5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[Krissykins]

The House might not hit $9m!

 

That's shocking. 

 

The House, Baywatch and Rough Night make Snatched look like a big hit. 

[baumer]

21 hours ago, a2knet said:

 

Cars wasn't in the ow that weekend. That's why it jumped 28% on Sat.

The one opner, Devil Wears Prada, dropped 1.3% on Sat. And without Thu previews that time.

 

You were right. I was wrong. Great call on your part. DM3 dropped from its true Friday. 

[baumer]

8 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

The House might not hit $9m!

 

That's shocking. 

 

The House, Baywatch and Rough Night make Snatched look like a big hit. 

 

Baywatch made more than Snatched.

[MCKillswitch123]

Seeing the thread title made me think for a 2nd that something really... public went down on whatever screening Ethan went to.

 

Anyway, 29M seems a little smaller than DM2's opening Wednesday of 35M, but I think that it can have a Saturday uprise to counter that. It doesn't have great wom, but again, these films are driven by audiences that don't give a shit about wom.

 

DAMMIT at Baby Driver not doing better than 6M. Was kinda hoping for 8M+ or better. Now I'm surefire gonna lose that casino bet. Still, mid teens debut is pretty good for the 3-day, and a sexier 5-day than Baywatch, which was far more hyped up and a had a lot more working in its favor. Hopefully, wom prevails over it all and Spidey doesn't kill its legs (I mean, while you're at it, push those double features, Sony), which, in good circumstances, should make it to around mid 60's DOM.

 

11 hours ago, cannastop said:

Zootopia is better than all of those three.

 

I actually agree that it's better than The Little Mermaid, but I couldn't ever bring myself to think that it stands stronger than The Lion King or BATB ever. Still, respect for your bold opinion.

[Noctis]

I would love for that $4.1m to be true for TF5. 

 

I wanna see this franchise implode. That 82% drop in China is STUNNING

[baumer]

@a2knet I kinda had a feeling you were going to be right when I was working yesterday and the theaters were ghost towns.  In Toronto, the streets were empty, my bus was half full and it looked like people were extinct.  I guess our national holiday really killed a lot of kids business here.  So, again, great read on your part.  

[MCKillswitch123]

Well, I should've just went back a page to get updated numbers, it seems.

 

YAY for Baby Driver at a potential 20M+ FSS. C'moooon good Sunday hold (even if it has no shot at making more than Baywatch's 4-day at this point, unless it does 10M on Sunday... so I still lose the bet ).

 

DM3 at under 80M would be a bit on the red alert side - maybe Minions' bad wom did make a dent on this franchise, after all.

 

If Last Knight really has dropped 82% in China, that's HI-LA-RI-OUS. Pretty sure Warcraft and F8 dropped less than that. If it only barely makes a profit, Paramount should be inclined to give Bay the boot, right?

 

Oh, and The House is every bit the disaster that Rough Night was.

Edited July 2, 2017 by MCKillswitch123

[DAJK]

The DM franchise I guess we should say has finally passed its peak. I'd say it's still got 2 or 3 big hits left in it, especially considering the budgets are so low. But I don't think we'll see 1B for this series anymore.

[baumer]

DM3:  -2.08% From Friday number without previews

BD:  +26%

TRF5:  +29.6%

WW:  +39.5%

C3: +21.2%

House:  +16% from Fri without perviews

[baumer]

3 hours ago, DAJK said:

The DM franchise I guess we should say has finally passed its peak. I'd say it's still got 2 or 3 big hits left in it, especially considering the budgets are so low. But I don't think we'll see 1B for this series anymore.

 

Well, if it were to make 800 mill WW, I think it's still going to be quite profitable.  

[baumer]

Oh, and if my summer game was on life support before, it's officially dead now.

[Finnick]

14 minutes ago, DAJK said:

The DM franchise I guess we should say has finally passed its peak. I'd say it's still got 2 or 3 big hits left in it, especially considering the budgets are so low. But I don't think we'll see 1B for this series anymore.

It is a shame because Illumination is establishing it self as a big brand, I guess people are just getting tired of the same thing always. Dream Works was a huge brand and they suffer huge setbacks in the last years, if Illumination don't come up with something new, their franchise will end up just like Ice Age, it is a very tough business and needs always creativity and fresh air,

 

BTW @baumer   @DAJK  Happy 150th Anniversary and to  all the BOT  Canadian members,

Edited July 2, 2017 by Finnick

[baumer]

I remember @James made a comment a week or so ago about the DM/Minions being something that is more enjoyable to people outside of North America.  Obviously it has done really well in NA as well, but the numbers from a lot of international markets seem pretty strong compared to the opening weekend in NA.  Now, the legs on this could still be really good but it's not going to make 300 on an opening of less than 80.  ASo it's going to drop maybe 30% or more in NA but it will do pretty well in a lot of foreign markets.  It's going to be interesting to see how it all plays out.  Maybe 600 internationally and 260 here?  

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Finnick said:

It is a shame because Illumination is establishing it self as a big brand, I guess people are just getting tired of the same thing always. Dream Works was a huge brand and they suffer huge setbacks in the last years, if Illumination don't come up with something new, their franchise will end up just like Ice Age, it is a very tough business and needs always creativity and fresh air,

 

BTW @baumer   @DAJK  Happy 150th Anniversary and to  all the BOT  Canadian members,

 

Thanks Finnick!

[Brainbug]

Well RIP my DM3 prediction

I just hope Baby Driver isnt cut short by theater loss. With so many big releases coming up, it will be tough to produce really strong legs.

 

 

[Cochofles]

 

I am now starting to believe that, yes, GirlsTrip could indeed break out.  

Edited July 2, 2017 by Cochofles

[AniNate]

So the Pixar loons/Illumination haters were onto something this time

[peludo]

12 minutes ago, baumer said:

I remember @James made a comment a week or so ago about the DM/Minions being something that is more enjoyable to people outside of North America.  Obviously it has done really well in NA as well, but the numbers from a lot of international markets seem pretty strong compared to the opening weekend in NA.  Now, the legs on this could still be really good but it's not going to make 300 on an opening of less than 80.  ASo it's going to drop maybe 30% or more in NA but it will do pretty well in a lot of foreign markets.  It's going to be interesting to see how it all plays out.  Maybe 600 internationally and 260 here?  

Pretty agree with those numbers. Minions were everywhere 2 years ago here (and I guess in most of countries). Children love those adorable bastards. And even although several countries seem to be falling relative to Minions films, I guess that the final OS figure will still be very good, even more when China presales seem to head the film to $100m territory (DM2 did $50m and Minions around $60m if i remember well). If Illumination wants, we will continue having DM/Minions films.

[teardropmina]

WW did much worse than what MT/pulse indicated; well, hope the actual is higher~  

[Krissykins]

47 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Baywatch made more than Snatched.

 

Yeh I should've been clearer, I meant domestically in relation to cost. Baywatch cost about $30m more than Snatched.