altbum Posted September 12, 2012 Share Posted September 12, 2012 Jennifer Lawrence: The only lock we have of the field, her movie is very well received, and she got raves out of TIFF. Plus she is hot, fuckable, and she's had an extraordinary year with THG crossing $400 million, which is close to HP1 adjusted if I'm not wrong. Does "fuckable" count when it comes to Oscar votes? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 12, 2012 Share Posted September 12, 2012 Does "fuckable" count when it comes to Oscar votes?Definitely, the saying is, "if you can give Oscar voters an erection, you've got their vote." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted September 12, 2012 Share Posted September 12, 2012 Silver LInings Playbook is a dramedy meaning Jennifer's Lawrence character covers the whole gamut from laughs to tears.I read she has a scene with De Niro that is fantastic.And Harvey got her back, we ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Does "fuckable" count when it comes to Oscar votes?Given the age of most academy members, I'm not sure this is a good idea... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 13, 2012 Author Share Posted September 13, 2012 People need to say for what film, Lawrence could be for THG or even Last House (THG I can see if nominated for anything just makeup right now) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
altbum Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 People need to say for what film, Lawrence could be for THG or even Last House (THG I can see if nominated for anything just makeup right now)Sorry, I was referring to Silver Linings Playbook for Lawrence. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Given the age of most academy members, I'm not sure this is a good idea... It's sad, but it's true. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 13, 2012 Author Share Posted September 13, 2012 As I mentioned before-its odd how age works for actresses as oppose to the actors ages. Sandra Bullock was in the top 10 oldest actresses to win at the time of her win. Gee she is not even that old! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I am not sure about nominating an 8 year old kid but whatever ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 13, 2012 Author Share Posted September 13, 2012 I did mention earlier only 2 people under the age of 18 have gotten a lead nomination. Jackie Cooper and the girl from Whale Rider. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 My current guesses Helen Hunt- The Sessions Laura Linney- Hyde Park on Hudson Marion Cotillard- Rust and Bone Naomi Watts- The Impossible Michelle Williams- Take This Waltz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I take it you haven't read any reviews for the Hudson movie... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Ugh... Hyde Park is out of any awards contention except for maybe actor. And Hunt has been moved supporting accord to Fox Searchlght so they can focus their efforts on a 9 year old girl. However with the weakness of Actress I can see her getting moved back to lead. As for Watts she could happen but personally I think that the role isn't meaty enough for her to pull it off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 My current guesses Helen Hunt- The Sessions Laura Linney- Hyde Park on Hudson Marion Cotillard- Rust and Bone Naomi Watts- The Impossible Michelle Williams- Take This Waltz No Lawrence? She`s getting the best reviews of the bunch, trully stunning response. Also, the kid from BoSW is going to be nominated. Those 2 are locked and loaded. 3 more spots are up for grabs. Could be anyone from your list plus KK, Smith, Riva, Winstead, Gerwig. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 I'll go for Lawrence, Cotillard, Wallis, Winstead and Streep. It will be between the first two for the win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Ugh... Hyde Park is out of any awards contention except for maybe actor. And Hunt has been moved supporting accord to Fox Searchlght so they can focus their efforts on a 9 year old girl. However with the weakness of Actress I can see her getting moved back to lead. As for Watts she could happen but personally I think that the role isn't meaty enough for her to pull it off.I think they might throw her back into Lead if they feel Wallis' film can't sustain the momentum.But right now I'm feeling:Cotillard- Rust and BoneLawrence- Silver Linings PlaybookWallis- Beasts of the Southern WildWatts- The ImpossibleRiva- Amour Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 I think they might throw her back into Lead if they feel Wallis' film can't sustain the momentum.But right now I'm feeling:Cotillard- Rust and BoneLawrence- Silver Linings PlaybookWallis- Beasts of the Southern WildWatts- The ImpossibleRiva- AmourI cna see a scenario where Riva kicks Cotillard out like Oldman kicked Fassy. Not the same situation, I know, but sometimes AMPAS like to make room for an oldie over a you`ll-have-your-chance younger actor. Plus, Cotillard has already won. They won`t give her the second Oscar so soon.And PLEASE NO STREEP FOR THE NEXT 10 YEARS PLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEAESE! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Hilary Swank and Sean Penn received their second Oscars five years after their first, for Cotillard to do the same wouldn't be unprecedented. (of course, there's Tom Hanks as well, but that was more of an anomaly, some incredibly perfect timing). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Actresses like Winstead, Gerwig, etc will need to make an impression at the various critic awards in December before I see them as realistic threats.Since Streep just won I'm banking on her being passed over, especially since her performance wasn't that buzzy anyway.I think the biggest people who can supplant the five I listed are Hunt if she gets moved back to Lead and Knightley who seems to be getting praise for Anna Karenina even when the overall film review is mixed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 (edited) Hilary Swank and Sean Penn received their second Oscars five years after their first, for Cotillard to do the same wouldn't be unprecedented. (of course, there's Tom Hanks as well, but that was more of an anomaly, some incredibly perfect timing).Penn and Swank were in BP nominees when they received their second Oscars. Rust&Bone isn`t getting rave save for Cotillard so if she gets in she`ll be the sole nominee. Penn is a legend and Swank went through physcial transformation that was a huge talk of the town. Cotillard is playing a paraplegic which is what John Hawkes does in The Sessions and he is shoo-in for nomination if not for a win (real life paraplegic wants to lose his viginity is more baity than paraplegic). They won`t award 2 people for the same type of role. Edited September 14, 2012 by fishnets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...