Mockingjay Raphael Posted October 24, 2017 Author Share Posted October 24, 2017 Can any Japanese expert give us a hint if it will do well there? Horror movies usually struggles in Japan, but IT has been an exception everywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 Sept (8-10) – 66.3 million Sept (11-14) – 26.1 million [92.4 million] Sept (15-17) – 61.1 million New Openers - [61.1-42.4] = 18.7 million Holdovers = (100-36)% of 66.3 Million = 42.4 million Sept (18-21) – 20.1 million [173.6 million] Sept (22-24) – 38.4 million New Openers – [6.53 (France)+5.14 (Argentina)] = 11.65 million Holdovers in total 56 markets – [38.4-11.65] = 26.75 million [(61.1-38.4)/61.1] x 100 = [-37.15%] [26.75-(4.25+1+0.28+0.26+0.25+0.14+0.09+0.05+1.7*+#)] = [26.75-(7.57+#)] = (19.18+#) million 19.18 million [-54.7%] – First 46 OS territories 7.57 million+ [-59.5%] - 10 OS territories from Sophomore Weekend Sept (25-28) – 15.2 million [227.2 million] (Sept 29 – Oct 1) – 37.6 million New Openers – [11.8 (Germany)+0.8 (Greece)+*(0.2 x 3)] = [12.6+0.6] million *Unspecified Market Holdovers (59 markets) – [37.6-13.2] = 24.4 million [(38.4-24.4)/38.4] x 100 = [-36.45%] [24.4-(4.1+2.5)] = [24.4-6.6] = 17.8 million in 56 markets [(26.75-17.8)/26.75] x 100 = [-33.45%] (Oct 2 - Oct 5) – 14.2 million [279 million] (Oct 6 - Oct 8) – 20.1 million 5 Openers from Week 4 – (6.53+0.005) = 6.535 million From the 59 OS markets [20.1 – 6.36] = 13.74 million [{(13.74/24.4) x 100} = 56.31] [-43.7%] (Oct 9 - Oct 13) – 6.2 million [305.3 million] [(14.2-6.2)/14.2] x 100 = [-56.33%] (Oct 14 – Oct 16) – 10.3 million Drop in the 64* holdover markets - [(20.1 – 10.3)/20.1] = [-48.75%] *1 New Market was added but I'm guessing the OW was rather insignificant* Drop in 59 holdover markets from weekend 3 – [10.3 – (3.37+0.13*)] x 100 = 6.8 million [-50.5%] (Oct 17 – Oct 21) – 3.8 million [(6.2-3.8)/6.2] x 100 = [-38.7%] (Oct 22 – Oct 24) – 13.4 million New Opener – 7.65 million Holdover Percentage – [(10.3-5.75)/10.3] x 100 = [-44.17%] 65 Holdover Markets – {13.4-7.65} = 5.75 million I tried making a comprehensive OS Box Office breakdown of 'IT'. I had to make a few assumptions here and there because some markets were unknown and BO figures from some markets were not on BOM or thenumbers.com I am truly astonished by 'IT' performance at the BO. It has been such a monstrous hit everywhere. Apart from some Asians countries where the genre is not conducive for big numbers, this movie has broken OW and final total records almost everywhere. 'IT's BO performance has been ridiculously awesome. 'IT' BO run (both DBO & IBO) might as well be the most impressive one I have ever seen. I think 'IT' has done better than American Sniper & Deadpool. I am just stunned to see how great 'IT' has done relative to it's rumored production budget, the studio expectations, industry tracking, front-loading nature of movies in general. Plus also taking genre limitations ['R' rated Horror movie that also happens to be an adaptation of a widely known Stephen King Novel] into account, this has been such a behemoth. I have never tracked a movies' BO run this closely before and I hafta say that this has been so much fun. Just wanted to add that I may have been wrong in more than one place with my calculations so if there are multiple mistakes in my analysis, I apologize. I am new to this. I hope that if anyone comes across an error or two, they'll let me know so I can rectify my calculation. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $323,730,202 48.6% + Foreign: $342,900,000 51.4% = Worldwide: $666,630,202 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 (edited) $666.6m Spooky Sep 10 - 66.3 Sep 17 - 153.5 (+87.2) Sep 24 - 212.0 (+58.5) Oct 1 - 264.8 (+52.8) Oct 8 - 299.1 (+34.2) Oct 15 - 315.6 (+16.5) Oct 22 - 332.8 (+17.2) Oct 29 - 342.9 (+10.1) 355-360 total? Plus a bit over 330 domestic = ~690 Enough for Japan to get it to 700 pretty easily. Edited October 29, 2017 by MattW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 If the last 4 OS weekdays dropped 40% from the previous batch of OS weekdays, then the total OS gross between Oct (23-26) would be close to 2.3 million. Adding that amount to the total after 'IT's 7th weekend will yield [332.8+2.3] = 335.1 million. So the 8th weekend gross will be around [342.9-335.1] = 7.8 million. So 'IT' dropped around 41.8% against 52% of Ragnarok's OS market share where it pretty much broke most of the October OW records. But 'IT' still managed to stay on top in 'Italy' ahead of Ragnarok. Next weekend, the two biggest openers for Ragnarok is China and Japan. So that doesn't bother 'IT' at all. While Germany and Mexico's late legs will take a hit. But overall, the OS numbers should be fine next weekend. I'm think at-least (1.5 x 8th weekend) from here on out. That gets 'IT' to [342.9+(7.8 x 1.5)] = 354.6 million. While in an optimistic scenario, I can see (1.8 x 8th weekend). Then the final OS total becomes [342.9+(7.8 x 1.8)] = 356.94 million. