BEAUTY AND THE BEAST WEEKEND THREAD | Late Sunday Numbers (Asgard) - 48-49M | Official Weekend Estimate: 170M; OS OW: 180M; WW OW: 350M

[Jason]

Just now, MrMarosa said:

And why are people desperately clinging to «this is no Twilight!!! The demo split will be more even!!! Trust me!!!»  What is so awful about heavily skewing female, like Twilight? I’ll tell you what is awful about that: absolutely nothing. Many of you seem to keep forgetting that this is an animated musical romance about an independent young woman who falls in love with a handsome prince (who is trapped within a beastly exterior)  inside an enchanted castle. Were you truly expecting theaters to be filled with men for this?

 

There is nothing wrong per se with a film skewing heavily female. But it's highly relevant for predicting the box office. If this is were to ultimately skew ~75% female and not have that much of the family/couple audience then we'd be looking at a sub-2.5x, even ~2x multiplier. If it skews ~60% it suggests families and couples are attending in significant numbers, and the multiplier should be above 2.5, even closer to 3.

 

I'm still expecting a final split around 60/40, the reverse of top grossing male-skewing films like TFA and AoU.

[JJ-8]

15 minutes ago, Rth and the Beast said:

So low end for initial set numbers 65-68 and high end for revised 63-65

So 65 then 

[picores]

OK drop for Kong and Logan given the 170M+ opener they are dealing with. And first "not out of this world" drop for Get Out.

[Heretic]

So Beast is heading for around 160m opening. Amazing, but it needs to take down BvS. 

[picores]

13 minutes ago, elcaballero said:

Ouch, John Wick got (will get?) hit hard this weekend.

 

It lost a shitload of screens if i remember correctly. Its gonna end with 92M or so. Great reviews, great OW, great legs (3x multiplier for an action sequel is fantastic), great movie. All hail Keanu 

[Truckasaurus]

BatB's opening weekend is so massive that Disney already greenlit its sequel! Here's the exclusive first image:

 

[BenedictL11]

12 minutes ago, picores said:

OK drop for Kong and Logan given the 170M+ opener they are dealing with. And first "not out of this world" drop for Get Out.

I expected far worse for Get Out. A horror film would die to have a drop like that especially against a 170m+ opener.  

[DAJK]

LOVED BatB :))))

 

Also, it sold out at my theatre tonight. Won't be able to hit 60M+ here just because they didn't put it on enough screens. That's okay, weekend should be leggy.

 

Sitting down to watch Goon 2 (want to tag Baumer but I don't have service). It's 930 PST while I type this but it might now actually post until Goon finishes and I have service then. By then, I'll have final numbers from my theatre

 

(final numbers for goon 2 however, our equivalent of 3.1M OD)

 

 

[Deep Wang]

6 hours ago, MrPink said:

 

@Rallax

 

I think you know all about that

 

[grey ghost]

57 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Some of these new emojis you guys got going are the stuff of nightmares. 

 

[grey ghost]

30 minutes ago, Heretic said:

So Beast is heading for around 160m opening. Amazing, but it needs to take down BvS. 

 

This might end up being a nail biter for that March OW record.

 

The other goal would be to beat Hunger Games' DOM record (408 m) which isn't locked either.

 

[Jake Gittes]

7 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

 

And this one is the vaguest of them all since I missed the context.

[grey ghost]

12 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

And this one is the vaguest of them all since I missed the context.

 

I guess some people find his earnest grin funny and others don't.  

 

You don't seem like the emoji-using type, anyway. 

 

No offense! 

 

 

 

 

[FantasticBeasts]

Make this be 170m.

I need to win my first casino bet.

[Filmovie]

6 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

 

this should be archived somewhere!

