The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric the Minion]

http://deadline.com/2017/10/ryan-gosling-blade-runner-2049-worldwide-box-office-opening-harrison-ford-1202181411/

 

Quote

Unlike the time when the original Blade Runner opened second at the domestic B.O. with $6.1M behind the third weekend of E.T. which made $13.7M, the hope by financier Alcon and Sony International Releasing is that the three-decades worth of generational fans will come out for Blade Runner 2049. The sequel will easily own no. 1 stateside with approximately $45M at 4,000-plus theaters and an overseas opening in the mid-$50M range for a grand $100M global debut. That start will easily make Blade Runner 2049 the biggest box office opening for leading man Ryan Gosling and director Denis Villeneuve.

 

Those figures by the way are within the wheelhouse of other late ’70s/early ’80s cult sci-fi reboots read Mad Max Fury Road ($45.4M domestic opening), Tron Legacy ($44M dom debut), and Prometheus ($51M dom. debut). Last week, Fandango reported that advance ticket sales for Blade Runner 2049 were outpacing that of Fury Road and October’s top two record openers, Gravity ($55.8M) and Ridley Scott’s The Martian ($54.3M).

Movietickets.com reports that Blade Runner 2049 advance ticket sales are selling at 6x that of Villeneuve’s previous sci-fi Oscar-winning film Arrival ($24m opening) and 3x that of last summer’s War for the Planet of the Apes ($56.3M opening weekend).

 

Also opening in the U.S./Canada this weekend is 20th Century Fox/Chernin’s The Mountain Between Us starring Idris Elba and Kate Winslet. Pic, which will be in play at 3,000 locations with an eye a $11M-$12M is counting on older females.

Also Lionsgate has Hasbro’s big screen version of My Little Pony which is tracking between $14M-$17M at 2,500 sites. Previews will happen tomorrow night at 7PM.

3

 

Quote

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

14-17M is pretty high for MLP. I suppose it's not impossible given how presales are, but it'll be a fan driven movie.

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

13 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

14-17M is pretty high for MLP. I suppose it's not impossible given how presales are, but it'll be a fan driven movie.

Even so, looks way above the 7 million LRF that ProBoxoffice has. Curious to see how much they move it tonight 

[TwoMisfits]

3 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Even so, looks way above the 7 million LRF that ProBoxoffice has. Curious to see how much they move it tonight 

$2 tickets - their power:)...

 

One day, I'd love to know exactly how much box office these crazy T-Mobile deals bring for a movie...and of course, now I'd also love to know how much Moviepass holders are bringing in b/c they are getting more and more press and probably more and more members (Slickdeals had a press piece to their site members just yesterday about signing up for this)...

 

And speaking of deals, now another phone company is offering its top members a Fandango BOGO code to use every 35 days - another response to Moviepass to make the once a month goer decide to stick with Fandango??

Edited October 4, 2017 by TwoMisfits

[Boxofficerules]

I’m seeing more sales for Jeepers Creepers 3 than I am for Flatliners.

[Barnack]

16 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

I’m seeing more sales for Jeepers Creepers 3 than I am for Flatliners.

That is to be expected, just one time second showing right and in a limited amount of theater ? Perfect candidate for pre-sales (who does buy flatliners ticket in advance... really. just why ?)

[filmlover]

18 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

I’m seeing more sales for Jeepers Creepers 3 than I am for Flatliners.

It's too bad that the director's history pretty much ruled out a proper theatrical release because it probably would've done fine for at least opening weekend had it come out on that awful Labor Day frame.

[TwoMisfits]

18 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Locals Thursday night presales BR and MLP

 

1st Local - MLP - 7/120 (2 shows, 60 seats - gets bigger theater Friday)

2nd local - MLP - 9/110 (2 shows, 55 seats - gets bigger theater Friday - this is an Atom theater and has much higher Friday night sales - teens and under 25s?)

 

1st local - BR - 39/185 2d showing, 8/185 3d showing

2nd local - BR - 45/420ish 2d showings (3 total) 7/170 3d showing

Update

1st local - MLP - 10/120

2nd local - MLP - 9/110 (Friday night Atom theater - 6:30pm 49/95 sold - seems those $2 tickets are being used for real weekend shows, not Thursday)

 

So, MLP has sold 3 more tickets at 1st local and none at 2nd in 18 hours...

 

1st local - BR - (added a 2nd 2d show today) - 50/185 and 0/185 (added show) for 50/370, 9/185 3d showing

2nd local - BR - (switched a 2d show to 3d last minute) 36/300ish, 22/300ish 3d showing 

 

So, BR has sold 11 more 2d tickets and 1 more 3d ticket at 1st local and 6 more tickets total at 2nd local (once the swap was worked out) in 18 hours...

 

I'll update again tomorrow before showtime...

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

It's too bad that the director's history pretty much ruled out a proper theatrical release because it probably would've done fine for at least opening weekend had it come out on that awful Labor Day frame.

 

Why did the directors history rule it out? Did he committ a crime?

Edited October 4, 2017 by Brainbug

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

It's too bad that the director's history pretty much ruled out a proper theatrical release because it probably would've done fine for at least opening weekend had it come out on that awful Labor Day frame.

 

Why did the directors history ruled it out? Did he committ a crime?

[filmlover]

Just now, Brainbug said:

 

Why did the directors history ruled it out? Did he committ a crime?

He's a convicted child molester. The premiere was cancelled due to protests.

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

He's a convicted child molester. The premiere was cancelled due to protests.

