Barnack Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 17 minutes ago, The Futurist said: So movies from streaming companies must have a theater release to be eligible, right ? Has for now yes, has of now the company is not taking into account, you must release in theater the first day the movie is available to the wide public and stay a certain amount of time in enough paying theater in a county of Los angeles and you are in (if you are long enough to be a feature film) Nothing more than that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 I'm wondering if the surprise success of Crazy Rich Asians is gonna translate to any kind of Oscar love. Michelle Yeoh in Supporting Actress, maybe? She's certainly got the perfect clip ("I know this much: you will never be enough."). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 6 hours ago, filmlover said: I'm wondering if the surprise success of Crazy Rich Asians is gonna translate to any kind of Oscar love. Michelle Yeoh in Supporting Actress, maybe? She's certainly got the perfect clip ("I know this much: you will never be enough."). It'll get a best popular film nom. Probs it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 28, 2018 Share Posted August 28, 2018 2 hours ago, Ethan Hunt said: It'll get a best popular film nom. Probs it I'm still pretending that category isn't actually a thing lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 Doing a real quick pre-festival prediction for the big ones (fuck a popular film category) Best Picture Roma (Winner) The Favourite If Beale Street Could Talk First Mayne Green Book The Frontrunner Black Kklansman Black Panther A Star Is Born Best DIrector Alfonso Cuaron (Winner) Barry Jenkins Damien Chazelle Spike Lee Yorgos Best Actor Hugh Jackman, The Front Runner (Winner) Mahershala Ali, Green Book Bradley Cooper, A Star is Bourne Lucas Hedges, Ben is Back Ryan Gosling, First Man Best Actress Nicole Kidman, Destroyer (Winner) Julia Roberts, Ben is Back Olivia Colman, The Favourite Glenn Close, the Wife Toni Collette, Hereditary Best Supporting Actor Viggo Mortensen, Green Book (Winner) - could switch categories and put Ali here and Viggo in that spot in Best Actor Richard Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy Michael B Jordan, Black Panther Daniel Kayuula, Widows Best Supporting Actress Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk (Winner) Claire Foy, First Man Vera Famiga, The Front Runner Rachel Weisz, the Favourite Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 i'll also do the early predictions we can laugh at in four months (or in two weeks after all the festivals) Picture: BlacKkKlansman Black Panther Cheney/Backseat/whatever it's called The Favourite First Man Roma A Star is Born Director Spike Lee Yorgos Lanthimos Damien Chazelle Alfonso Cuaron Orson Welles (ngng pick) Actor: Christian Bale, Cheney Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born Ryan Gosling, First Man Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun Actress: Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Glenn Close, The Wife Viola Davis, Widows Lady Gaga. A Star Is Born whichever lady from The Favourite is the lead idk Supporting Actor: Adam Driver, Blackkklansman Timothee Chalamet, 😐 Stephen James, If Beale Street Could Talk Michael B. Jordan, 😐 Sam Rockwell, Cheney/Backseat Supporting Actress: Amy Adams, Cheney/Backseat Claire Foy, First Man Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk two ladies from The Favourite. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 Because my picks are always taken seriously: Picture: 1. Widows 2. A Star Is Born 3. Cheney 4. The Favourite 5. First Man 6. Roma 7. BlacKkKlansman 8. Black Panther 9. Bohemian Rhapsody 10. The Front Runner Alt: Green Book Director: 1. Steve McQueen, Widows 2. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born 3. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite 4. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma 5. Damien Chazelle, First Man Alt: Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman Actor: 1. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody 2. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born 3. Christian Bale, Cheney 4. Ryan Gosling, First Man 5. Hugh Jackman, The Front Runner Alt: Viggo Mortensen, Green Book Actress: 1. Olivia Colman, The Favourite 2. Viola Davis, Widows 3. Glenn Close, The Wife 4. Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born 5. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? Alt: Toni Collette, Hereditary Supporting Actor: 1. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? 2. Sam Rockwell, Cheney 3. Mahershala Ali, Green Book 4. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman 5. J.K. Simmons, The Front Runner Alt: Russell Crowe, Boy Erased Supporting Actress: 1. Amy Adams, Cheney 2. Emma Stone, The Favourite 3. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite 4. Marina de Tavira, Roma 5. Claire Foy, First Man Alt: Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased Original Screenplay: 1. The Favourite 2. Cheney 3. Roma 4. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 5. A Quiet Place Alt: Bohemian Rhapsody Adapted Screenplay: 1. Widows 2. A Star Is Born 3. BlacKkKlansman 4. The Front Runner 5. First Man Alt: Black Panther I don't fucking know anymore. Give me guidance, festivals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 Your guys have fine and good predictions also but 1. Does Cheney actually exist? I mean maybe it pulls a Wolf/Django type situation and just drops late but even those had marketing. 2. Coolio not having Ad Astra after a year of leading the train is sad! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 1 minute ago, Cmasterclay said: Your guys have fine and good predictions also but 1. Does Cheney actually exist? I mean maybe it pulls a Wolf/Django type situation and just drops late but even those had marketing. 2. Coolio not having Ad Astra after a year of leading the train is sad! I'll raise you one better: is AD Astra even coming out in 2018? Don't tag dudalb, but this Christmas release in limited feels very mythical. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 Just now, Cmasterclay said: Your guys have fine and good predictions also but 1. Does Cheney actually exist? I mean maybe it pulls a Wolf/Django type situation and just drops late but even those had marketing. 2. Coolio not having Ad Astra after a year of leading the train is sad! 1) big short didn't drop a poster or trailer or anything until september either iirc so i think that'll happen again here. hopefully we'll see something in a couple weeks 2) ad astra is out momentarily because it seems like no one's sure whether or not it's actually gonna get a qualifying run. as soon as it's 100% confirmed for 2018 with a trailer and all that it's BACK AT THE TOP OF THE LIST. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 1 minute ago, CoolioD1 said: 1) big short didn't drop a poster or trailer or anything until september either iirc so i think that'll happen again here. hopefully we'll see something in a couple weeks 2) ad astra is out momentarily because it seems like no one's sure whether or not it's actually gonna get a qualifying run. as soon as it's 100% confirmed for 2018 with a trailer and all that it's BACK AT THE TOP OF THE LIST. True about Big Short but idk I love Mckay's comedies but I'm just not convinced he's gonna catch lightning in a bottle twice with the Academy. Definitely sounds like my kinda movie but still. Also Wall Street always relevant Dick Cheney has been replaced by 1000 new evil bad guys since then. I think that you should parlay Ad Astra with #Sly. If you nail both of them we'll have no choice but to crown you. Sly/Astra 2018. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 Just now, Cmasterclay said: True about Big Short but idk I love Mckay's comedies but I'm just not convinced he's gonna catch lightning in a bottle twice with the Academy. Definitely sounds like my kinda movie but still. Also Wall Street always relevant Dick Cheney has been replaced by 1000 new evil bad guys since then. I think that you should parlay Ad Astra with #Sly. If you nail both of them we'll have no choice but to crown you. Sly/Astra 2018. emily blunt in mary poppins is my 2018 sly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: Give me guidance, festivals. I've been waiting until after the festivals occured before making any official predictions because the race always changes after they happen. I do feel confident now though that First Man will get a solid number of nominations, including both Gosling and Foy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Quinn Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 Telluride announced their slate of films. Of the major contenders for BP: -Boy Erased -Can You Ever Forgive Me? -Destroyer -First Man -Peterloo -Roma -The Favourite -The Front Runner -The Old Man & The Gun -The Other Side of the Wind -White Boy Rick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 38 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said: Telluride announced their slate of films. Of the major contenders for BP: -Boy Erased -Can You Ever Forgive Me? -Destroyer -First Man -Peterloo -Roma -The Favourite -The Front Runner -The Old Man & The Gun -The Other Side of the Wind -White Boy Rick So the only contenders at TIFF that will not have already been seen at Telluride/Venice are If Beale Street Could Talk, Beautiful Boy, and Ben is Back (ironic, considering the latter two have similar premises lol)? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Quinn Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 14 minutes ago, filmlover said: So the only contenders at TIFF that will not have already been seen at Telluride/Venice are If Beale Street Could Talk, Beautiful Boy, and Ben is Back (ironic, considering the latter two have similar premises lol)? Depends on if you consider Mid90s to be a contender (I don't) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said: Depends on if you consider Mid90s to be a contender (I don't) Oh yeah, I'm looking forward to Mid90s but it doesn't look like something that will factor into the race at all (ditto The Hate U Give). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 Imagine Orson Welles nominated for best director and then losing to Bradley Cooper. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 2 hours ago, filmlover said: So the only contenders at TIFF that will not have already been seen at Telluride/Venice are If Beale Street Could Talk, Beautiful Boy, and Ben is Back (ironic, considering the latter two have similar premises lol)? Personally, I hope it's more evenly distributed next time. The studios should try to have a more even distribution: a fair amount at Venice, a fair amount at Telluride, and a fair amount at Toronto. It'd be more exciting and it'd be harder for films to get lost in the shuffle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 30 minutes ago, Slambros said: Personally, I hope it's more evenly distributed next time. The studios should try to have a more even distribution: a fair amount at Venice, a fair amount at Telluride, and a fair amount at Toronto. It'd be more exciting and it'd be harder for films to get lost in the shuffle. It's always been like this though. And a ton of stuff that hasn't yet popped up on the radar will be screening at TIFF still. It's just that most of the awards contenders that do festival runs get Venice/Telluride out of the way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...