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 From Screen Daily: A $6.3m for It in 54 markets elevated the horror smash’s tally to $342.9m and the worldwide haul to $666.7m. Italy delivered $3.6m in its second weekend for $13.7m and the top three markets are the UK on $42.4m, Germany on $33.4m, and Mexico on $27.6m. Japan is the final key market and opens this week. So the 'IT' dropped 53% this weekend. Hmmmm The last 4 weekdays were flat from the previous batch of weekdays. 0_o Oct (16-19) - [332.8-(315.6+13.4)] = 3.8 million Oct (23-26) - [342.9-(332.8+6.3)] = 3.8 million Am I missing something here?? How come the cumulative weekday figures stayed flat from the last week?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted October 30, 2017 Author Share Posted October 30, 2017 ^ Probably some Halloween effect plus effect of the first week in Italy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $323,868,540 48.6% + Foreign: $342,700,000 51.4% = Worldwide: $666,568,540 Final 8th weekend figure is 6.1 million [-54.5%] and the OS total after the 8th weekend is 342.7 million. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $325,886,434 48.1% + Foreign: $351,700,000 51.9% = Worldwide: $677,586,434 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 From WOKJ: It came in second place and achieved one of the biggest debuts for any horror film. I can recall one or two Sadako (Ring) films opening higher this decade, and there's probably a couple other horror films from last decade that it trailed, but it's mighty impressive. I'll do some research to see how it compares to other horror films; I'm thinking it's a Top 5 debut for the horror genre. OW actuals from Japan were 1.62 million. Another big win for 'IT'. The performance of the movie in Asian countries has been been 0k to good for the most part and there's room for improvement for the sequel. I hope this one has done an excellent job to create a platform from where the sequel can potentially breakout in the Asian countries. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 IT break $1 Billion! Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $326,184,834 32.3% + Foreign: $683,400,000 67.7% = Worldwide: $1,009,584,834 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 (edited) I've recently checked at BOM. And here is the numbers for "It" that they updated. Domestic: $326,184,834 32.3% + Foreign: $683,400,000 67.7% = Worldwide: $1,009,584,834 I don't know if it's a typo or not....but these are the numbers that says in BOM. I either find it hard to believe or not. Edited November 12, 2017 by MrFanaticGuy34 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Japan went crazy 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Looks like Japan had a pretty large 2nd weekend increase 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 (edited) Is this thing getting a release in China or not? WB is being quiet about this. Edited November 12, 2017 by MrFanaticGuy34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 (edited) https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/3478-japan-wknd-actuals-batb-looking-at-100m-usd/?do=findComment&comment=3243658 Good news from Olive over at the Japan BO thread. So how much are we looking at?? 10x multiplier in Japan. So 16 million coming off of a 1.6 million OW?? That would be absolutely amazing. 'IT' is again coming outta nowhere and killing it at the BO. Edited November 12, 2017 by MaxAggressor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 19 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: Is this thing getting a release in China or not? WB is being quiet about this. Not happening.Sorry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $326,184,834 47.8% + Foreign: $356,800,000 52.2% = Worldwide: $682,984,834 So sad.......drop back to below $700m, fluctuating like bitcoin?? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 25 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $326,184,834 47.8% + Foreign: $356,800,000 52.2% = Worldwide: $682,984,834 So sad.......drop back to below $700m, fluctuating like bitcoin?? I think many in japan got refund. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted November 13, 2017 Share Posted November 13, 2017 Putting the “It” in Italy, this New Line/Warner Bros phenom has now become the highest grossing horror movie of all time there with $17.3M. The Stephen King adaptation had already been enjoying a record-breaking run in that market, and elsewhere, and has picked up another $2.8M overall this session from 37. The international cume is $356.8M and the worldwide total is now $683.4M. Driving that point home: this is without a China release. Japan, the last market to go, is in its 2nd frame and added $2M on 254 screens to jump 27% over the already strong opening last weekend. The total there is $6.4M. Top markets for Pennywise are the UK ($42.5M), Germany ($35.1M), Mexico ($27.6M), Brazil ($19.9M) and France ($19.4M). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...