The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[ZackM]

Interesting that based on what I'm able to track, Alpha ticket sales only increased 12% on Friday (0.94M to 1.05M), but actual gross estimates are showing a 44% increase(50M to 72M).

[Inceptionzq]

5 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse Saturday(578 showings)

 

 49437(+5632)/66158

 

Eternals final comp: 79.93M

ATP(all as adult tickets): $13.73

 

This is the final final comp for Eternals btw. I'll post numbers in the morning but won't have a comp. The equivalent final Friday Eternals comp around this time would've been 71.96M. So this is about 11% ahead

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse Saturday(578 showings)

 

50302(+865)/66158

 

ATP(all as adult tickets): $13.73

[charlie Jatinder]

$51M previews
$70.5M ish OD.

 

Rough breakup.

[Inceptionzq]

5 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Megaplex Saturday(319 showings)

 

30076(+6699)/71906(+2896) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 84.54M

 

Friday's NTTD final comp around this time was 68.76M. The Saturday comp is running 23% ahead. Not to mention that the ticket count is ahead of Friday's around this time, but I did this one two hours later. Those two hours may be enough to pass it even though it's the super late hours. Still super impressive

No Way Home Megaplex Saturday(319 showings)

 

30575(+499)/71906 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 85.94M

 

Looks like counting later last update and earlier this update "hurt" the increase more than I thought. Plus with it being Saturday there may be a bit less of a rush. Nonetheless, still very strong. Probably overindexing here though

[BillionDollarChampioner10]

Hello? The site work for anyone?

[charlie Jatinder]

10 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Interesting that based on what I'm able to track, Alpha ticket sales only increased 12% on Friday (0.94M to 1.05M), but actual gross estimates are showing a 44% increase(50M to 72M).

yep. Big 4 has far higher share in previews than od. one reason being there are some 700-800 cinemas which dont have previews. 2nd being bigger multiplex can have bigger previews.

[Danhjpn]

7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

$51M previews
$70.5M ish OD.

 

Rough breakup.

can Sat hit 77-78?

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/16/2021 at 11:57 PM, Eric Osborn said:

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	1,485	11627	12.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 112

 

Comp

0.917x of Godzilla Vs. Kong T-6 (8.9M)

3.221x of The Suicide Squad T-6 (13.21M)

1.467x of Dune T-6 (7.48M)

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	1,645	11627	14.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 160

 

Comp

0.948x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-5 (9.2M)

3.219x of The Suicide Squad T-5 (13.2M)

1.546x of Dune T-5 (7.88M)

[XXR & Friends]

9 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Megaplex Saturday(319 showings)

 

30575(+499)/71906 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 85.94M

 

Looks like counting later last update and earlier this update "hurt" the increase more than I thought. Plus with it being Saturday there may be a bit less of a rush. Nonetheless, still very strong. Probably overindexing here though

 

Probably over indexing some BUT your Friday comp against Charlie's true Friday OD number would still put us over $84M for this Saturday comp. We know WOM is super strong and I have no reason to suspect the afternoon/evening will be weaker than Friday. Everything before 3PM should be stronger today. 

I'm going to go with at least $80M today. 

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/17/2021 at 12:05 AM, Eric Osborn said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	91	2135	15698	12.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 132

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 727

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

2.164x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-6 (16.68M)

6.322x of Jungle Cruise T-6 (17.07M)

6.794x of Encanto T-6 (10.19M)

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	91	2193	15698	13.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 58

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 785

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

2.217x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-5 (17.09M)

6.652x of Jungle Cruise T-5 (17.96M)

6.331x of Encanto T-5 (9.5M)

[Eric is Quiet]

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	23	75	5107	1.47%

 

@Krissykins I don't have any good comps for it this far out, so I can't do anything just yet. This may seem small, but horror movies generally start out low and don't really pick up until a few days before release. So in the end, things are too inconclusive at this stage of the game.

