The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[DAJK]

@TalismanRing‘s data basically is pointing to 25M for Night School and o/u 20 for Smallfoot. I think it’ll be interesting to look at @WrathOfHan‘s theatre tonight just to get a sense of what walk-ups for Each film will be, to see how much higher they could go/not go

[YM!]

North Shore Cinema update 

 

Smallfoot, at 2 hours before previews is at 28 tickets. No comps available.

 

Night School, at 5 hours before previews is at 110 tickets. No comps available.

 

Obvious Night School is doing fantastic and Smallfoot is doing all right but putting in the PLF screen might hurt previews.

[el sid]

Pulse is/was available for me again :).

5 minutes of counting 5 hours ago:
Smallfoot: 66 - House With a Clock had 84 same day and time of the day, Christopher Robin 97,
Night School: 61 – to that time I thought that despite probably having many walk ups the reviews could indeed hurt it (a little bit), still that was in front of The Happytime Murders which had 48 sold tickets and that was earlier in the day which was the more favorable date,
Hell Fest: 18.

And at the moment:
Night School: 106 - The Happytime Murders had 51 sold tickets same day and daytime so now its far in front,
Smallfoot: 63 - The House With a Clock had 78, Christopher Robin 87 both same day and time of the day, both comparisons could point to low 20s,

Hell Fest: again 18.

And MT:
#1 My Hero Academia 16.8%
#2 Smallfoot 11.9%
#3 Night School 10.3%

#4 House With a Clock 7.7%
#5 A Simple Favor 5.7%

Edited September 27, 2018 by el sid

[YM!]

Smallfoot

North Shore Cinema 

9/27/18

4:00 - 2/301 - USCR 

7:15 - 

9:00 - 

Edited September 27, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord
Will update continuously throughout the day

[Jonwo]

I don't why WB bothers with Thursday previews for family films in September, Ninjago didn't have them and Storks only made $435,000. 

[WrathOfHan]

I've been working so I didnt check what Smallfoot did at 4, but the show in 15 minutes has sold 13 seats. I get off at 7, so I'll keep you guys posted on the other two and see if I have any comps off the top of my head

[Eric the Minion]

Hell Fest	14	1325	1.06%
Night School	432	2376	18.18%
Smallfoot	182	2074	8.78%

 

 

Hell Fest comps:

24% of Happy Death Day (6.2M)

18% of Insidious 4 (5.3M)

42% of Winchester (3.9M)

21% of Strangers 2 (2.2M)

8% of A Quiet Place (3.8M)

 

LOL. Probably Happy Death Day is the best comp, since both are originals that came out in the fall.

 

Night School comps:

163% of Bad Moms 2 (27.4M)

174% of Daddy's Home 2 (51.6M)

259% of Pitch Perfect 3 (51.6M)

277% of Life of the Party (49.5M)

280% of Uncle Drew (42.7M)

 

Seems amazing, but my theater is biased towards films like these, so don't expect these 50M+ projections. Still feel confident in the $30M range though.

 

Smallfoot comps:

249% of My Little Pony (22.1M)

51% of Coco (25.9M)

140% of Ferdinand (18.8M)

54% of Peter Rabbit (13.4M)

177% of Sherlock Gnomes (18.7M)

48% of Hotel Transylvania 3 (21.1M)

51% of Christopher Robin (12.5M)

80% of House w/ Clock (21.2M)

 

I had class when the 4PM show started, but around three hours before it started, it didn't have any tickets sold, and I doubt it had a large number of tickets sold when the time came.

 

Anyway, I've been predicting low 20s all week, and these comps largely match up with that idea.

Edited September 27, 2018 by CoolEric258

[filmlover]

The Hate U Give is opening in 34 theaters next week and is opening at my theater on the 12th so clearly Fox is clearly looking to build WOM among the cities where it'll do best in before its official wide release on the 19th.

[el sid]

MT at the moment:

#1 Smallfoot 16.8%
#2 Night School 15.4%
#3 My Hero Academia 11.1%
#4 The House With a Clock 6.1%
#5 A Simple Favor 5.7%

5 minutes of Pulse three hours ago:
Night School: 119 - no exact comps here
Smallfoot: 88 - The House With a Clock had 122 , Christopher Robin 133, both same day and time of the day

And 5 minutes of Pulse one hour ago:
Night School: 132 - The Happytime Murders had 55
Smallfoot: 89 - The House With a Clock had 147 same day and daytime

[Morieris]

 

[Nova]

4 minutes ago, Morieris said:

 

LMFAO at Robin Hood. 

[grim22]

52 minutes ago, Morieris said:

 

Box Office should really change the title of the articles to "Long Range Forecast" since I have seen a lot of sites run with it as "Official tracking numbers" which it isn't.

[WrathOfHan]

BOP confirms The Front Runner doesn't go wide until Thanksgiving. It's getting Roman Israel'd.

[DAJK]

6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

BOP confirms The Front Runner doesn't go wide until Thanksgiving. It's getting Roman Israel'd.

So Oscar nomination for Jackman?

[Pinacolada]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

So Oscar nomination for Jackman?

That nomination for Denzel still pisses me off... Such a waste of a nomination for a movie literally no one cared about. Could've gone Franco for Disaster Artist, Bale for Hostiles, or even Hanks for The Post... There were even others I thought were more deserving like Pattinson in Good time and Renner in Wind River, though I knew those weren't gonna have a chance

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, Pinacolada said:

That nomination for Denzel still pisses me off... Such a waste of a nomination for a movie literally no one cared about. Could've gone Franco for Disaster Artist, Bale for Hostiles, or even Hanks for The Post... There were even others I thought were more deserving like Pattinson in Good time and Renner in Wind River, though I knew those weren't gonna have a chance

Denzel was the second best nominee in that category last year soooooooooo

[DAJK]

10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Denzel was the second best nominee in that category last year soooooooooo

Third best if Franco had been nominated 

[Biggestgeekever]

3 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Denzel was the second best nominee in that category last year soooooooooo

No.

3 hours ago, DAJK said:

Third best if Franco had been nominated 

No.

[filmlover]

7 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

BOP confirms The Front Runner doesn't go wide until Thanksgiving. It's getting Roman Israel'd.

That was confirmed when it had its date set months ago though. It's getting an expansion to other metropolitan areas on the 16th and then going wide on Thanksgiving the weekend after.

 

The reviews are decent (better than Roman J. Israel, Esq.'s were after TIFF initially) but without major awards buzz, I doubt it's gonna make a dent either way. Politically-themed movies are tough sells these days when politics completely dominate the daily news cycle.

Edited September 29, 2018 by filmlover

[Pinacolada]

7 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Denzel was the second best nominee in that category last year soooooooooo

I just don't know about that