Barnack Posted July 29, 2018 Share Posted July 29, 2018 4 hours ago, Valonqar said: Yep, nobody's gonna convince me that TLJ didn't drop harder than expected. other franchises have better holds coming off insanely big previous movie - AoU, Fate of the Furious, now FK. Also 1 Skyfall Sony $1,108.6 $304.4 27.5% $804.2 72.5% 2012 2 Spectre Sony $880.7 $200.1 22.7% $680.6 77.3% 2015 21% drop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 29, 2018 Share Posted July 29, 2018 10.9m os weekend and 6.8 dom weekend for 1235.4 ww. 1300 looks tough. I think 30 more os and 20 more dom is the most it can do for a solid 1285 ww (-23% from JW1's 1671). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 I'm just happy it will cross F8 to become Universal's 3rd highest grossing film worldwide. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 top 3 ww could have been disney but jw2 will spoil the party by staying well ahead of i2. aiw, bp, jw2, i2, ? bp staying ahead of jw2 is pretty mind-blowing. last year i had aiw v jw2 for #1 ww 2018, but jw2 will be closer to and below bp in the end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, a2k said: top 3 ww could have been disney but jw2 will spoil the party by staying well ahead of i2. aiw, bp, jw2, i2, ? bp staying ahead of jw2 is pretty mind-blowing. last year i had aiw v jw2 for #1 ww 2018, but jw2 will be closer to and below bp in the end. BP's enormous overperformance DOM sailed the ship. Id even argue it also somewhat overperformed OS for a non-teamup MCU film. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 All in all a very strong hold from the first movie considering novelty being gone. Great run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scabab Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 So it's going to finish inbetween Frozen and Last Jedi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spectroul Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 Dang, I hope it gets to 1.3B. If it hadn't underperformed on UK in comparison to the first JW, 1.3B would be locked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 (edited) 9 hours ago, spectroul said: Dang, I hope it gets to 1.3B. If it hadn't underperformed on UK in comparison to the first JW, 1.3B would be locked. It's still locked I think, had a $5.6m weekend in japan (only dropped 19% this WE). It still has atleast 20m in the tank there. If it holds well next weekend against I2, MI6 and 4 local openings it will for sure do $30m in the rest of it's run in Japan. EDIT: Even with a harsh drop next week JW will do $26m more in Japan. I could see it doing 4.1B yen more if it holds good next week ($37m) Edited July 30, 2018 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 OS was underestimated by $2.3m this WE. The actual weekend was $12.9m, the actuals are 21% higher than the est, this is great! What I am expecting: $22m more DOM $35m more from Japan It had a $7.3m OS-Jap weekend, I think 3x this WE is doable so another $22m OS-Jap. JW-FK WW tot (projection): 1.316B So anything from 1.3B to 1.325B is realistic I think. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 13 minutes ago, pepsa said: OS was underestimated by $2.3m this WE. The actual weekend was $12.9m, the actuals are 21% higher than the est, this is great! What I am expecting: $22m more DOM $35m more from Japan It had a $7.3m OS-Jap weekend, I think 3x this WE is doable so another $22m OS-Jap. JW-FK WW tot (projection): 1.316B So anything from 1.3B to 1.325B is realistic I think. Nice. It's already surpassed F8's WW gross. Domestic: $397,508,235 32.1% Foreign: $840,200,000 67.9% __________________________________ Worldwide: $1,237,708,235 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 31, 2018 Share Posted July 31, 2018 (edited) now i think 1300 is alive. Is 62.3 away from 1300 after, - 6.7 dom weekend - 12.9 os weekend (with 5.5 from japan and 7.4 os-japan) how much more can it add : - japan cume is 43.8 and could do as much as 80 according to corpse*, but say it does 75 total so adds 31 more after sunday. - os-japan should add 14.5 more for 810.5 total after a 7.4 weekend if not more. - dom should add 17.5 more (2.5*6.7 weekend) for 414.5 total if not a bit more. So 75 japan + 810.5 os-japan + 414.5 dom = 1300 i think os-japan and dom could add 2-3m more each than my numbers. if japan goes closer to 80 then 1310 is possible on the high-end. either way, 1290-1310 seems like a reasonable range. EDIT: *corpse/japan bot thread: ">Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom falls to second place, but still delivered an excellent third weekend hold, and is now trailing its predecessor by 17% (down from 20% last week) after three weeks in release. It will likely continue to gain on the first film since it has Obon Festival in two weeks, so a total of ¥9 billion ($80 million) is looking very good right now, which should be enough for it to win the 2018 Yearly Crown, though it's not certain yet." Even 72-74 odd in Japan could be enough for 1300 if dom crosses 415 and os-japan adds 2.1x this weekend (7.4) to it's cume. Edited July 31, 2018 by a2k 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted July 31, 2018 Share Posted July 31, 2018 Among sequels of $1.5B+ films, JW:FK does not rank last anymore, since it has just passed Fate of the Furious. It will probs not beat TLJ (and definitely not AoU for that matter) so it will rank 3/4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scabab Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Movie updated to $845 million overseas as of Thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted August 5, 2018 Share Posted August 5, 2018 On 7/22/2018 at 9:57 AM, MattW said: Jul 1: 669.2 (+102.2; -47.6%) Jul 8: 727.6 (+58.4; -42.9%) Jul 15: 773.1 (+45.5; -22.1%) Jul 22: 813.0 (+39.9; -12.3%) July 29: 840.2 (+27.4; -31.3%) Aug 5: 854.5 (+14.3; -47.8%) Much steeper drop this week than the last few. Probably Fallout's new openings took away from JW. Still, was more or less expecting it and I think it hits 875, plus 420+ domestic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 5, 2018 Share Posted August 5, 2018 (edited) 10 os weekend and 4 dom weekend takes it to 1260 ww. japan is on 52.2 and should add 20-25 more. rest os should add roughly 5-10 more. that gives 25-35 more os. dom should add 10-12 more. 1260+25+10 = 1295 ww 1260+35+12 = 1307 ww Edited August 5, 2018 by a2k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KJsooner Posted August 5, 2018 Share Posted August 5, 2018 (edited) Such a great success financially. Leads me to believe people actually do like/care about the characters of Owen and Claire. Rather likable leads. Edited August 5, 2018 by KJsooner 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted August 5, 2018 Share Posted August 5, 2018 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom has reached $854.4m after a $5.9m weekend, and is set to overtake Transformers: Age Of Extinction on $858.6m this week to rank as the 13th highest international release. The worldwide tally stands at $1.26bn. Source: Screen Daily 875M OS 415M DOM 1,290B WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted August 6, 2018 Share Posted August 6, 2018 8 hours ago, KJsooner said: Such a great success financially. Leads me to believe people actually do like/care about the characters of Owen and Claire. Rather likable leads. I think the JP movies definitely do a better job with the human characters compared to other monster/creature movies. There is reason people want Alan Grant to come back or for Ian Malcolm to have a bigger role. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted August 6, 2018 Share Posted August 6, 2018 17 hours ago, John Marston said: I think the JP movies definitely do a better job with the human characters compared to other monster/creature movies. There is reason people want Alan Grant to come back or for Ian Malcolm to have a bigger role. Yep. People liked the old cast and like the new one too (Owen/CP and Clare/BDH). They are actual characters, not just plot device. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