 

[WrathOfHan]

BOP predictions: http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-blade-runner-2049-mountain-us-little-pony-movie/

 

BR: 54M

MLP: 11.9M

Mountain: 9M 

It: 8.9M

AM: 8.5M

Kingsman: 7.8M

Ninjago: 7.2M

Victoria and Abdul: 4.25M

Flatliners: 3M

Sexes: 2.4M

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

BOP predictions: http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-blade-runner-2049-mountain-us-little-pony-movie/

 

BR: 54M

MLP: 11.9M

Mountain: 9M 

It: 8.9M

AM: 8.5M

Kingsman: 7.8M

Ninjago: 7.2M

Victoria and Abdul: 4.25M

Flatliners: 3M

Sexes: 2.4M

Sounds about right. My Little Pony is likely gonna superfrontloaded for an animated film. Won't be surprised if it misses $30M total even with a $12M opening.

[WrathOfHan]

Tomorrow night at my theater:

 

7:00 BR: 7/124

7:00 MBU: 2/60

7:00 MLP: 11/78

7:45 BR: 8/69

8:30 BR: 3/78

 

[Poseidon]

MLP showing up at MT on a wednesday is a pretty good sign. 

[TwoMisfits]

51 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

MLP showing up at MT on a wednesday is a pretty good sign. 

Especially since their huge deal was on Atom:)...

[Rumpot]

9:25om EST Fandango in 4 minutes : 156 BR (39/min), 24 MLP (6/min), 9 MBU (2.25/min)

[Eric the Minion]

Spoiler

Thursday 10/5 (Tickets Sold, Total Seats, Percentage)

Blade Runner 7:15	47	113	41.59%
Blade Runner 3D 9	13	71	18.31%
Blade Runner 10:45	3	102	2.94%
Blade Runner Total	63	286	22.03%
My Little Pony 7	2	71	2.82%
Mountain b/t Us 7:45	2	71	2.82%
Mountain b/t Us 10:40	2	71	2.82%
Mountain b/t Us Total	4	142	2.82%

 

Friday 10/6

Blade Runner 3D 11	1	113	0.88%
Blade Runner 2:45	1	113	0.88%
Blade Runner 6:30	18	113	15.93%
Blade Runner 9:30	2	71	2.82%
Blade Runner 10:15	4	113	3.54%
Blade Runner Total	26	523	3.63%
My Little Pony 1:25	0	102
My Little Pony 4:20	7	102	6.86%
My Little Pony 5:50	31	96	32.29%
My Little Pony 8:45	2	96	2.08%
My Little Pony Total	40	300	13.33%
Mountain b/t Us 12:30	0	71
Mountain b/t Us 3:50	4	71	5.63%
Mountain b/t Us 7:30	6	102	5.88%
Mountain b/t Us 10:35	0	102
Mountain b/t Us Total	10	346	2.89%

 

Saturday 10/7

Blade Runner 3D 11	3	113	2.65%
Blade Runner 2:45	11	113	9.73%
Blade Runner 6:30	31	113	27.43%
Blade Runner 9:30	12	71	16.90%
Blade Runner 10:15	4	113	3.54%
Blade Runner Total	61	523	11.66%
My Little Pony 10:30	4	102	3.92%
My Little Pony 1:25	7	102	6.86%
My Little Pony 4:20	6	102	5.88%
My Little Pony 5:50	7	96	3.13%
My Little Pony 8:45	0	96
My Little Pony Total	24	498	4.82%
Mountain b/t Us 12:30	7	71	9.86%
Mountain b/t Us 3:50	0	71
Mountain b/t Us 7:30	4	102	3.92%
Mountain b/t Us 10:35	0	102
Mountain b/t Us Total	11	346	3.18%

 

Sunday 10/8

Blade Runner 3D 11	6	113	5.31%
Blade Runner 2:45	26	113	23.01%
Blade Runner 6:30	0	113
Blade Runner 9:30	0	71
Blade Runner 10:15	0	113
Blade Runner Total	32	523	6.12%
My Little Pony 10:30	3	102	2.94%
My Little Pony 1:25	4	102	3.92%
My Little Pony 4:20	0	102
My Little Pony 5:50	0	96
My Little Pony 8:45	0	96
My Little Pony Total	7	498	1.41%

 

Mountain Between Us hasn't sold anything on this day.

 

Thursday 11/2

Thor 3 7:00	62	113	54.87%
Thor 3 10:25	15	113	13.27%
Thor 3 Total	77	226	34.07%

 

Friday 11/3

Thor 3 3D 11:50	2	113	1.77%
Thor 3 3:15	5	113	4.42%
Thor 3 6:40	46	113	40.71%
Thor 3 10:05	4	113	3.54%
Thor 3 Total	57	452	12.61%

 

Saturday 11/4

Thor 3 3D 11:50	10	113	8.85%
Thor 3 3:15	22	113	19.47%
Thor 3 6:40	22	113	19.47%
Thor 3 10:05	2	113	1.77%
Thor 3 Total	56	452	12.39%

 

Sunday 11/5

Thor 3 3D 11:50	0	113
Thor 3 3:15	19	113	16.81%
Thor 3 6:40	2	113	1.77%
Thor 3 10:05	0	113
Thor 3 Total	21	452	4.65%

 

 

Another Movie Tavern Update:

 

Blade Runner	182	1855	9.81%
My Little Pony	73	1367	5.34%
Mountain b/t Us	25	1180	2.12%
Thor 3	211	1582	13.34%

 

Probably can't give any updates tomorrow because of my work schedule, but I'll be back with this next Monday.

Edited October 5, 2017 by CoolEric258

[WrathOfHan]

MT:

 

BR 27.1

AM 7.9

MLP 6.8

It 6.8

Kingsman 5.6

 

Pulse:

 

1. BR

2. MLP

3. BR IMAX

4. Mountain

5. It

Edited October 5, 2017 by WrathOfHan