The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Stewart]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Heh.

 

The real reason I didn't track Inc 2 wasn't because of it's potential OW.  I think it'll do around 150 OW, if not more if all the stars align.   It's that it was an animation film and even with higher presales relative for the genre, I figured it wouldn't have been worth it to track it until close to release.  Say, 10 days or so. 

 

That and I was kinda burnt out after the IW-Solo-DP2 trifecta and didn't want to do another double dip of tracking with FK on the horizon.

Yeah that's fair enough, most people would expect far out that FK would do more presales than I2. 

 

Regardless, what kinda presales are I2 looking at at your theatres? Even if it's just a rough eye-balling. No worries if you can't  

[Nova]

Incredibles 2 didn't increase from its original tracking. I do wonder if tracking services being burned by Solo and overestimating DP2 slightly, has them being more cautious with how they're predicting what these bigger movies will do. 

 

I had I2 at around $140M-$145M but I think I'm gonna up it to $150M-155M based on how sales have picked up in my area. 

[WrathOfHan]

On 6/5/2018 at 11:04 AM, WrathOfHan said:

Life of the Party and Show Dogs are gone.

 

Ocean's 8: 11 (XL and Biggest)

Hereditary: 5 (Average and Smallest)

Hotel Artemis: 5 (Smallest)

 

Deadpool 2: 8 (Down 3; XL x0.5 and Average)

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 8 (Down 8; XL x0.5 and Biggest)

Upgrade: 6 (Flat; Smallest)

Action Point: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Adrift: 5 (Flat; Average)

Avengers: Infinity War: 5 (Flat; Average)

Book Club: 5 (Flat; Average and Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

Action Point, Book Club, and Upgrade are gone.

 

Incredibles 2: 21 (17 2D/4 3D; XL x2, Biggest x2, and Smallest)

SuperFly: 5 (Smallest)

Tag: 5 (Average)

 

Avengers: Infinity War: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Deadpool 2: 5 (Down 3; Average)

Hereditary: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Ocean's 8: 5 (Down 6; Average)

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 5 (Down 3; Average)

Adrift: 2 (Down 3; Biggest)

Hotel Artemis: 1 (Down 4; Biggest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

[Porthos]

29 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Yeah that's fair enough, most people would expect far out that FK would do more presales than I2. 

 

Regardless, what kinda presales are I2 looking at at your theatres? Even if it's just a rough eye-balling. No worries if you can't  

Just glancing at the best theater in town (Century Arden), it's doing fairly well.  About the equivalent of two-and-a-half to three rows left for the non-3D showings from 5pm to 9pm and a healthy amount of sales for the 10pm and 11pm showings.  The lone 3D showing (6pm) has about three and a half rows left.

 

Checked out some of the other heavy hitters locally and it's doing fairly well in those locations as well, if not, ahem, incredible.

[Stewart]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Just glancing at the best theater in town (Century Arden), it's doing fairly well.  About the equivalent of two-and-a-half to three rows left for the non-3D showings from 5pm to 9pm and a healthy amount of sales for the 10pm and 11pm showings.  The lone 3D showing (6pm) has about three and a half rows left.

 

Checked out some of the other heavy hitters locally and it's doing fairly well in those locations as well

That's excellent to hear! Especially that late evening showings are healthy too.

 

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

if not, ahem, incredible.

 

[harrycaul]

2 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Finding Dory‘s $135M opening, which is by all accounts, the current domestic record for animated pic’s opening.

This is worded like there's some debate about this.  Is there?

[WrathOfHan]

On 6/5/2018 at 6:08 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Breaking In and Show Dogs are gone.

 

Hereditary: 5 (Average)

Hotel Artemis: 5 (Average)

Ocean's 8: 5 (2nd Biggest)

 

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 8 (Down 5 and lost 3D; Average x2)

Action Point: 5 (Up 1; 4th Smallest and Smallest)

Adrift: 5 (Flat; Biggest)

Avengers: Infinity War: 5 (Up 1 and lost 3D; 4th Smallest and Smallest)

Book Club: 5 (Up 1; Average)

Deadpool 2: 5 (Down 1; 3rd Smallest)

Life of the Party: 5 (Up 2; 2nd Smallest)

Upgrade: 5 (Up 1; Average)

 

During the weekend, Ocean's 8 gets an extra screen at the expense of LOTP/AP, and Book Club/Hereditary have the biggest auditorium instead of Adrift

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

  Hide contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

Action Point, Life of the Party, and Upgrade are gone.

 

WEEKEND:

 

Incredibles 2: 17 (9 2D/8 3D; Biggest, 2nd Biggest, and Average x2)

Tag: 7 (Average)

SuperFly: 5 (Average and 4th Smallest)

Ocean's 8: 6 (Average)

Avengers: Infinity War: 5 (Average and Smallest)

Deadpool 2: 5 (3rd Smallest and Smallest)

Hereditary: 5 (Average, 2nd Smallest, and Smallest)

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 5 (Average and 4th Smallest)

Adrift: 3 (2nd Smallest)

Book Club: 1 (3rd Smallest)

Hotel Artemis: 1 (2nd Smallest)

 

WEEKDAY:

 

Incredibles 2: 12 (6 2D/6 3D; Biggest and Average x2)

Tag: 5 (2nd Biggest)

SuperFly: 5 (2nd Smallest and Smallest)

 

Adrift: 5 (Flat; Average and 4th Smallest)

Avengers: Infinity War: 5 (Flat; Average and 4th Smallest)

Deadpool 2: 5 (Flat; 3rd Smallest)

Hereditary: 5 (Flat; Average)

Ocean's 8: 5 (Flat; Average)

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 5 (Down 3; 2nd Smallest and Smallest)

Book Club: 3 (Down 2; Average)

Hotel Artemis: 2 (Down 3; Average)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

Spoiler

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

LMFAO, SOLO IS ALREADY ON SMALLER SCREENS THAN INFINITY WAR AND DEADPOOL  

Abysmal for SuperFly. Every theater is placing it in their smallest auditoriums.

