Monday Numbers (June 19) numbers.com: Cars 3 - 5.4m , Wonder Woman - 4.8m, The Mummy -1.6m

[Zakiyyah6]

4.8 is a good number.  Of course the movie won't go up as much today as last week but everything will measure out.

[cannastop]

WTF happened to Cars 3 and its 65% drop?

 

FD got a 43.5% drop and Inside Out had a 58.4% drop.

[WrathOfHan]

I think this is WW's best case scenario:

 

4.8

6.2 (+30%)

4.3 (-30%)

4.3 (Flat)

 

7.3 (+70%)

11.3 (+55%)

8.5 (-25%)

27.1M Weekend 

 

I have a feeling its first sub-70 Friday increase will happen this weekend so *shrug*

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

WTF happened to Cars 3 and its 65% drop?

 

FD got a 43.5% drop and Inside Out had a 58.4% drop.

Dory had spillover from the weekend (IO to an extent as well) and IO had great WOM. Cars has neither of those going for it.

Edited June 20, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[GiantCALBears]

28 minutes ago, James said:

Mon 4.8

Tue 6.8

Wed 4.9

Thu 4.6

Fri 8.1 (+76%)

Sat 11.3 (+39%)

Sun 9 (-22%)

 

28m+ weekend incoming.

 

No way it jumps to $6.8m today dude. 

[Zakiyyah6]

People are always under estimating Wonder Woman so who knows what will happen?

 

I'm not surprised by Cars 3 drop, I don't think that Cars 3 has this red-hot word-of-mouth that people are proclaiming that it does. I will admit if I'm wrong but that's just the feeling I get.

Edited June 20, 2017 by Zakiyyah6

[Brainiac5]

Good Number for WW.

The steam is most definitely still there.

Edited June 20, 2017 by Brainiac5

[James]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I think this is WW's best case scenario:

 

4.8

6.2 (+30%)

4.3 (-30%)

4.3 (Flat)

 

7.3 (+70%)

11.3 (+55%)

8.5 (-25%)

27.1M Weekend 

 

I have a feeling its first sub-70 Friday increase will happen this weekend so *shrug*

You are always always so pessimistic. Why?

[Chaz]

5 minutes ago, James said:

You are always always so pessimistic. Why?

That's a great weekend prediction.

[Zakiyyah6]

Yeah how is 27 million a bad weekend prediction? I think that's just fine and it would be a good number.

[GiantCALBears]

The last weekend in June before the 4th is notoriously slow, don't see this year being any exception with TF5. 

[GrimFandango]

17 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

Good Number for WW.

The steam is still there most definitely.

 

 Look out, she's coming!

 

I don't see her passing TDKR, but BvS is toast.

 

Edited June 20, 2017 by grimfandango
Added SS

[James]

10 minutes ago, Chaz said:

That's a great weekend prediction.

 

7 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Yeah how is 27 million a bad weekend prediction? I think that's just fine and it would be a good number.

I was referring to the 70% Fri increase comment. 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, James said:

 

I was referring to the 70% Fri increase comment. 

It's a rule of thumb that increases get weaker the deeper you go into the summer. I highly doubt WW will still be increasing in the 60's or 70's in July.

[James]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

It's a rule of thumb that increases get weaker the deeper you go into the summer. I highly doubt WW will still be increasing in the 60's or 70's in July.

I know it is, but it actually managed a 10% increase (from 70% to 80%) last week. I don;t think it will have an under 70% increase this week.

[GiantCALBears]

It's a rule of thumb that increases get weaker the deeper you go into the summer. I highly doubt WW will still be increasing in the 60's or 70's in July.

Also the competition is about to ratchet up significantly.

[Brainiac5]

9 minutes ago, grimfandango said:

 

 Look out, she's coming!

 

I don't see her passing TDKR, but BvS is toast.

 

Name some other films it's gonna pass.

[MikeQ]

33 minutes ago, cannastop said:

WTF happened to Cars 3 and its 65% drop?

 

FD got a 43.5% drop and Inside Out had a 58.4% drop.

 

It could be that Cars 3 is just not going to hold as well as films like Finding Dory and Inside Out, but I think at least part of it has to do with it being more of a Father's Day type film, and this at least seems evident looking at how it played out over the weekend.

 

Cars 3 dropped 5.8% on SAT and then 15.2% on SUN, which compares favourably to:

 

Inside Out, which dropped 9.7% on SAT and then 18.5% on SUN.

Finding Dory, which dropped 16.6% on SAT and then 24% on SUN.

 

This is just a rudimentary look, and one could make the argument that this just isn't the greatest drop for Cars 3 regardless, but it does seem that Cars 3 had more of a boost from Father's Day. So it seems like a logical conclusion to me that Cars 3 would drop harder on Monday to "correct" or account for this. 

 

Peace,

Mike

Edited June 20, 2017 by MikeQ

[ChiSoxRox]

She's almost caught up to Deadpool's curve, and gaining rapidly on Spiderman 2. I'm hopeful  she'll catch GOTG 2 before she's done.

[GrimFandango]

10 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

Name some other films it's gonna pass.

I think GotG and Iron Man are likely (domestic at least) going to get passed unless WW goes real flat. GotG2 is an outside shot.