Weekend Thread. Dark Tower 19.5...Dunkirk 17.6....Emoji 12.3...Girls Trip 11.4 not sure what page| Not the sex thread

[AJG]

22 minutes ago, vc2002 said:

If anyone gets bored by this wknd, please be aware that a Chinese film is now on its way of making $600m or even possibly $700m (in China alone of cause).

 

What film is it?

[the beast]

2 minutes ago, AJG said:

 

What film is it?

Wolf Warrior 2

[TalismanRing]

No chart yet but updated numbers for some

http://deadline.com/2017/08/the-dark-tower-detroit-kidnap-dunkirk-weekend-box-office-opening-1202142448/

 

Quote

 

The Dark Tower which is looking at a low first place take of $18.7M.

Dunkirk could very well topple it with a third weekend second place haul of $17.1M, -36%.

Kidnap at $9.6M in fifth

Detroit with $7.9M in 8th place.

 

 

[LastSon]

30 minutes ago, the beast said:

When is the deadline update?

 

6 minutes ago. They still don't have a chart

Edited August 5, 2017 by LastSon

[BeastByTheBay]

I don't think WB has to worry about over marketing IT when Annabelle will make it's money back in the same weekend it opened.

[CJohn]

6 hours ago, Rth Homecoming said:

TDT 7.5, DK 5, EM 3.8,GT/Kid 3.5, Detroit 2.8

Kill me.

[MCKillswitch123]

Fuck anybody who doesn't think Hacksaw Ridge deserved Best Picture.

 

 

 

 

Ahem.....

 

The Dark Tower on par with Ghost In The Shell for OD. Probably set for around 17M as it should have quite a lot more fan rush than that (not sure if people are taking that into account). So much for "the next Lord Of The Rings" (between this and Warcraft, when is the next LOTR actually coming?).

 

Of course Dunkirk would wind up w/5M. That 4M projection made absolutely no sense whatsoever. Still has a shot at threepeating at #1 (we haven't seen that for a Nolan movie since Inception, right?).

 

Emoji looking at 11M, maybe? Unless it rises exponentially on Saturday, that is. Don't see that happening. Called the Minions-like O/U 60% drop from miles away.

 

Girls Trip also putting to sleep that Godawful early prediction by DHD.

 

The most positively noteworthy story of Friday is fucking KIDNAP?!? Jesus. It's looking at 9-9.5M, and that is at least 3x more than I thought it was going to do  I guess the combination of Halle Berry + the interesting premise of Taken w/a mom drove some people who wanted a mindless thriller in their lives.... but wow. For a complete utter dumpjob like this, 9M might as well be 90M+.

 

Detroit miserable, poor thing. The Circle's OD was over 3M, for crying out loud. This just did not connect w/the general audience whatsoever. It may still beat The Hurt Locker (both actual and adjusted, there's only a 2M difference from the two), but that represents less than a fourth of Zero Dark Thirty (that did have a more appealing concept than either of these two though, but still).

[Valonqar]

@MCKillswitch123

 

The Dark Tower on par with Ghost In The Shell for OD. Probably set for around 17M as it should have quite a lot more fan rush than that (not sure if people are taking that into account). So much for "the next Lord Of The Rings" (between this and Warcraft, when is the next LOTR actually coming?).

 

It's come and it's name is GoT. Nothing in movies right now matches the sheer cinematic splendor of that show. Fact. 

[Valonqar]

4 hours ago, FantasticBeasts said:

WW2 second weekend in China> TFA's second weekend in USA.

Looking at a total of +750m, potentially the biggest movie in a single territory for the year.

Holy shit! Could WW2 make 1b off OS markets w/o US distribution? That would be first ever. 

 

Yeah, sooner or later China's gonna surpass domestic market. That number is insane.

[redfirebird2008]

Assuming RTH's $7.5m estimate holds, Deadline seems to be projecting a Saturday increase of around 10% from true Friday for Dark Tower. Not convinced it will increase at all, but we'll see how it goes. 

