Weekend Estimates: Kong 61M, Logan 37.8M, Get Out 21M, Shack 10M, Lego Batman 7.8M

[DAJK]

Woah! Fantastic number! I was only hoping for Tarzan like performance but 55M (assuming deadline is low as always) would be awesome!!!!!

[CJohn]

6 minutes ago, Truckasaurus said:

‘Kong: Skull Island’ Conquering ‘Logan’ For Top Spot At B.O. With $53M – Midday Update

2ND Update Midday: Warner Bros./Legendary’s Kong: Skull Island is floating toward a $20M Friday –that’s 37% better Pacific Rim‘s first day ($14.6M) and $500K shy of San Andreas ($20.5M) — which points the monster pic toward an opening weekend of $53M. That’s based off of non-Warner Bros. reported matinee projections.

 

http://deadline.com/2017/03/kong-skull-island-logan-weekend-box-office-get-out-1202040377/

HOLY SHIT if true. This March is one for the record books. 

[MattW]

Logan $10m Friday, 35 for the weekend?  Sounds pretty low, but at the same time it's in line with xmen drops generally.

[Valonqar]

8 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

She doesn't even have star power.  Reportedly, the Chinese hate her  

 

Then keep her away from Crazy Rich Asians movie! 

[RandomCat]

5 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

HOLY SHIT. @Gokira2012

 

Deadline usually underestimates too so it has a chance at breaking 55M  

 

Bomb.

[YM!]

$20M Friday, @Gokira2012, Kong may make more than PR; OW, DOM, and WW.

[DAJK]

That would be a kinda sad drop for Logan  deserves more

[grim22]

Good early number for Kong, it can hit 50M+ even if it falls to 18M or so today. Expected number for Logan, great hold for Get Out again.

[grim22]

Just now, DAJK said:

That would be a kinda sad drop for Logan  deserves more

 

Did literally everyone forget that Logan lost IMAX and most PLF screens this weekend? IMAX contributed 11M or almost 13% of Logan's OW with PLF screens definitely adding about the same as well. Losing those big ticket screens would definitely hurt any movie.

[Outrageous!]

3 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Woah! Fantastic number! I was only hoping for Tarzan like performance but 55M (assuming deadline is low as always) would be awesome!!!!!

 

Yeah, I was thinking The Legend of Tarzan was the best comparison here: everyone expects this film to completely flop in the days beforehand, only for it to open well, and find the audience it was looking for.

[YSLDC]

Just now, Jonwo said:

 

Legendary financed 25% of the budget of JW, Universal did that as part of the deal when they signed with them, Universal doesn't need them for the sequel as they can take on more of the risk or use another financier like Perfect World

Oh.. interesting..

And don't take Deadline's report too seriously. Their Kong at 53m and Logan at 35m is based on matinees. Last week Logan was underestimated with 72m projection.

[Fancyarcher]

53 to 55m isn't such a bad number, as long as it can make over 300m overseas, it should do okay. That 190m budget is a bit worrisome, of course. 

[WrathOfHan]

 

 

[Fancyarcher]

4 minutes ago, Outrageous! said:

 

Yeah, I was thinking The Legend of Tarzan was the best comparison here: everyone expects this film to completely flop in the days beforehand, only for it to open well, and find the audience it was looking for.

 

 

 

 

Legend of Tarzan still flopped and lost money though, it just had better than expected legs. Not sure why everyone keeps bringing up its performance, as beating expectations.

Edited March 10, 2017 by Fancyarcher

[Eevin]

BOT when early Deadline numbers are disappointing: 

 

BOT when early Deadline numbers are great:

[The Panda]

Wow, that's a great Friday for Kong.  I'm wondering how frontloaded it will be though .

[Cmasterclay]

It's barely noon on the West Coast, so we'll see, but anything over 50 would be a big win for Kong IMO. Decent reception and playing to an older audience means it could leg to 135, which is not bad for another King Kong movie in 2017. 

[commonsense88]

2 minutes ago, Eevin said:

BOT when early Deadline numbers are disappointing: 

 

BOT when early Deadline numbers are great:

So true, 

[That One Girl]

3 minutes ago, Eevin said:

BOT when early Deadline numbers are disappointing: 

 

BOT when early Deadline numbers are great:

 

True, but what makes it so exciting is that Deadline tends to underpredict by a noticeable margin.  If 53M for Kong is an underprediction, then that's great.

[Cmasterclay]

But even a high end 55m OW means that BATB is still gonna have a higher OD than Kong's OW.