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Asgardian Tuesday Numbers - JL 10.7M | W 5.7M

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30 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

JL performance is not really being impressive.

 

It is doing what has happened many times before, that it had a lower opening weekend than expected and half decent legs which will still end to a rather substandard total domestically.

 

If it legs it up to 280-300 million, then yeah it is a different story. 

It's impressively underwhelming

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5 minutes ago, raegr said:

300M is embarrassing for a movie this caliber. 350M the we're talking.

 

 

When you think about BVS Reception then 300mil(3x) looks good for it’s sequel.

If it keeps the same Dom/O.S Ratio Then your looking at 900mil ww.

Not saying it’s gonna do that but just giving you an example as to what it can look like.

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Yeah, don't see any reason why JL would get to a 3x. Doesn't mean it can't have decent/good legs for a blockbuster though. Tuesday increase is very good, and it has the benefit of Thanksgiving week, although I'm interested to see how today's numbers look after the juiced up Tuesdays we've seen this year. Wouldn't surprise me if some stuff stayed close to flat.

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27 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

When you think about BVS Reception then 300mil(3x) looks good for it’s sequel.

If it keeps the same Dom/O.S Ratio Then your looking at 900mil ww.

Not saying it’s gonna do that but just giving you an example as to what it can look like.

3x with 93.84 ow gives 281.5m dom. 300 dom requires 3.20x, bit higher than FB's legs.

 

that's revisionist history 101. :redcapes: you didn't go a dime below 400m dom (or was it 450m...or maybe 500m...can't remember) before thu previews came out. 

- but at least now we agree on the 'bvs reception' bit. gatsby-thanks.png

 

 

Edited by a2knet
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A disastrous OW doesn't give automatically better legs. A 3x is Guardians territory lol

 

Mockinjay Part 1 - x2.76

Mockinjay Part 2 - x2.75 (faced Force Awakens)

Catching Fire  - x2.69

Edited by XO21
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7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

3x with 93.84 ow gives 281.5m dom. 300 dom requires 3.20x, bit higher than FB's legs.

 

that's revisionist history 101. :redcapes: you didn't go a dime below 400m dom (or was it 450m...or maybe 500m...can't remember) before thu previews came out. 

- but at least now we agree on the 'bvs reception' bit. gatsby-thanks.png

 

 

You know these things are predictions and not one of them are exact science.

I know 300 requires a 3.2x as I was just giving him an example of what the film can look like if it does so.

 

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I am optimistic but not so hopefully.

 

Let's see how JL does today (and the rest of the week) first, the competition is intense - against Wonder and Coco, both i expect will have great WoM and will draw Kids' attention away.

 

 

 

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5 minutes ago, XO21 said:

A disastrous OW doesn't give automatically better legs. A 3x is Guardians territory lol

A lower Weekend doesn’t automatically gives a films worse or equal Legs.

JL can very well have a Second Weekend bigger than BVS while its Dailies for this week will also be above it.

 

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2 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

A lower Weekend doesn’t automatically gives a films worse or equal Legs.

JL can very well have a Second Weekend bigger than BVS while its Dailies for this week will also be above it.

 

I never said it's doing x1.99 like BvS, or x2.4 like SS

Edited by XO21
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14 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Yeah, don't see any reason why JL would get to a 3x. Doesn't mean it can't have decent/good legs for a blockbuster though. Tuesday increase is very good, and it has the benefit of Thanksgiving week, although I'm interested to see how today's numbers look after the juiced up Tuesdays we've seen this year. Wouldn't surprise me if some stuff stayed close to flat.

Put it this way 

93o.w

M-T

7.5+10.7+12+10=49.2 The film will nearly cover a 2x in 10days

MJ earned more than 100 mil more afterwards

FB earned also earned More than 100mil after wards.

If JL holds up and and looking at 170-180 after 10days then its possible.

(Note) this is a hopeful prediction and a best case scenario.

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10 minutes ago, XO21 said:

I never said it's doing x1.99 like BvS, or x2.4 like SS

thinking 2.4x is the floor. 2.6x realistic and 2.8x high-end.

2.4x/2.6x/2.8x gives 225m/244m/263m dom. 

(2.8x will take it 1m above asm1)

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6 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

Put it this way 

93o.w

M-T

7.5+10.7+12+10=49.2 The film will nearly cover a 2x in 10days

MJ earned more than 100 mil more afterwards

FB earned also earned More than 100mil after wards.

If JL holds up and and looking at 170-180 after 10days then its possible.

(Note) this is a hopeful prediction and a best case scenario.

Yeah, I suppose it's possible, legs have been decent to very good for the past few years pre-Thanksgiving weekend openers, but I think as you say it's the absolute best case scenario. Talking about 3x not 300m mind you. It having decent legs isn't gonna really salvage the underperformance for WB, but it sure is way better than the alternative (BvS 2.0). 

Edited by Jayhawk
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4 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

I had a dream last night that Coco got $4.5M previews and @WrathOfHan immediately said "meh number."

 

Very weird dream.

surprised that deadline has not given early preview estimates for Coco. btw Moana did 2.6m. 2m+ would be good for Coco. Would set it up for 60m+ 5-day.

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