 

 

Then this should be archieved! +7 M Midnight Screening, I published only the top30  @TelemAAchos

Estimated Top Midnight Grosses of All-Time

Rank / Title / Gross / Share of Opening Day

 

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 57,0 Million
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2: $43.5 million (47.7 percent)
3. The Dark Knight Rises: $30.6 million (40.4 percent)
4. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 30.4 mln
5. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1: $30.25 million (42.2 percent)
6. The Twiilght Saga: Eclipse: $30.1 million (43.9 percent)
7. Rogue One: A star wars story 29 M
8. Batman v Superman 27,7 Million
9. Avengers Age of Ultron 27,6 million
10. The Twilight Saga: New Moon: $26.27 million (36.1 percent)
11. The Hunger Games – Catching Fire $25.26 million
12. Captain America: Ciwil War 25 Million
13. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1: $24 million (38.9 percent)
14. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: $22.8 million (39.2 percent)
15. Suicide Squad 20,5 M
16. The Hunger Games: $19.735 million (29.3 percent)
17. Marvel's The Avengers: $18.7 million (23.1 percent)
18. The Dark Knight: $18.5 million (27.5 percent)
19. Jurassic World 18,5 million
20. The Hunger Games – Mockingjay part 1 17 million
21. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith: $16.9 million (33.8 percent)
22. Transformers : Revenge of the Fallen: $16.8 million (27.1 percent)
23. The Beauty and the Beast 16,3 M
24. The Hunger Games – Mockingjay part 2 16 million
25. Furious 7 15,8 mln
26. Iron Man 3 15.6 mln
27. Transformers : Dark of the Moon: $13,5 million
28. The Hobbit – Un unexpected journey 13 mln
29. Deadpool $12.7 million
30. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix: $12 million (27.1 percent)
31. Guardians of The Galaxy 11.2 mln
32. The Hobbit – Battle of the 5 armies 11.2 mln
33. The Hangover Part II: $10.4 million (32.9 percent)
34. Captain America 2 10.2 mln
35. Spider-Man 3: $10 million (16.7 percent)
36. Logan 9,5 M
37. Doctor Strange 9,4 M
38. Godzilla 9.3 mln
39. Finding Dory 9,2 M
40. Man of Steel 9 mln
41. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest: $9 million (16.1 percent)
42. The Hobbit – The desolation of Smaug 8.8 mln
43. Transformers 8.8 mln
44. Transformers: Age of Extinction 8,75 mln
45. Fantastic Beasts 8,75 M
46. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 8.7 mln
47. Fifty Shades of Grey 8,6 mln
48. The Fault in Our Stars 8.2 mln
49. X-Men Apocalypse 8,1 M
50. X-Men Days of Future Past 8.1 mln
51. Paranormal Activity 3: $8 million (30.4 percent)
52. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King: $8 million (23.2 percent)
53. Iron Man 2: $7.5 million (14.6 percent)
54. The Amazing Spider-Man 7.5 mln
55. Thor 2 7,1 mln

Edited March 18, 2017 by Filmovie

[aabattery]

Raiders is so fucking good.

 

The orchestra alongside was really great. Highly recommend going to this kind of thing if you have the chance.

[FantasticBeasts]

Not sure why people expect this to be frontloaded through the weekend. The previews/OD ratio is more backloaded than almost all 150m plus openers.

[DisneyFanatic]

43 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

This might end up being a nail biter for that March OW record.

 

The other goal would be to beat Hunger Games' DOM record (408 m) which isn't locked either.

 

 

Given the expected demo I'd say $408 is locked. I'm thinking $450-500m.  Still think the weekend will be closer to $180m than $160m.  

 

With just under 3 or just over 3 multi depending on how many go see it multiple times. 

[Noctis]

Can somebody edit the thread title and change the number to 65.3m?

 

65.3m

58m

41m

 

164.3m

 

Nope. Nope. Nope. It must do a little better than that. 

[Heretic]

7 minutes ago, Noctis said:

Can somebody edit the thread title and change the number to 65.3m?

 

65.3m

58m

41m

 

164.3m

 

Nope. Nope. Nope. It must do a little better than that. 

With a 58m Saturday it could do more than 41m Sunday. Even Logan dropped only 23% on its first Sunday, and Kong dropped only 29%.

 

A 25% drop for BatB (Same as TJB) would give it 43.5m and a 166.8m OW. Just above the monstrosity that is BvS. Here's hoping... 

Edited March 18, 2017 by Heretic