[Kingp0va]

poor charlize i knew she didnt have it in her to have a big hit

[MCKillswitch123]

16 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

@MCKillswitch123

 

 

 

 

It's come and it's name is GoT. Nothing in movies right now matches the sheer cinematic splendor of that show. Fact. 

[picores]

18 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Assuming RTH's $7.5m estimate holds, Deadline seems to be projecting a Saturday increase of around 10% from true Friday for Dark Tower. Not convinced it will increase at all, but we'll see how it goes. 

Yes... i see it falling with each new estimate and ending the weekend with 17m or so. This has to be considerably more frontloaded than something like Atomic Blonde last week.

Edited August 5, 2017 by picores

[POTUS 2020]

3 hours ago, vc2002 said:

If anyone gets bored by this wknd, please be aware that a Chinese film is now on its way of making $600m or even possibly $700m (in China alone of cause).

$700m is locked. $800m+ likely. Not ruling out SW7. 

It had $134m OW and trying for $150m second weekend

Edited August 5, 2017 by POTUS

[redfirebird2008]

4 minutes ago, picores said:

Yes... i see it falling with each new estimate and ending the weekend with 17m or so. This has to be considerably more frontloaded than something like Atomic Blonde last week.

MovieTickets finished at 15.2% for Dark Tower on Friday night. If that number declines a lot on Saturday like Emoji did last week, then it's probably going to be more frontloaded than Deadline expects. 

 

Meanwhile, Emoji finished the evening at 8.5% compared to 13.7% for Dunkirk. Would not surprise me if Emoji comes in lower than RTH's $3.8m Friday estimate. Seemed the MovieTickets percentage kept dropping through the evening for Emoji. 

[vc2002]

17 minutes ago, POTUS said:

$700m is locked. $800m+ likely. Not ruling out SW7. 

It had $134m OW and trying for $150m second weekend

 

Hey don't scare people in this thread that are having a little fun with a $20m OW ok?

 

 

[a2k]

1 hour ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

 

Emoji looking at 11M, maybe? Unless it rises exponentially on Saturday, that is. Don't see that happening. Called the Minions-like O/U 60% drop from miles away.

 

Even with a 20-25% Sat bump and 35% Sun drop, 3.8 should give 11.32-11.63 to Emoji,

3.8 + 4.75 (+25%) + 3.08 (-35%) = 11.63 (-52.5%)

3.8 + 4.56 (+20%) + 2.96 (-35%) = 11.32 (-53.8%)

 

Can't see it falling more than 54% over the weekend with 3.8 Friday.

Edited August 5, 2017 by a2knet

[MCKillswitch123]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Even with a 20-25% Sat bump and 35% Sun drop, 3.8 should give 11.32-11.63 to Emoji,

3.8 + 4.75 (+25%) + 3.08 (-35%) = 11.63 (-52.5%)

3.8 + 4.56 (+20%) + 2.96 (-35%) = 11.32 (-53.8%)

 

Can't see it falling more than 54% over the weekend with 3.8 Friday.

Well, yeah, O/U 60% dead on is maybe a bit too much, but this was not going below 50%, that I was 100% sure about. But good call, yeah.

[the beast]

Weekly Projections for Dunkirk:

 

Friday: $5.1 million (+54%)

Saturday: $7.5 million (+40%)

Sunday: $5.3 million (-29%) / $17.8 million (-33.1%)

 

Monday: $2.2 million (-58.5%)

Tuesday: $3 million (+36%)

Wednesday: $2.2 million (-26%)

Thursday: $2.16 million (-2%) 

 

21 Day Total: $143.5 million

 

 

 

 

 

[a2k]

I think Dunkirk has a >50% chance of beating Interstellar. While a good shot at making it to 200.

Any OS projection? Haven't been following it. Is 400 OS possible?