[harrycaul]

I don't understand the Superfly plan. They went in production in January and it's coming out in mid-June with no hype at all. Weird.

[MrGlass2]

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-06-12 16:59:18 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-06-12 16:00:00	880	Oceans 8
2018-06-12 16:00:00	776	Incredibles 2
2018-06-12 16:00:00	348	Solo A Star Wars Story
2018-06-12 16:00:00	346	Deadpool 2
2018-06-12 16:00:00	320	Hereditary
2018-06-12 16:00:00	168	Avengers Infinity War
2018-06-12 16:00:00	103	Adrift (2018)
2018-06-12 16:00:00	97	Incredibles 2 3D
2018-06-12 16:00:00	79	Book Club
2018-06-12 16:00:00	74	Upgrade (2018)

Edited June 12, 2018 by MrGlass2

[LonePirate]

The Wednesday 6:00 Incredibles double feature at my nearby AMC "IMAX" is nearly sold out.

 

[filmlover]

Incredibles 2 gets 6 screens this weekend at my theater.

[DAJK]

Scanning the theatres I regularly do In Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto and Ottawa, I2 not only looks strong, but also looks crazy strong for late-night shows. The 9;00 and 10;00 shows are already relatively full,  which is something I can't say about movies like Coco or Despicable Me 3. 

 

I really wouldn't be surprised with previews in the low teens for this one. 

[lilmac]

When was the last time two movies reached adjacent spots in the top 25? Lion King/Forrest Gump?

[Eric Quinn]

On 6/11/2018 at 5:47 PM, CoolEric258 said:

My theater as of Monday 5:20 EST

Incredibles 2

1402

3366

31.31%

 

Comps:

153% of Thor: Ragnarok ($188.5M)

99% of Justice League ($93.7M)

393% of Coco ($199.5M)

1078% of Ferdinand ($144.5M)

916% of Paddington 2 ($100.8M)

413% of Peter Rabbit ($103.4M)

130% of Solo ($109.7M)

 

Wow. And there's still three days left, and its showtimes aren't finalized.

 

Also, Superfly only has its Wednesday shows up. Sold about 49 tickets on that day so far.

Incredibles 2	1892	4386	43.14%
Superfly	105	1420	7.39%
Tag	16	1294	1.24%

 

I'm not gonna do any comps right now, because it's already midnight here, and I wanna go to bed, but I can say this:

 

Incredibles 2 beat out Deadpool 2 in terms of tickets sold and is now only behind Last Jedi, Black Panther, and Infinity War. It obviously won't break the 4,000 barrier like those movies did, but it's still very noteworthy. 80% of all Friday seats across every showtime has been sold, with just about every showtime having great numbers, even up to the late night shows. Saturday and Sunday aren't as amazing, but they're doing well too, selling 38% and 33% respectively.

 

Superfly had its other days added in yesterday, so not much traction has been shown on those days, with Saturday taking up about 70% of all the tickets sold, but it's still too early to call it a bomb. I'll probably look into it more in the morning before Superfly starts its first showtime.

 

Tag's only real business is one Sunday showtime, with about 13 out of the 16 sold there. Again, still very early.

[Mojoguy]

Superhero movie fatigue? What's that?

[Porthos]

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: T-9 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	9488	11263	15.76%

 

======

IMPORTANT NOTE:::::::

 

At some point in the last week plus, JW2 was added to two more theaters locally.  One of them is non-reserved and thus not being tracked on the seat counter (though it is on the showings counter).  The other is a reserved seating theater with six showings.  It had 718 more reserved seats added and... 26 seats sold at the time I caught it.  These numbers will be in a separate section below for today ONLY.

======

 

Theaters Added to Count Today:                        2

Seats Added to Count From Those Theaters:  718

Seats Already Sold Before Daily Count:             26

-----

Total Showings Added Today:      4

Total Seats Added Today:         432

Total Seats Sold Today:              83

-----

Total Seats Added to Report:          718 + 432 = 1150

Total Seats Sold Added to Report:         26 + 83 = 109

 

.2170x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 9 days before release. (IW had 19 more days of pre-sales)

.5413x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 9 days before release (BP had 16 more days of pre-sales) 

.5795x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2  9 days before release (DP2 had one plus more days of pre-sales) 

.5023x as many tickets sold as Solo 9 days before release pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to JW:FK's 22 days of presales)

[Porthos]

Given that only 26 out of 718 seats had been sold when I caught it and 5 more were sold when I re-checked it a couple of hours later, it's entirely possible that tickets have only been on sale at these two locations for a couple of days.  Perhaps no more than three or four.

 

The one that isn't reserved is kinda on the low end of the market locally so no real loss there.   The one that is reserved I'd call in the upper end of the mid-tier of good theaters in town.  Not the best, but not the worst.  Usually sells a decent amount of tickets at the location, so for only 26 tickets to have been sold over six screenings AND 5 more within a couple of hours later really does suggest to me that this is a late-ish addition and people in town are just finding out about it.  

 

Either that, or I just got lucky and saw five tickets go on sale soon after they were sold.

 

[Mojoguy]

Tag looks to be the odd man out this weekend.

[Premium George]

For those who missed it, there are many useful stuff from akvalley dude, here,

https://fantasymovieleague.com/chatter/board/fml-main-chatter/topic/462064