[Krissykins]

5 minutes ago, Eric Osborn said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	23	75	5107	1.47%

 

@Krissykins I don't have any good comps for it this far out, so I can't do anything just yet. This may seem small, but horror movies generally start out low and don't really pick up until a few days before release. So in the end, things are too inconclusive at this stage of the game.

Ah thank you very much for checking! Yeh, horror films don’t usually tend to put tickets on sale this far out either. Thanks again though  

[spizzer]

39 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

$51M previews
$70.5M ish OD.

 

Rough breakup.

 

So will be a tight race against IW OW % wise, though nominally something like $265M vs. $257M is a clear victory.

 

Or Sat jump higher than normal due to such an early Thu start?  

Edited December 18, 2021 by spizzer

[charlie Jatinder]

27 minutes ago, spizzer said:

 

So will be a tight race against IW OW % wise, though nominally something like $265M vs. $257M is a clear victory.

 

Or Sat jump higher than normal due to such an early Thu start?  

SAT looks pretty much flat to me or mild growth but I am more excited for Sunday drop. Can it do a sub 15% like TFA is the key. Though TFA was much closer to XMAS for that drop to be softer.

[spizzer]

7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

SAT looks pretty much flat to me or mild growth but I am more excited for Sunday drop. Can it do a sub 15% like TFA is the key. Though TFA was much closer to XMAS for that drop to be softer.

 

Not surprising.  Super Saturday should always have a flattening effect at this demand level, which helps spillover into Sunday.

 

TFA/Avatar were closer to Christmas by a single day, so I don't expect that much deviation.  I think the drop will land between 10-15%..  

 

Separate note - TFA we had a >50M Christmas Day thread, missed the cutoff by pocket change.  If the week trends hefty, this time with CD on a Saturday, threshold should be $60M unless Omicron scare catches momentum.  Friday CE is going to be super deflated anyway.

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, ZackM said:

Interesting that based on what I'm able to track, Alpha ticket sales only increased 12% on Friday (0.94M to 1.05M), but actual gross estimates are showing a 44% increase(50M to 72M).

MTC ratios do come down but this is too low. I am thinking there were shows beyond what you tracked. I could see almsot 11.3K shows including non reserved theaters. 

 

Plus Regal had a big boost in show count and may be we are seeing ratio close to what was pre COVID.

[Joyous Legion]

22 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

much closer

24 hrs 😛 

[Movies4Life]

Just received word that Spider-Man: No Way Home has gotten an A+ from CinemaScore. This could help its legs. 

 

[ZackM]

17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

MTC ratios do come down but this is too low. I am thinking there were shows beyond what you tracked. I could see almsot 11.3K shows including non reserved theaters. 

 

Plus Regal had a big boost in show count and may be we are seeing ratio close to what was pre COVID.

I ended up with 9.5K reserved seat shows, so 11.3K total shows sounds in line with what I captured.

[el sid]

Matrix 4, counted today at 8am EST for Wednesday, Dec 22:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 272 (7 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 275 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 76 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 51 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 88 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 882 (10 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 735 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 2.379.

Up since my last count on Tuesday: 27%.
Comps: TSS (8.0M true Friday) had on Monday for Friday (= no mid-week release but also 4 days to go) 940 sold tickets

and Dune (12.4M true Friday) had also on Monday for Friday 2.621 sold tickets = 91% of Dune at the moment.
The jump could have been a bit better for my taste but the presales are still pretty good. And I guess that the Spider-Man release overshadowed everything. Maybe on Monday people consider what to watch (also) this week(end).
 

Because it was mentioned above and out of curiosity I looked at the presales for Scream a few minutes ago and at least for the previews on Thursday they are surprisingly good in my theaters:
It has for Thursday, Jan 13 253 sold tickets in 6 theaters

and for Friday, Jan 14 69 sold tickets also in 6 theaters.
Comps: The Forever Purge had on Thursday for Thursday (= 0 days to go) 241 sold tickets.
Halloween Kills had on Oct 5 (= 9 and 10 days to go) 315 and 353 sold tickets.