5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[grey ghost]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

I legitimately don't know how they could keep it cheap without haviing the CGI look like crap.

 

That's really what I was trying to say.

 

Thank you. 

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, drdungbeetle said:

...you're gonna be likes this when Atomic Blonde opens, aren't you?

Yes. Of course I am. Maybe even worse because CHARLIZE THERON IS A GODDESS AND DAVID LEITCH IS A GOD! 

 

ALL ABOARD THE ATOMIC BLONDE HYPE TRAIN!!! 

 

 

 

 

[CalifoBoy]

30 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

It's gonna loose many screens, since SpiderMan may need them.

 

I see but i was hoping that Diana could reach $400 million domesticly... it looks like she won't.

 

28 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

He didnt predict a terrible drop. He was simply saying how much it will make if it follows the same drops as SS and MoS. Relax

 

But is it possible that the movie could surprise us all and have a smaller than expected drop?!

[Cmasterclay]

3 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

Yeah, that's a very disappointing opening for DM3. A movie can be a big success and still be disappointing. This is one of those cases.

This. I don't care about whether it makes a profit (unless it's an indie where it needs the money to sustain the studio) or foreign gross (never left the country, don't even know the first thing about exchange rates), I care about how domestic box office does in relation to reasonable potential. Weigh what it has going for it, what is has going against it, and think of a good range for what it can do. DM3 should have made at least 80m this weekend all things considered. I predicted 95m. That's my standard. 

[Krissykins]

Great for Baby Driver.

 

I always said it looked like a critical darling that would make Nice Guy numbers.

 

But look at it go! Well done! 

[titanic2187]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

TOMATO LAW

tomato law is in full force in the marketplace now

[MrGlass2]

10 minutes ago, cannastop said:

I legitimately don't know how they could keep it cheap without haviing the CGI look like crap.

 

Wouldn't one Bumblebee and a couple of CGI villains cost less than the hundreds of giant robots Bay throws on screen?

[Zakiyyah6]

Baby Driver did well. The weekend multiplier is very encouraging. Hoping Spidey doesn't kill it.

[TwoMisfits]

Here's the thing for all those picking so many films to be enormous next summer...the summer DOM BO from 1 May to Labor Day is only gonna be worth roughly a max of $5B...if you start taking all your movies and subtracting from this value, what do you have left for EVERY OTHER MOVIE released in that time frame?  And $5B is optimistic, since it's never gone that high, but I think it could be doable (since 2013 got close), although something closer to $4.5B might be a better place to start...

Edited July 2, 2017 by TwoMisfits

[Jake Gittes]

1	N	Despicable Me 3	Uni.	$75,410,275	-	4,529	-	$16,651	$75,410,275	-	1
2	N	Baby Driver	Sony	$21,000,000	-	3,226	-	$6,510	$30,029,105	$34	1
3	1	Transformers: The Last Knight	Par.	$17,000,000	-62.0%	4,132	+63	$4,114	$102,103,351	$217	2
4	2	Wonder Woman	WB	$16,100,000	-35.4%	3,404	-529	$4,730	$346,644,475	$149	5
5	3	Cars 3	BV	$9,524,000	-60.4%	3,576	-680	$2,663	$120,714,099	-	3
6	N	The House	WB (NL)	$9,000,000	-	3,134	-	$2,872	$9,000,000	-	1
7	22	The Beguiled (2017)	Focus	$3,259,740	+1,321.7%	674	+670	$4,836	$3,579,188	-	2
8	5	The Mummy (2017)	Uni.	$2,785,260	-54.0%	1,760	-1,220	$1,583	$74,502,100	$125	4
9	7	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$2,411,000	-55.3%	1,674	-779	$1,440	$165,466,587	$230	6
10	6	All Eyez on Me	LG/S	$1,880,000	-67.6%	1,258	-1,213	$1,494	$42,732,463	-	3
11	18	The Big Sick	LGF	$1,672,200	+296.7%	71	+66	$23,552	$2,228,690	-	2
12	10	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$1,430,000	-52.7%	966	-502	$1,480	$383,273,975	$200	9
13	9	Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie	Fox	$1,225,000	-71.4%	1,452	-876	$844	$69,370,793	-	5
14	11	Beatriz At Dinner	RAtt.	$1,119,380	-36.4%	683	+192	$1,639	$4,773,864	-	4
15	21	The Hero	Orch.	$920,315	+208.9%	401	+320	$2,295	$1,601,662	-	4
16	12	Megan Leavey	BST	$441,376	-63.7%	433	-538	$1,019	$11,773,794	-	4
17	13	The Book of Henry	Focus	$270,545	-71.5%	363	-287	$745	$3,870,452	-	3
18	17	Paris Can Wait	SPC	$269,498	-52.9%	214	-194	$1,259	$4,710,292	-	8
19	20	The Boss Baby	Fox	$230,000	-30.5%	215	-26	$1,070	$173,540,805	-	14
20	16	Baywatch	Par.	$225,000	-69.9%	196	-284	$1,148	$57,247,747	$69	6
21	19	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$175,000	-48.7%	213	-81	$822	$73,656,308	$97	7
22	15	It Comes At Night	A24	$161,790	-79.8%	174	-645	$930	$13,547,321	-	4
23	26	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$139,030	-4.1%	144	-15	$965	$225,429,900	$250	12
24	27	The Exception	A24	$101,904	-20.4%	48	-	$2,123	$393,054	-	5
25	33	Maudie	SPC	$98,581	+11.1%	32	+4	$3,081	$2,930,841	-	7

[ZeeSoh]

4 minutes ago, CalifoBoy said:

 

But is it possible that the movie could surprise us all and have a smaller than expected drop?!

