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5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

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1). Despicable Me 3 (UNI/ILL), 4,259 theaters / $28.6M Fri. (includes $4.1M previews) / 3-day cume: $81M /Wk 1

2). Baby Driver (PAR), 3,226 theaters / $5.7M Wed. (includes Tuesday preview of $2.1M) / $3.3M Thurs. / $5.9M Fri. / 3-day cume: $18M / Total cume: $27M / Wk 1

3). Transformers: The Last Knight (PAR), 4,132 theaters (+63) / $4.7M Fri. (-66%)/ 3-day cume: $16.3M (-63%)/ Total cume: $101.4M / Wk 2

4.) Wonder Woman (WB), 3,404 theaters (-529) / $4.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $15.3M / Total: $345.8M / Wk 5

5). The House (WB), 3,134 theaters / $3.4M Fri. (includes $800K previews) / 3-day cume: $9.2M/ Wk 1

6). Cars 3 (DIS), 3,576 theaters (-680) / $2.6m Fri. / 3-day cume: $9M (-63%) / Total: $120.2m / Wk 3

7.). 47 Meters Down (ENT), 2,250 theaters (-221) / $1.33M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.4M (-38%) / Total: $32.2M / Wk 3

8.). Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales  (DIS), 1,674 theaters (-682) / $869K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.9M  (-46%)/ Total: $166M / Wk 6

9.) The Beguiled (FOC), 674 theaters (+670) / $963K Fri. (+982%) / 3-day cume: $2.7M (+1250%)/Total: $3M/ Wk 2

10.). The Mummy (Uni), 1,760 theaters (-1,112) / $716K Fri. (-59%) / 3-day cume: $2.55M (-58%)/ Total: $74.3M / Wk 4

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weaker jumps for WW и BD:depp:


Was hoping better for Cars, even if you all said it would be crumbling...

Lähetetty minun SM-G800F laitteesta Tapatalkilla

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Cars 3 just seemed so unnecessary. I also think that some people saw that the movie only exists for the merchandise and turned it down (maybe waited with their kids for DM3 or Spidey)

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28.6 is 6.98x multi off the previews. Same as Cars3's 6.99x.

 

Cars3 fell 7% on Sat. DM3 imo will fall 10% due to Canada Day dynamics.

But Sunday should hold better than Cars3's FD drop of 15%. Thinking another 10% drop on Sunday.

 

28.6 + 25.7 (-10%) + 23.1 (-10%) = 77.4

 

Mon should be strong and Tuesday could be amazing.

But overall I don't think it can do much more than DM1. Which still makes it a big success and should go over 800 ww.

 

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Just now, a2knet said:

28.6 is 6.98x multi off the previews. Same as Cars3's 6.99x.

 

Cars3 fell 7% on Sat. DM3 imo will fall 10% due to Canada Day dynamics.

But Sunday should hold better than Cars3's FD drop of 15%. Thinking another 10% drop on Sunday.

 

28.6 + 25.7 (-10%) + 23.1 (-10%) = 77.4

 

Mon should be strong and Tuesday could be amazing.

But overall I don't think it can do much more than DM1. Which still makes it a big success and should go over 800 ww.

 

 

77.4M with a 3.15x multi gives a 244M or so final gross, which would be 3.05x its budget from domestic alone.

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6 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Cars 3 just seemed so unnecessary. I also think that some people saw that the movie only exists for the merchandise and turned it down (maybe waited with their kids for DM3 or Spidey)

 

Yeah. It still served their purpose well I guess. But from BO perspective it's disappointing. May not beat KFP3 (~143 dom after a ~41 ow).

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2 hours ago, Gopher said:

Animation seems to be burnt out this summer. DM3's gonna pull 30% lower than Illumination's average (Pets/DM2/Minions).  CARS 3 could have the worst third weekend in Pixar history. Merchandise may be merchandise but Pixar is having its second misfire in two years. And Captain Underpants could've easily been a 100m film if properly marketed. 

 

I think it's for the good of the industry that both DM3 and Cars 3 are disappointing at the box office. Captain Underpants at least is turning a profit but also just looked like a two-hour timekiller, not something families had to rush out for; like most Dreamworks films.

 

 

Edited by tribefan695
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What if we have no animation film doing 250 dom this year? But to be fair it won't be that shocking. Beginning of the year only 3 movies  had a shot : DM3, Lego Bat and Coco.

DM3 still can. Coco has a small shot. Has to be A-tier Pixar to do 250.

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3 hours ago, Gopher said:

Animation seems to be burnt out this summer. DM3's gonna pull 30% lower than Illumination's average (Pets/DM2/Minions).  CARS 3 could have the worst third weekend in Pixar history. Merchandise may be merchandise but Pixar is having its second misfire in two years. And Captain Underpants could've easily been a 100m film if properly marketed. 

It would not surprise me if no animated movie outside of DM3 did over $200M. Animation this year is like animation in 2011. Me and @narniadis were talking about this last year due to 2016's big overperformance for animated movies. 2018 however seems like a good rebound with Incredibles 2, Grinch, Ralph 2, Animated Spider-Man, Peter Rabbit and Hotel Transylvania 3.

Edited by YourMother
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2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

What if we have no animation film doing 250 dom this year? But to be fair it won't be that shocking. Beginning of the year only 3 movies  had a shot : DM3, Lego Bat and Coco.

DM3 still can. Coco has a small shot. Has to be A-tier Pixar to do 250.

Looking back at how big animation was last year, I was expecting this year to be very soft.

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45 minutes ago, a2knet said:

28.6 is 6.98x multi off the previews. Same as Cars3's 6.99x.

 

Cars3 fell 7% on Sat. DM3 imo will fall 10% due to Canada Day dynamics.

But Sunday should hold better than Cars3's FD drop of 15%. Thinking another 10% drop on Sunday.

 

28.6 + 25.7 (-10%) + 23.1 (-10%) = 77.4

 

Mon should be strong and Tuesday could be amazing.

But overall I don't think it can do much more than DM1. Which still makes it a big success and should go over 800 ww.

 

 

Despicable Me 3 is not going to fall on Saturday.

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This is the last time July 4th was a Tuesday  Deadline isn't using this model.  They are basically using their own, which doesn't work.  So if you use the only other opener from that week, Superman Returns, you get about 85 million.

 

If you use Cars, the only other animation aimed at kids, in the top ten that matters, then you get 93 million.  Either way, projecting it to do under 80 isn't realistic.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2006-06-30&track=superman06.htm

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Peter Rabbit isn't an animated film it's a hybrid and I have my doubts it's going to anything more than a modest hit.

 

DM3 while a success due to its budget has to concerning for Universal and Illumination as it'll mean Minions 2 and DM4 are doing to declined further. 

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