JULY

ANT-MAN AND THE WASP - $254mil

PURGE 4 - $75mil

HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3 - $195mil

THE NUN - $98mil

SKYSCRAPER - $121mil

MISSION IMPOSSIBLE 6 - $223mil

 

AUGUST

DUMBO - $252mil

HOLMES AND WATSON - $134mil

PREDATOR - $96mil

AMUSEMENT PARK - $68mil

 

SEPTEMBER

THE EQUALIZER PART 2 - $111mil

SMALLFOOT - $72mil

GOOSEBUMPS 2 - $70mil

NIGHT SCHOOL - $103mil

A STAR IS BORN - $93mil

 

OCTOBER

VENOM - $171mil

FIRST MAN - $116mil

THE GIRL IN THE SPIDER'S WEB - $77mil

 

NOVEMBER

MULAN - $267mil

DARK PHOENIX - $143mil

DR. SEUSS' THE GRINCH - $292mil

FANTASTIC BEAST SEQUEL - $204mil

WIDOWS - $65mil

RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET - $226mil

 

DECEMBER

MORTAL ENGINES - $93mil

THE ANIMATED SPIDER-MAN - $192mil

AQUAMAN - $262mil

MARY POPPINS RETURNS - $166mil

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY - $88mil

[The Panda]

4 hours ago, cheesypoofs said:

There are some films that you are really low balling. And some that you are definitely over estimating

 

5 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

Ant-Man will not do just $ 135m

 

They're far out guesses.  Probably half of those won't even make their set release date.  I wouldn't worry about being nitpicky.

 

I really don't see the appeal in an Ant-Man sequel though.  The first one isn't overly well regarded, people consistently overpredict Marvel (every time), and there's just too many other movies that'll be eating the market.

 

[MCKillswitch123]

3 hours ago, The Panda said:

 

 

They're far out guesses.  Probably half of those won't even make their set release date.  I wouldn't worry about being nitpicky.

 

I really don't see the appeal in an Ant-Man sequel though.  The first one isn't overly well regarded, people consistently overpredict Marvel (every time), and there's just too many other movies that'll be eating the market.

 

 

Overpredicting and lowballing are two far handed extremes. Ant-Man 2 won't open to Iron Man numbers (I don't think anyone expects it to), but I'm pretty certain it'll do better than you expect it to. The original opened to almost 60M despite having a lot, if not straight up everything, working against it - a hard to market concept, hefty competition and Marvel waryness coming off Age Of Ultron just to name a few. And it managed a 3.15 multiplier to reach 180M DOM, proving that it did have really good wom (it may not have been recieved as a masterpiece, but people clearly enjoyed it). Marvel sequels tend to go up instead of down (Ultron and IM2 in its total are the exceptions, w/both of their predecessors crossing at least 300M anyway), and this character garnered a lot of popularity post-Civil War. All the signs are pointing towards a significantly better performance than you're guessing.

Edited May 13, 2017 by MCKillswitch123

[Alli]

14 hours ago, The Panda said:

Early predicts

 

Mission: Impossible 6 - 45m / 170m

Why the low opening for MI?  MI:RN is beloved. 

[The Panda]

2 hours ago, Alli said:

Why the low opening for MI?  MI:RN is beloved. 

 

RN decreased from Ghost Protocol which was liked.

 

Again, these are a year out.  I bet I'll change them when hype is more easily measured.  But it really seems like people think movies that they want to do well will do well.

[ThomasNicole]

7 hours ago, The Panda said:

 

 

They're far out guesses.  Probably half of those won't even make their set release date.  I wouldn't worry about being nitpicky.

 

I really don't see the appeal in an Ant-Man sequel though.  The first one isn't overly well regarded, people consistently overpredict Marvel (every time), and there's just too many other movies that'll be eating the market.

 

The 1st one made $ 181m and has really good legs and reception from both critics / public.

 

So coming from a good movie, with the aggressive marketing campaign of Marvel and with super exposition in Infinity War 2 months before... this is not doing less, probably will do around $ 200 -  220m.

[The Panda]

39 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

The 1st one made $ 181m and has really good legs and reception from both critics / public.

 

So coming from a good movie, with the aggressive marketing campaign of Marvel and with super exposition in Infinity War 2 months before... this is not doing less, probably will do around $ 200 -  220m.

 

It's a year out, but I'm willing to bet Ant-Man decreases from the first.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

17 minutes ago, The Panda said:

 

It's a year out, but I'm willing to bet Ant-Man decreases from the first.

You mean, you prefer Ant-Man 2 to decrease from the first?

 

Don't keep your hopes too low, though. I just can't see a scenario where a MCU-movie would go lower than The Incredible Hulk's $134M.

Edited May 13, 2017 by MrFanaticGuy34

[Premium George]

-40% decrease for a sequel happen in special situations or if the first film did completely gangbuster and earned way more than expectations.

I don't think ant man will decrease that much. Either flat or a respectable increase.

[ThomasNicole]

19 minutes ago, The Panda said:

 

It's a year out, but I'm willing to bet Ant-Man decreases from the first.

You will be disappointed, but that's ok, haha