 

It has already surprised everyone and its drops have so far been almost always lower than expected. It will continue to have good legs. 

 

If you are asking if it will hold better than SS and MoS going forward then yes it undoubtedly will. 

[Zakiyyah6]

I agree that DM3 North American opening weekend is disappointing. I thought it was a lock to open with 90mil. 

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Baby Driver did well. The weekend multiplier is very encouraging. Hoping Spidey doesn't kill it.

It's R rated, so the competition isn't direct.

[filmlover]

All Eyez on Me's run is truly pathetic. From a $26M opening to a total barely over $45M.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Here's the thing for all those picking so many films to be enormous next summer...the summer DOM BO from 1 May to Labor Day is only gonna be worth roughly a max of $5B...if you start taking all your movies and subtracting from this value, what do you have left for EVERY OTHER MOVIE released in that time frame?  And $5B is optimistic, since it's never gone that high, but I think it could be doable (since 2013 got close), although something closer to $4.5B might be a better place to start...

All of them are gonna suffer the wrath of Deadpool 2. 

 

Deadpool 2 is gonna make $2B all on its own. That's only $3B left. I guess the rest are gonna have to share. 

[grey ghost]

35 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Yet, it's still  a massive disappointment to the Chinese market.  It will gross $90-100m less than the last and they paid  $100m to Paramount (great for them) for the rights thinking it would blow past $400m and make the deal worthwhile.

 

Sneaky Paramount knew they had a lemon, lol.

[Fancyarcher]

3 hours ago, YourMother said:

I'm actually starting to think Incredibles 2 has a legitimate shot of doing $500M domestic.

 

I'm sure it'll do well, but lets not go that far yet. At least I'd wait until we see how well-received the film will be. 

[cannastop]

6 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Great for Baby Driver.

 

I always said it looked like a critical darling that would make Nice Guy numbers.

 

But look at it go! Well done! 

It's a very accessible film. Exciting action, and nice music. No wonder it did well.

[titanic2187]

2 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

1	N	Despicable Me 3	Uni.	$75,410,275	-	4,529	-	$16,651	$75,410,275	-	1
2	N	Baby Driver	Sony	$21,000,000	-	3,226	-	$6,510	$30,029,105	$34	1
3	1	Transformers: The Last Knight	Par.	$17,000,000	-62.0%	4,132	+63	$4,114	$102,103,351	$217	2
4	2	Wonder Woman	WB	$16,100,000	-35.4%	3,404	-529	$4,730	$346,644,475	$149	5
5	3	Cars 3	BV	$9,524,000	-60.4%	3,576	-680	$2,663	$120,714,099	-	3
6	N	The House	WB (NL)	$9,000,000	-	3,134	-	$2,872	$9,000,000	-	1
7	22	The Beguiled (2017)	Focus	$3,259,740	+1,321.7%	674	+670	$4,836	$3,579,188	-	2
8	5	The Mummy (2017)	Uni.	$2,785,260	-54.0%	1,760	-1,220	$1,583	$74,502,100	$125	4
9	7	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$2,411,000	-55.3%	1,674	-779	$1,440	$165,466,587	$230	6
10	6	All Eyez on Me	LG/S	$1,880,000	-67.6%	1,258	-1,213	$1,494	$42,732,463	-	3
11	18	The Big Sick	LGF	$1,672,200	+296.7%	71	+66	$23,552	$2,228,690	-	2
12	10	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$1,430,000	-52.7%	966	-502	$1,480	$383,273,975	$200	9
13	9	Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie	Fox	$1,225,000	-71.4%	1,452	-876	$844	$69,370,793	-	5
14	11	Beatriz At Dinner	RAtt.	$1,119,380	-36.4%	683	+192	$1,639	$4,773,864	-	4
15	21	The Hero	Orch.	$920,315	+208.9%	401	+320	$2,295	$1,601,662	-	4
16	12	Megan Leavey	BST	$441,376	-63.7%	433	-538	$1,019	$11,773,794	-	4
17	13	The Book of Henry	Focus	$270,545	-71.5%	363	-287	$745	$3,870,452	-	3
18	17	Paris Can Wait	SPC	$269,498	-52.9%	214	-194	$1,259	$4,710,292	-	8
19	20	The Boss Baby	Fox	$230,000	-30.5%	215	-26	$1,070	$173,540,805	-	14
20	16	Baywatch	Par.	$225,000	-69.9%	196	-284	$1,148	$57,247,747	$69	6
21	19	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$175,000	-48.7%	213	-81	$822	$73,656,308	$97	7
22	15	It Comes At Night	A24	$161,790	-79.8%	174	-645	$930	$13,547,321	-	4
23	26	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$139,030	-4.1%	144	-15	$965	$225,429,900	$250	12
24	27	The Exception	A24	$101,904	-20.4%	48	-	$2,123	$393,054	-	5
25	33	Maudie	SPC	$98,581	+11.1%	32	+4	$3,081	$2,930,841	-	7

well, WB have WW only dip 3.3% on sunday, that's good but isn't too optimistic??  is this how 4th July worked?  

[MrGlass2]

So WW only fell 35% after all? Crisis averted.

And damn, my $87M prediction for DM3 was so wrong... I thought Universal's estimate was pessimistic as usual, but they were actually too confident.